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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on February 17, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
2
Feb 18, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Feb 18, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
P3 19:47 Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Jake Muzzin
P3 19:29 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 19:18 Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Frederik Andersen
P3 19:09 Erik Brannstrom shot blocked by Justin Holl
P3 18:44 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P3 17:49 Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Matt Murray
P3 17:17 Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Matt Murray
P3 16:38 Nikita Zaitsev shot blocked by Zach Hyman
P3 16:17 Mike Reilly shot blocked by Zach Hyman
P3 16:11 Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Frederik Andersen
P3 15:29 Shot on goal by Jason Spezza saved by Matt Murray
P3 15:03 Shot on goal by Nikita Zaitsev saved by Frederik Andersen
P3 14:55 Nicholas Paul shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 14:22 Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Frederik Andersen
P3 13:08 Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Justin Holl
P3 11:58 Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Frederik Andersen
P3 10:46 Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Matt Murray
P3 10:46 Goal scored by Alexander Kerfoot assisted by Jake Muzzin and T.J. Brodie
P3 10:44 Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Matt Murray
P3 10:18 Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Jake Muzzin
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Josh Norris credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Derek Stepan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Frederik Andersen
Giveaway by Jake Muzzin in defensive zone
SHOT
Erik Brannstrom shot blocked by Justin Holl
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Giveaway by Zach Hyman in defensive zone
Mike Reilly credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Zach Hyman in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Nikita Zaitsev shot blocked by Zach Hyman
Derek Stepan won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Derek Stepan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Mike Reilly shot blocked by Zach Hyman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Frederik Andersen
Zach Hyman credited with hit on Mike Reilly in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Colin White in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Spezza saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Jake Muzzin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zaitsev saved by Frederik Andersen
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by William Nylander
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Frederik Andersen
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Zach Bogosian in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Zach Bogosian in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Justin Holl
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Evgenii Dadonov credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jason Spezza in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout
Penalty to Zach Hyman 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Thomas Chabot)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Frederik Andersen
Takeaway by Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Norris won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Matt Murray
GOAL
Goal scored by Alexander Kerfoot assisted by Jake Muzzin and T.J. Brodie
1-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Matt Murray
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Travis Boyd shot blocked by Artem Zub
Zach Hyman credited with hit in neutral zone
Power play - John Tavares credited with hit on Erik Gudbranson in offensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Derek Stepan in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Nicholas Paul
Power play - Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout
Penalty to Nikita Zaitsev 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Joe Thornton)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Muzzin
Giveaway by Erik Gudbranson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Joe Thornton in offensive zone
Erik Gudbranson credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Frederik Andersen
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Erik Brannstrom in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jimmy Vesey saved by Matt Murray
Power play - Giveaway by Josh Norris in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Matt Murray
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Penalty to Mitchell Marner 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Mike Reilly)
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Derek Stepan in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Connor Brown
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Matt Murray
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Chris Tierney in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Matt Murray
Power play - Takeaway by Travis Boyd in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Derek Stepan won faceoff against Joe Thornton in defensive zone
Penalty to Erik Gudbranson 2 minutes for High Sticking
Erik Brannstrom credited with hit on Travis Boyd in defensive zone
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Chris Tierney in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
Giveaway by Derek Stepan in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Matt Murray
John Tavares credited with hit on Josh Norris in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Giveaway by Joe Thornton in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Chris Tierney in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Chris Tierney and Josh Norris
1-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Frederik Andersen
Shorthanded - Mitchell Marner won faceoff against Derek Stepan in defensive zone
Penalty to Travis Dermott 2 minutes for Holding
Takeaway by Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Travis Dermott shot blocked by Derek Stepan
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Austin Watson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitchell Marner saved by Matt Murray
Takeaway by Mitchell Marner in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Derek Stepan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Chris Tierney won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Matt Murray
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Colin White credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Erik Brannstrom credited with hit on Ilya Mikheyev in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Matt Murray
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Frederik Andersen
Senators credited with hit on Jimmy Vesey in defensive zone
Erik Gudbranson credited with hit on Travis Boyd in defensive zone
Takeaway by Travis Dermott in defensive zone
Artem Zub credited with hit on Mitchell Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Bogosian saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Jake Muzzin in defensive zone
Austin Watson credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Frederik Andersen
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Matt Murray
John Tavares won faceoff against Derek Stepan in defensive zone
Stoppage
John Tavares won faceoff against Derek Stepan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by Artem Anisimov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Shot missed by Colin White
Power play - Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Austin Watson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Derek Stepan saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Matt Murray
Shorthanded - Chris Tierney won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice
Takeaway by Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Chris Tierney credited with hit on Zach Hyman in offensive zone
Austin Watson credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Giveaway by Zach Hyman in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jimmy Vesey
Artem Zub credited with hit on Jason Spezza in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Reilly
Colin White won faceoff against Jason Spezza in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Frederik Andersen
Derek Stepan won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Derek Stepan won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Justin Holl
0-1
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Giveaway by Nikita Zaitsev in defensive zone
Joe Thornton won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Zach Hyman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Frederik Andersen
Derek Stepan won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Spezza saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot missed by T.J. Brodie
Chris Tierney won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Dermott saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Bogosian saved by Matt Murray
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Erik Gudbranson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Erik Gudbranson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgenii Dadonov saved by Frederik Andersen
Takeaway by Colin White in defensive zone
Mike Reilly credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
Takeaway by Nikita Zaitsev in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
Josh Norris won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Derek Stepan won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Matt Murray
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Colin White in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Takeaway by Nikita Zaitsev in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Derek Stepan won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Derek Stepan won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Frederik Andersen
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Norris won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Matt Murray
Travis Dermott credited with hit on Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Travis Boyd in defensive zone
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Reilly saved by Frederik Andersen
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Chris Tierney in defensive zone
Erik Gudbranson credited with hit in defensive zone
Giveaway by Erik Gudbranson in defensive zone
Erik Brannstrom credited with hit on Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Derek Stepan saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Matt Murray
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Derek Stepan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
Erik Brannstrom credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Reilly saved by Frederik Andersen
Mike Reilly credited with hit on Zach Hyman in defensive zone
Takeaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Giveaway by Evgenii Dadonov in neutral zone
Giveaway by Colin White in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin White saved by Frederik Andersen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Colin White in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Austin Watson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Drake Batherson in offensive zone
Derek Stepan won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Frederik Andersen
Colin White won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Frederik Andersen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Derek Stepan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Spezza saved by Matt Murray
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Tierney saved by Frederik Andersen
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Zach Hyman in defensive zone
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
Giveaway by Justin Holl in neutral zone
Derek Stepan won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Senators shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Erik Brannstrom shot blocked by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Frederik Andersen
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on William Nylander in neutral zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jason Spezza credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in neutral zone
Mike Reilly credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
Jake Muzzin credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Giveaway by Zach Bogosian in defensive zone
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Travis Dermott in offensive zone
Giveaway by Mitchell Marner in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Colin White in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zaitsev saved by Frederik Andersen
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Zach Hyman
John Tavares won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Colin White
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Boyd saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Zaitsev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Frederik Andersen
Austin Watson credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
SHOT
Austin Watson shot blocked by Jake Muzzin
Chris Tierney won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Erik Gudbranson credited with hit on Ilya Mikheyev in offensive zone
Giveaway by Travis Dermott in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 13 | |||
| 5 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 30 | Hits | 13 | |||
| 5 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Senators vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Senators vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Wednesday, February 17, 2021
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Senators +295, Maple Leafs -312
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Senators: 31%
- Maple Leafs: 69%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 31%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Senators vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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