- Predictions
Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Nuggets NBA game on June 4, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
108
Jun 5, 12AM Ball Arena
Jun 5, 12AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 26 | 25 | 24 | 36 | 111 |
Nuggets | 23 | 34 | 26 | 25 | 108 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 26 | 25 | 24 | 36 | 111 |
Nuggets | 23 | 34 | 26 | 25 | 108 |
Q4 00:35 Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
Q4 1:14 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Duncan Robinson misses three point floating jump shot
Q4 1:50 Bruce Brown makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:53 Nikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 2:12 Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Jamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot
Q4 2:46 Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:13 Aaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
Q4 4:33 Bam Adebayo blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving finger roll layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
111-108
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-106
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point floating jump shot
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point pullup jump shot
109-103
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
109-101
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot
109-101
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
+3
Aaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
107-98
Bam Adebayo turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving finger roll layup
+1
Kyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 3
99-93
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)
98-93
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
98-91
Aaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
98-91
+3
Jimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)
95-89
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
95-89
Jimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Duncan Robinson personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
92-87
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-87
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-86
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Gabe Vincent personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-85
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-85
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
88-85
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Bruce Brown)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Jeff Green offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Jeff Green turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
86-85
Nuggets turnover (shot clock violation)
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Caleb Martin blocks Jamal Murray's three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Bruce Brown)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot
83-85
Jeff Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Heat offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Gabe Vincent assists)
80-85
+1
Jeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-84
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jeff Green, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Bruce Brown)
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-83
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-80
Cody Zeller shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot
75-79
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Cody Zeller)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot
72-77
+2
Cody Zeller makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
72-75
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-75
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-74
Max Strus shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
70-73
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot
70-73
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses two point running finger roll layup
Gabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Bruce Brown steals)
Bruce Brown turnover (Gabe Vincent steals)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-71
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-71
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Bruce Brown)
Heat 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
66-71
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
66-69
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
66-68
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 3
66-67
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo kicked ball violation
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)
66-66
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Gabe Vincent shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses two point jump shot
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot
64-66
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
+1
Bam Adebayo makes clear path free throw 1 of 2
64-64
+1
Bam Adebayo makes clear path free throw 2 of 2
64-64
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
62-64
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
59-64
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
59-61
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
54-59
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
54-57
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kevin Love, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)
51-57
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)
Aaron Gordon personal foul
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
49-57
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
49-55
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 3 of 3
47-55
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 3
47-54
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 3
47-53
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses two point jump shot
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot
47-52
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup
45-52
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
43-52
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Nikola Jokic's two point jump shot
+1
Max Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 3
43-50
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point cutting layup
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Christian Braun shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point running layup
40-50
Bruce Brown turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)
+3
Kevin Love makes three point stepback jump shot (Max Strus assists)
38-50
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup
38-50
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses two point jump shot
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jeff Green, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Braun, Bruce Brown)
Bruce Brown personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+2
Christian Braun makes two point running dunk (Jamal Murray assists)
35-48
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Kevin Love misses two point tip layup
Kevin Love misses two point floating jump shot
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
+1
Jeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-46
Nuggets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Bruce Brown)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kevin Love, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)
+1
Jeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-45
Haywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)
+3
Jimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)
35-44
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
32-44
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-42
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)
Max Strus shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
32-41
Kyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
Gabe Vincent personal foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
29-36
Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Lowry, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Jeff Green makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
29-33
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon blocks Caleb Martin's two point cutting layup
+3
Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
29-30
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
29-27
+1
Jeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-27
+1
Jeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-26
Haywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)
Kyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Christian Braun turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Caleb Martin turnover
+2
Christian Braun makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
26-25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jeff Green, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Bruce Brown)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo)
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets offensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Cody Zeller)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses two point jump shot
+2
Christian Braun makes two point driving layup
26-23
Jeff Green offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
26-21
Nuggets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Bruce Brown)
Caleb Martin offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Caleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
24-17
Duncan Robinson personal foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Jeff Green, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown)
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Cody Zeller)
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
24-15
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
21-15
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Cody Zeller, Max Strus)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
21-12
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kevin Love, Max Strus)
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot
21-10
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Jimmy Butler's two point pullup jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Bruce Brown)
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
16-10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-7
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-7
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot
12-5
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
12-5
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Gabe Vincent's two point fadeaway jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)
Michael Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Max Strus blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving layup
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround bank jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (back court violation)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
10-2
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point driving layup
10-2
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot
10-0
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point running pullup jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
10-0
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
10-0
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point driving finger roll layup
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Bam Adebayo vs. Nikola Jokic (Kevin Love gains possession)
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Kevin Love, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 7 | K. Lowry | 9 | 0 | 3 |
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 21 | 4 | 9 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 21 | 9 | 4 |
| G | 2 | G. Vincent | 23 | 0 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 50 | A. Gordon | 12 | 7 | 2 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 18 | 4 | 10 |
| C | 15 | N. Jokic | 41 | 11 | 4 |
| F | 1 | M. Porter Jr. | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| G-F | 11 | B. Brown | 11 | 5 | 0 |
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Heat vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Nuggets
- Date: Sunday, June 4, 2023
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 213.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +285, Nuggets -340
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 27%
- Nuggets: 73%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 105-112 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 27%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 73%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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