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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on May 6, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
5
May 6, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
May 6, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Maple Leafs | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Maple Leafs | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
P3 19:47 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jack Campbell
P3 19:19 Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 18:27 Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Allen
P3 17:53 Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Allen
P3 17:24 Eric Staal shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
P3 17:14 Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 15:41 Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Mitchell Marner and Jake Muzzin
P3 15:31 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 15:16 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 15:12 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 15:06 Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Jack Campbell
P3 14:26 Corey Perry shot blocked by Justin Holl
P3 13:54 Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Jake Allen
P3 12:50 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jack Campbell
P3 12:34 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Allen
P3 12:30 Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 09:51 Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
P3 08:46 Shot missed by Jake Muzzin
P3 08:18 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 07:06 Mitchell Marner shot blocked by Jeff Petry
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Jesperi Kotkaniemi won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Jesperi Kotkaniemi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jack Campbell
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
Alexander Romanov credited with hit in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Power play - Giveaway by Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Power play - Takeaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Allen
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Artturi Lehkonen in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Allen
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Penalty to Cole Caufield 2 minutes for Tripping
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Roughing
SHOT
Eric Staal shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
John Tavares won faceoff against Eric Staal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jason Spezza in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Mitchell Marner and Jake Muzzin
2-5
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Jack Campbell
Giveaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
Takeaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
Eric Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Justin Holl
Justin Holl credited with hit on Brett Kulak in defensive zone
Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Jake Allen
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Josh Anderson in defensive zone
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in neutral zone
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Jesperi Kotkaniemi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Allen
Giveaway by Eric Staal in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Eric Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Eric Staal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Giveaway by Ben Chiarot in defensive zone
Joel Armia credited with hit on Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Giveaway by Tyler Toffoli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Muzzin
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Jake Evans credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Brett Kulak
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Mitchell Marner shot blocked by Jeff Petry
Power play - Corey Perry credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Canadiens
Shorthanded - Mitchell Marner credited with hit on Tomas Tatar in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
Shorthanded - Jason Spezza won faceoff against Eric Staal in defensive zone
Penalty to Alex Galchenyuk 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Galchenyuk saved by Jake Allen
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Tyler Toffoli
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Jake Allen
Giveaway by Joel Edmundson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nicholas Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Jake Allen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jack Campbell
Eric Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jack Campbell
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Eric Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Artturi Lehkonen assisted by Tyler Toffoli
2-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Toffoli saved by Jack Campbell
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Eric Staal in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Tomas Tatar in defensive zone
Jesperi Kotkaniemi won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jesperi Kotkaniemi saved by Jack Campbell
Jesperi Kotkaniemi credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Jesperi Kotkaniemi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Jesperi Kotkaniemi shot blocked by Travis Dermott
Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Alex Galchenyuk credited with hit on Jeff Petry in offensive zone
Giveaway by Cole Caufield in offensive zone
Eric Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Jon Merrill credited with hit on Ilya Mikheyev in neutral zone
Giveaway by Jake Muzzin in defensive zone
Takeaway by Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Jake Allen
Tyler Toffoli credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit on Tyler Toffoli in offensive zone
Nicholas Suzuki credited with hit on Travis Dermott in offensive zone
Takeaway by William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
Giveaway by Mitchell Marner in offensive zone
Takeaway by Mitchell Marner in offensive zone
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Jack Campbell
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Travis Dermott credited with hit on Eric Staal in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Josh Anderson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Corey Perry
Shorthanded - Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Nicholas Suzuki in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jack Campbell in defensive zone
Penalty to T.J. Brodie 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Josh Anderson)
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
Joe Thornton won faceoff against Jesperi Kotkaniemi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Suzuki saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Nicholas Suzuki shot blocked by Justin Holl
Takeaway by Jack Campbell in defensive zone
Takeaway by Jeff Petry in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Jake Allen
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Nicholas Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Wayne Simmonds in defensive zone
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Eric Staal in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Jack Campbell
Takeaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Takeaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
Giveaway by Ben Chiarot in defensive zone
Jesperi Kotkaniemi won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Jake Allen
