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Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Penguins NHL game on October 26, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
1
Oct 26, 11PM PPG Paints Arena
Oct 26, 11PM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penguins | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
P3 19:47 Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 18:55 Goal scored by Alex Killorn (Empty Net)
P3 18:37 Shot missed by John Marino
P3 18:01 Shot missed by Kasperi Kapanen
P3 17:43 Power play - Goal scored by Jason Zucker assisted by Jake Guentzel
P3 17:41 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:33 Power play - Shot on goal by John Marino saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:55 Goal scored by Mikhail Sergachev (Empty Net)
P3 15:42 Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:47 Shot on goal by John Marino saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:58 Jan Rutta shot blocked by Michael Matheson
P3 12:41 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Michael Matheson
P3 12:37 Shot missed by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
P3 10:46 Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 10:41 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 09:33 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 09:23 Shot on goal by Kasperi Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:00 Pierre-Edouard Bellemare shot blocked by Chad Ruhwedel
P3 08:17 Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
P3 07:29 Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Tristan Jarry
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Tristan Jarry
Ross Colton won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in offensive zone
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Brian Boyle in neutral zone
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Brian Boyle in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Killorn (Empty Net)
5-1
SHOT
Shot missed by John Marino
SHOT
Shot missed by Kasperi Kapanen
Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Jason Zucker assisted by Jake Guentzel
4-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Takeaway by Jason Zucker in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Marino saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Alex Barre-Boulet 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Brian Boyle)
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Brian Boyle in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mikhail Sergachev (Empty Net)
4-0
Giveaway by Michael Matheson in defensive zone
Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
Brock McGinn credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Danton Heinen in offensive zone
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
Takeaway by Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
Chad Ruhwedel credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Takeaway by Ross Colton in defensive zone
Drew O'Connor won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Marino saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in neutral zone
Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Jan Rutta shot blocked by Michael Matheson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Drew O'Connor in offensive zone
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Michael Matheson
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
Giveaway by Chad Ruhwedel in defensive zone
Takeaway by Chad Ruhwedel in defensive zone
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Michael Matheson in offensive zone
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on John Marino in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Tristan Jarry
Mark Friedman credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
Brayden Point credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kasperi Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare shot blocked by Chad Ruhwedel
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Tristan Jarry
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Tristan Jarry
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Mark Friedman in offensive zone
Ross Colton won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in neutral zone
Ross Colton credited with hit on Jason Zucker in defensive zone
Takeaway by Andrej Sustr in defensive zone
Takeaway by Alex Killorn in defensive zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Drew O'Connor in defensive zone
Taylor Raddysh credited with hit on Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
SHOT
Jason Zucker shot blocked by Ross Colton
Jan Rutta credited with hit on Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Matheson
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Friedman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Tristan Jarry
Brock McGinn credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Killorn
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Brian Boyle in offensive zone
Penalty to Marcus Pettersson 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mathieu Joseph)
Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Tristan Jarry
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Teddy Blueger in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Tristan Jarry
Takeaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Tristan Jarry
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Friedman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Brayden Point credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
Jan Rutta credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Drew O'Connor
Victor Hedman credited with hit on Drew O'Connor in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Matheson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Marcus Pettersson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Marino saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Power play - Kasperi Kapanen shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Power play - Jason Zucker credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Jason Zucker in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Penalty to Victor Hedman 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Evan Rodrigues)
SHOT
Michael Matheson shot blocked by Corey Perry
Corey Perry credited with hit on Michael Matheson in defensive zone
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Ross Colton in offensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Jan Rutta in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Teddy Blueger saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Jan Rutta in defensive zone
Takeaway by Dominik Simon in neutral zone
Jason Zucker credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Drew O'Connor in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Ryan McDonagh
3-0
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Drew O'Connor in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Ondrej Palat
3-0
SHOT
Shot missed by John Marino
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brian Boyle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Marino saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Penguins shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Taylor Raddysh in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Lafferty saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Brock McGinn shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Taylor Raddysh credited with hit on Brian Boyle in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Michael Matheson in neutral zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
Lightning credited with hit on Brock McGinn in defensive zone
Brock McGinn credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Brian Dumoulin in neutral zone
