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Heat vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Pacers NBA game on October 23, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
91
102
Oct 23, 11PM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Oct 23, 11PM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 24 | 22 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 91 |
Pacers | 28 | 28 | 8 | 22 | 16 | 102 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 24 | 22 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 91 |
Pacers | 28 | 28 | 8 | 22 | 16 | 102 |
OT1 00:35 Tyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot
OT1 1:04 Bam Adebayo misses two point putback layup
OT1 1:07 Bam Adebayo misses two point driving layup
OT1 1:37 Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
OT1 1:38 Domantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot
OT1 2:27 Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:37 Domantas Sabonis misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:51 Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
OT1 3:48 Oshae Brissett makes two point putback layup
OT1 3:50 Domantas Sabonis misses two point turnaround jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Oshae Brissett steals)
+1
Chris Duarte makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-102
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Oshae Brissett, Isaiah Jackson)
+1
Chris Duarte makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-101
Duncan Robinson personal foul (Chris Duarte draws the foul)
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Malcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Pacers lineup change (Malcolm Brogdon, Torrey Craig, Justin Holiday, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
Heat delay of game violation
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-100
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-99
Duncan Robinson personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point putback layup
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving layup
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-98
Domantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
91-97
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot
88-97
Duncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Chris Duarte steals)
Domantas Sabonis kicked ball violation
+1
Chris Duarte makes regular free throw 3 of 3
88-95
+1
Chris Duarte makes regular free throw 2 of 3
88-94
+1
Chris Duarte makes regular free throw 1 of 3
88-93
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Chris Duarte draws the foul)
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
P.J. Tucker defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses three point jump shot
P.J. Tucker personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-92
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-91
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Oshae Brissett makes two point putback layup
88-90
Oshae Brissett offensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
88-88
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point layup
88-88
Domantas Sabonis (Justin Holiday gains possession)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses three point turnaround jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup
Oshae Brissett personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point step back jump shot
86-86
Malcolm Brogdon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
+1
Oshae Brissett makes regular free throw 3 of 3
86-86
Oshae Brissett misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Oshae Brissett misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Pacers offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Oshae Brissett draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+3
Oshae Brissett makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)
83-85
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
83-82
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 1
80-82
Jimmy Butler shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point driving jump shot
80-81
Chris Duarte defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point jump shot
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)
Pacers offensive rebound
Oshae Brissett misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
80-79
+3
Chris Duarte makes three point jump shot
80-79
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
Markieff Morris offensive foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)
Markieff Morris turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Justin Holiday makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
78-76
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot
78-73
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
Heat 60 second timeout
Malcolm Brogdon turnover (out of bounds step)
Malcolm Brogdon offensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses three point jump shot
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point jump shot
+2
Markieff Morris makes two point turnaround jump shot
76-73
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 1
74-73
Heat lineup change (Markieff Morris, Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
Max Strus shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point finger roll layup
74-72
Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point step back jump shot
74-70
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
74-68
+2
T.J. McConnell makes two point jump shot
74-68
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Markieff Morris misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Justin Holiday misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
71-66
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Markieff Morris misses three point jump shot
Gabe Vincent offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Malcolm Brogdon, Jeremy Lamb, Torrey Craig, Domantas Sabonis)
Myles Turner offensive foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
Myles Turner turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
69-66
+2
Myles Turner makes two point turnaround jump shot
69-66
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-64
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-64
T.J. McConnell shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Max Strus defensive rebound
Myles Turner misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Max Strus defensive rebound
Torrey Craig misses three point jump shot
+2
Markieff Morris makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)
65-64
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, T.J. McConnell, Malcolm Brogdon, Jeremy Lamb, Torrey Craig)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses three point jump shot
Jeremy Lamb defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jeremy Lamb, Torrey Craig, Chris Duarte, Isaiah Jackson)
Heat lineup change (Markieff Morris, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Oshae Brissett offensive foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
Oshae Brissett turnover (offensive foul)
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
63-64
+2
Oshae Brissett makes two point finger roll layup
63-64
+3
Jimmy Butler makes three point step back jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)
63-62
Heat lineup change (Markieff Morris, Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
Chris Duarte turnover (traveling)
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, P.J. Tucker, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)
Pacers defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Oshae Brissett misses two point layup
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point finger roll layup
P.J. Tucker defensive rebound
Oshae Brissett misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jeremy Lamb, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
Heat 60 second timeout
Jimmy Butler turnover (traveling)
Heat offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point layup
Oshae Brissett turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
58-62
Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot
Dewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)
Dewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)
P.J. Tucker defensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses two point layup
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
P.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jeremy Lamb misses two point floating jump shot
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Malcolm Brogdon, Jeremy Lamb, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
Duncan Robinson turnover (traveling)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Justin Holiday misses three point jump shot
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point jump shot
56-62
Oshae Brissett offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Oshae Brissett turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)
54-62
P.J. Tucker defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses three point step back jump shot
Oshae Brissett offensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses three point jump shot
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Justin Holiday blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point floating jump shot
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
Gabe Vincent offensive foul (Chris Duarte draws the foul)
Gabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
52-62
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
52-60
+2
Oshae Brissett makes two point dunk (Domantas Sabonis assists)
52-60
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis offensive foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)
Domantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Gabe Vincent personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)
50-58
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point reverse layup
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point step back jump shot
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point driving layup
48-58
Chris Duarte defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon blocks Jimmy Butler's two point dunk
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Chris Duarte draws the foul)
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot
Justin Holiday personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Malcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (P.J. Tucker assists)
48-56
Pacers lineup change (Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
Instant replay (Request)
Myles Turner offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Myles Turner turnover (offensive foul)
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis)
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)
End of 1st Half.
Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound
Isaiah Jackson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Isaiah Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-56
Dewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-55
Pacers lineup change (Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Oshae Brissett, Isaiah Jackson)
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-54
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
46-53
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
Pacers lineup change (Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
Myles Turner offensive foul (Charge) (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)
Myles Turner turnover (offensive foul)
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point layup
Pacers turnover
Instant replay (Request)
P.J. Tucker personal foul (Take) (Chris Duarte draws the foul)
Gabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Domantas Sabonis steals)
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point putback layup
43-53
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point reverse layup
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
43-51
Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point jump shot
Chris Duarte defensive rebound
P.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot
+2
Justin Holiday makes two point layup
43-51
Gabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Justin Holiday steals)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point finger roll layup
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point jump shot
Chris Duarte offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
41-49
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Oshae Brissett misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Justin Holiday makes two point layup
39-49
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point layup
Pacers lineup change (Malcolm Brogdon, Jeremy Lamb, Justin Holiday, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-47
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-47
Instant replay (Request)
Malcolm Brogdon personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
P.J. Tucker defensive rebound
Justin Holiday misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-47
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, T.J. McConnell, Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Oshae Brissett)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-47
Chris Duarte shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
P.J. Tucker defensive rebound
Myles Turner misses two point turnaround jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+3
Oshae Brissett makes three point jump shot (Chris Duarte assists)
35-47
T.J. McConnell offensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses two point finger roll layup
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point dunk
35-44
+3
Oshae Brissett makes three point step back jump shot
35-44
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Myles Turner blocks Tyler Herro's two point finger roll layup
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point layup
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, T.J. McConnell, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Oshae Brissett)
Heat lineup change (Markieff Morris, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-41
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Myles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Max Strus defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point step back jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+2
Myles Turner makes two point layup (Oshae Brissett assists)
32-41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Markieff Morris, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
Dewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Oshae Brissett draws the foul)
Dewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, T.J. McConnell, Jeremy Lamb, Chris Duarte, Oshae Brissett)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Oshae Brissett makes two point finger roll layup (T.J. McConnell assists)
32-39
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot
32-37
+3
Jeremy Lamb makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)
32-37
Jimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)
+2
Chris Duarte makes two point layup (T.J. McConnell assists)
32-34
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
30-32
Domantas Sabonis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point putback layup
30-32
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point putback layup
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point finger roll layup
27-32
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
27-30
Pacers personal foul
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
26-30
Domantas Sabonis offensive foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
Domantas Sabonis turnover (offensive foul)
Jeremy Lamb defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point alley-oop layup (T.J. McConnell assists)
24-30
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers offensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses two point layup
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jeremy Lamb, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis, Oshae Brissett)
Heat lineup change (Markieff Morris, Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler)
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Jeremy Lamb misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
24-28
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Markieff Morris turnover (lost ball) (Torrey Craig steals)
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point putback dunk
22-28
Malcolm Brogdon offensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses two point finger roll layup
Tyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Domantas Sabonis steals)
+3
Jeremy Lamb makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)
22-26
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point driving layup
22-23
+3
Jeremy Lamb makes three point jump shot (Torrey Craig assists)
22-23
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
22-20
+3
Jeremy Lamb makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)
17-20
Max Strus offensive rebound
+2
Max Strus makes two point putback layup
17-17
Markieff Morris misses two point jump shot
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point dunk (Malcolm Brogdon assists)
17-17
Torrey Craig offensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat lineup change (Markieff Morris, Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Gabe Vincent shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)
+2
T.J. McConnell makes two point reverse layup
15-15
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Jeremy Lamb turnover (traveling)
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Malcolm Brogdon, Jeremy Lamb, Torrey Craig, Domantas Sabonis)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Torrey Craig makes two point finger roll layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)
15-13
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving layup
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Domantas Sabonis misses two point turnaround hook shot
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Malcolm Brogdon, Torrey Craig, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis)
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Gabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses three point step back jump shot
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point finger roll layup
15-11
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)
15-9
P.J. Tucker defensive rebound
Torrey Craig misses three point jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
15-9
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
Bam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
P.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot
Malcolm Brogdon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-9
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-9
Myles Turner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Gabe Vincent offensive rebound
Myles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Myles Turner misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Malcolm Brogdon, Torrey Craig, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte)
Heat personal foul
Jimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Chris Duarte makes two point jump shot
8-9
Chris Duarte defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
+2
Chris Duarte makes two point step back jump shot
8-7
P.J. Tucker personal foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-5
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Justin Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+3
Chris Duarte makes three point jump shot
7-5
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Chris Duarte misses two point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot
7-2
+2
Domantas Sabonis makes two point reverse layup (Justin Holiday assists)
7-2
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point step back jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Justin Holiday misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
5-0
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Myles Turner misses three point jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
5-0
Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (P.J. Tucker gains possession)
Pacers lineup change (Myles Turner, Malcolm Brogdon, Justin Holiday, Chris Duarte, Domantas Sabonis)
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 17 | P. Tucker | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 17 | 16 | 3 |
| G | 55 | D. Robinson | 14 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 19 | 6 | 6 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 9 | T. McConnell | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| F | 8 | J. Holiday | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 3 | C. Duarte | 19 | 5 | 1 |
| F-G | 12 | O. Brissett | 18 | 9 | 1 |
| F | 23 | I. Jackson | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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Heat vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Pacers
- Date: Saturday, October 23, 2021
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -3
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -146, Pacers +140
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 64%
- Pacers: 36%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 113-109 Pacers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 64%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 36%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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