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Maple Leafs vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Flames NHL game on April 5, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
3
Apr 6, 1:30AM Scotiabank Saddledome
Apr 6, 1:30AM Scotiabank Saddledome
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Flames | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Flames | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
P3 19:59 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 19:51 Andrew Mangiapane shot blocked by Justin Holl
P3 19:43 Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 19:33 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Jack Campbell
P3 19:19 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Jack Campbell
P3 19:02 Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 18:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 17:52 Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 17:31 Power play - Shot on goal by Joe Thornton saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 17:11 Power play - Jake Muzzin shot blocked by Sean Monahan
P3 16:40 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Jack Campbell
P3 15:38 Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
P3 15:31 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 13:55 Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
P3 13:20 Shot on goal by Jason Spezza saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 12:10 Goal scored by John Tavares
P3 11:44 Shot on goal by Zach Bogosian saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 10:50 Power play - Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by John Tavares and Zach Hyman
P3 10:50 Power play - Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Jacob Markstrom
P3 10:05 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Mikael Backlund assisted by Elias Lindholm
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Andrew Mangiapane shot blocked by Justin Holl
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Jack Campbell
Power play - Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jacob Markstrom
Shorthanded - Derek Ryan won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Jacob Markstrom
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Joe Thornton saved by Jacob Markstrom
Shorthanded - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Jake Muzzin shot blocked by Sean Monahan
Power play - Jason Spezza won faceoff against Sean Monahan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Jack Campbell
Power play - Giveaway by Mitchell Marner in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
Stoppage - Video Review
Penalty to Andrew Mangiapane 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Zach Hyman)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Jacob Markstrom
Shorthanded - Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Jason Spezza won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
Penalty to Wayne Simmonds 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Milan Lucic)
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
Derek Ryan won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Spezza saved by Jacob Markstrom
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares
5-3
John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Bogosian saved by Jacob Markstrom
Dillon Dube credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Power play - Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Sean Monahan in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by John Tavares and Zach Hyman
4-3
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Jacob Markstrom
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Shorthanded - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Mikael Backlund assisted by Elias Lindholm
3-3
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
Penalty to Nikita Nesterov 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Stone saved by Jack Campbell
Derek Ryan won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joakim Nordstrom saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by William Nylander
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Jack Campbell
Zach Hyman credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Derek Ryan in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Wayne Simmonds assisted by Pierre Engvall and Auston Matthews
3-2
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Holl
Zach Hyman credited with hit on Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Christopher Tanev
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Jack Campbell
Giveaway by Johnny Gaudreau in offensive zone
Brett Ritchie credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Milan Lucic in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Derek Ryan won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mikael Backlund
2-2
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Takeaway by Andrew Mangiapane in defensive zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Rasmus Andersson credited with hit on Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Milan Lucic credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Derek Ryan in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Stone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Nesterov
Takeaway by Johnny Gaudreau in offensive zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Milan Lucic in defensive zone
Giveaway by Johnny Gaudreau in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sean Monahan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Jake Muzzin
John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Andrew Mangiapane assisted by Noah Hanifin and Elias Lindholm
2-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Jacob Markstrom
Derek Ryan won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Zach Hyman credited with hit on Noah Hanifin in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Monahan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Jack Campbell
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Joakim Nordstrom credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Joakim Nordstrom
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Matthew Tkachuk credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in defensive zone
Giveaway by Matthew Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Ritchie
Giveaway by Sean Monahan in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Monahan in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Monahan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot missed by Sean Monahan
Joe Thornton credited with hit on Mark Giordano in defensive zone
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Joe Thornton
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Ritchie
Giveaway by Brett Ritchie in defensive zone
Milan Lucic credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Christopher Tanev in offensive zone
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shot missed by Elias Lindholm
Giveaway by Zach Bogosian in defensive zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by William Nylander and T.J. Brodie
2-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Justin Holl shot blocked by Michael Stone
Giveaway by Michael Stone in defensive zone
SHOT
Joe Thornton shot blocked by Nikita Nesterov
Michael Stone credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Sean Monahan in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Jacob Markstrom
Michael Stone credited with hit on Ilya Mikheyev in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Jacob Markstrom
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Sean Monahan won faceoff against Alex Galchenyuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jacob Markstrom
John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Monahan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jacob Markstrom
Brett Ritchie credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
Sean Monahan won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jason Spezza assisted by Alexander Kerfoot
1-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Spezza saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shot missed by Travis Dermott
Takeaway by Jason Spezza in offensive zone
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit on Milan Lucic in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Andrew Mangiapane
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Jake Muzzin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Ritchie saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Monahan saved by Jack Campbell
Takeaway by Jake Muzzin in defensive zone
Sean Monahan won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Ritchie saved by Jack Campbell
Brett Ritchie won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Ritchie saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Galchenyuk
Sean Monahan won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Sean Monahan won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Brett Ritchie credited with hit on Justin Holl in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Jacob Markstrom
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zach Hyman
Power play - Giveaway by Jason Spezza in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Derek Ryan in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Wayne Simmonds in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Mark Giordano shot blocked by Mitchell Marner
Shorthanded - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Nikita Nesterov 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Ilya Mikheyev)
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Michael Stone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Jacob Markstrom
Brett Ritchie credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
Brett Ritchie credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Monahan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot missed by Dillon Dube
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Jack Campbell
Sam Bennett credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Stone
Milan Lucic credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Travis Dermott
Dillon Dube credited with hit on Mitchell Marner in offensive zone
Jake Muzzin credited with hit on Dillon Dube in defensive zone
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by John Tavares
Sean Monahan won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Joe Thornton in defensive zone
Joakim Nordstrom credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Derek Ryan in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Zach Bogosian
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Sean Monahan won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Jacob Markstrom
Giveaway by Jason Spezza in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Jacob Markstrom
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Zach Hyman shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Travis Dermott shot blocked by Andrew Mangiapane
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Milan Lucic in defensive zone
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Christopher Tanev
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Brett Ritchie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joakim Nordstrom saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joakim Nordstrom saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Nikita Nesterov shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
Giveaway by Jason Spezza in offensive zone
Sam Bennett won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jacob Markstrom
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Alex Galchenyuk in defensive zone
Giveaway by Dillon Dube in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dillon Dube in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot missed by Sean Monahan
Sean Monahan won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - Player Equipment
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Jack Campbell
Takeaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joakim Nordstrom saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Jack Campbell
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
SHOT
Milan Lucic shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Spezza
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Dillon Dube credited with hit on Zach Hyman in defensive zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Brett Ritchie credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Sean Monahan won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 30 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 10 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 9 |
| |
|---|
| 30 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 10 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 9 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Flames
- Date: Monday, April 5, 2021
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -175, Flames +156
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 56%
- Flames: 44%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 56%, while the Flames have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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