Drew O'Connor credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Brian Boyle in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
Giveaway by Teddy Blueger in offensive zone
SHOT
Zachary Aston-Reese shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Chad Ruhwedel credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
Ryan McDonagh credited with hit on Brock McGinn in offensive zone
Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Teddy Blueger in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Corey Perry credited with hit on Brian Dumoulin in offensive zone
Takeaway by Patrick Maroon in offensive zone
Giveaway by Corey Perry in offensive zone
Giveaway by Sam Lafferty in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
Brian Boyle credited with hit on Andrej Sustr in offensive zone
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Michael Matheson in offensive zone
Michael Matheson credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Drew O'Connor
Brian Dumoulin credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Brian Boyle won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Ross Colton credited with hit on Mark Friedman in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrej Sustr saved by Tristan Jarry
Ross Colton won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
SHOT
Marcus Pettersson shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kasperi Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Point
1-0
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Teddy Blueger in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Brian Boyle in offensive zone
Brock McGinn credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in defensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock McGinn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Ondrej Palat shot blocked by John Marino
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Teddy Blueger in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Tristan Jarry
Brayden Point credited with hit on Drew O'Connor in offensive zone
Drew O'Connor credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
Jason Zucker credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock McGinn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Barre-Boulet
Shorthanded - Brian Boyle won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Brian Boyle
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Power play - Victor Hedman shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
Shorthanded - Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Penalty to Brock McGinn 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock McGinn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Brian Dumoulin in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on John Marino in offensive zone
Power play - Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Power play - Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Tristan Jarry
Power play - Giveaway by Dominik Simon in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
Power play - Dominik Simon won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Michael Matheson shot blocked by Mathieu Joseph
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
Power play - Giveaway by Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
Power play - Takeaway by Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mathieu Joseph in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kasperi Kapanen
Power play - Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
Penalty to Mikhail Sergachev 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Evan Rodrigues)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
John Marino shot blocked by Alex Killorn
SHOT
Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Brayden Point
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
Kasperi Kapanen credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare credited with hit on Marcus Pettersson in offensive zone
Victor Hedman credited with hit on Danton Heinen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drew O'Connor saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Brock McGinn in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrej Sustr saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marcus Pettersson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chad Ruhwedel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Marcus Pettersson shot blocked by Andrej Sustr
Takeaway by Chad Ruhwedel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Tristan Jarry
Giveaway by Michael Matheson in defensive zone
Alex Barre-Boulet credited with hit on Mark Friedman in offensive zone
SHOT
Ross Colton shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
Brian Boyle won faceoff against Patrick Maroon in defensive zone
Penalty to Corey Perry 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Sam Lafferty)
Penalty to Sam Lafferty 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Corey Perry)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jan Rutta saved by Tristan Jarry
Ross Colton won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ondrej Palat saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Ross Colton shot blocked by Mark Friedman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Teddy Blueger
Shorthanded - Alex Killorn credited with hit on Dominik Simon in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Drew O'Connor in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Marino saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Alex Killorn credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Power play - Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
Penalty to Ryan McDonagh 2 minutes for Roughing (Served by Alex Barre-Boulet)
Penalty to Sam Lafferty 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
Penalty to Ryan McDonagh 2 minutes for Misconduct
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Matheson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
John Marino shot blocked by Brayden Point
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Andrej Sustr in offensive zone
SHOT
Andrej Sustr shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
Teddy Blueger won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Tristan Jarry
Brayden Point won faceoff against Teddy Blueger in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Tristan Jarry
Brayden Point won faceoff against Brian Boyle in offensive zone
Takeaway by Mark Friedman in defensive zone
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Mark Friedman in offensive zone
Jason Zucker credited with hit on Corey Perry in defensive zone
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Chad Ruhwedel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Tristan Jarry
Alex Killorn credited with hit on John Marino in offensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Teddy Blueger in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 15 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 11 | |||
| 34 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 3 | Giveaways | 8 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 15 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 11 | |||
| 34 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 3 | Giveaways | 8 |
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Lightning vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Penguins
- Date: Tuesday, October 26, 2021
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -125, Penguins +110
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 53%
- Penguins: 47%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 53%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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