Jeff Petry credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Jesperi Kotkaniemi won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Power play - Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Nicholas Suzuki in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Shorthanded - Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Maple Leafs shot blocked by Joel Armia
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Jake Allen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jake Allen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Suzuki in offensive zone
Penalty to Joel Edmundson 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Alexander Kerfoot)
Giveaway by Jake Evans in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Jake Allen
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
Giveaway by Jeff Petry in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Eric Staal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Giveaway by Justin Holl in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
Giveaway by Jason Spezza in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Armia
Takeaway by John Tavares in neutral zone
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Alex Galchenyuk in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Jesperi Kotkaniemi credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
Jesperi Kotkaniemi won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Edmundson saved by Jack Campbell
Artturi Lehkonen credited with hit on Travis Dermott in offensive zone
Nicholas Suzuki credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in neutral zone
Tomas Tatar credited with hit on Alex Galchenyuk in defensive zone
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Muzzin
Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jake Allen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Jake Allen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Jake Allen
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
Takeaway by Jason Spezza in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Spezza saved by Jake Allen
Nicholas Suzuki credited with hit in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against Jason Spezza in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Joel Edmundson credited with hit on Joe Thornton in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Joe Thornton
Joel Edmundson credited with hit on Alex Galchenyuk in defensive zone
Alex Galchenyuk credited with hit on Jake Evans in neutral zone
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Power play - Josh Anderson credited with hit on Mitchell Marner in offensive zone
Power play - Jesperi Kotkaniemi won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
Power play - Giveaway by Corey Perry in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Nicholas Suzuki in neutral zone
Canadiens replaced goalie. (Jake Allen)
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Toffoli
Power play - Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Penalty to Pierre Engvall 2 minutes for Interference
SHOT
Shot missed by Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Giveaway by Jake Muzzin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Cayden Primeau
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Muzzin
Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Eric Staal in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Holl
Jesperi Kotkaniemi won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitchell Marner assisted by Joe Thornton and Rasmus Sandin
0-4
Jake Evans credited with hit on Travis Dermott in offensive zone
Cole Caufield credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Cayden Primeau
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Cayden Primeau
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wayne Simmonds saved by Cayden Primeau
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Nicholas Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nicholas Suzuki won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
Giveaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Canadiens shot blocked by Mitchell Marner
Jesperi Kotkaniemi won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in offensive zone
Jason Spezza won faceoff against Jesperi Kotkaniemi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Cayden Primeau
Giveaway by Jon Merrill in offensive zone
Takeaway by Nicholas Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Galchenyuk saved by Cayden Primeau
SHOT
Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
Giveaway by Travis Dermott in defensive zone
SHOT
Eric Staal shot blocked by Travis Dermott
Eric Staal won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cayden Primeau
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Tomas Tatar in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Cayden Primeau
Artturi Lehkonen credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Jesperi Kotkaniemi in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Pierre Engvall assisted by Jason Spezza
0-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Cayden Primeau
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Jack Campbell
Brett Kulak credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Brett Kulak credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cayden Primeau
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
Power play - Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
Power play - Giveaway by Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Power play - Jason Spezza won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Penalty to Jake Evans 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Stefan Noesen)
Alexander Romanov credited with hit in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Cayden Primeau
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Cayden Primeau
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jesperi Kotkaniemi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Jack Campbell
Joel Armia credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Jack Campbell
Giveaway by Jack Campbell in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Suzuki in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by Jake Muzzin
0-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Muzzin saved by Cayden Primeau
Takeaway by Wayne Simmonds in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eric Staal saved by Jack Campbell
SHOT
Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Eric Staal in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Eric Staal saved by Jack Campbell
Artturi Lehkonen credited with hit on Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Artturi Lehkonen credited with hit on Justin Holl in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Suzuki in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Galchenyuk assisted by William Nylander and John Tavares
0-1
John Tavares won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 21 | Shots on Goal | 35 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 37 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 6 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 19 |
| |
|---|
| 21 | Shots on Goal | 35 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 37 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 6 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 19 |
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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Thursday, May 6, 2021
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +194, Maple Leafs -200
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 37%
- Maple Leafs: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 37%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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