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Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Celtics NBA game on May 9, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
130
122
May 9, 5PM TD Garden
May 9, 5PM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 36 | 43 | 26 | 25 | 130 |
Celtics | 23 | 30 | 31 | 40 | 122 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 36 | 43 | 26 | 25 | 130 |
Celtics | 23 | 30 | 31 | 40 | 122 |
Q4 00:05 Evan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
Q4 00:15 Jayson Tatum makes two point dunk (Aaron Nesmith assists)
Q4 00:48 Jayson Tatum misses three point step back jump shot
Q4 00:56 Jimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot
Q4 1:14 Kemba Walker makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
Q4 1:23 Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Jayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)
Q4 2:01 Bam Adebayo makes two point putback layup
Q4 2:06 Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:42 Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+3
Evan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
130-124
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-121
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-121
Heat violation
Aaron Nesmith personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point dunk (Aaron Nesmith assists)
128-121
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-119
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Aaron Nesmith personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Celtics lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart)
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
127-119
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Jump ball. Marcus Smart vs. Jimmy Butler (Celtics gains possession)
Jimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point step back jump shot
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot
127-118
Marcus Smart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+3
Kemba Walker makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
125-118
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
125-115
+3
Jayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)
123-115
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point putback layup
123-112
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Evan Fournier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
121-112
+3
Evan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
121-112
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-109
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-109
Tristan Thompson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point finger roll layup
116-109
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
Instant replay
Celtics 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Instant replay (Challenge)
Evan Fournier shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Instant replay (Request)
Evan Fournier personal foul (Take) (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)
Jayson Tatum turnover
+3
Jimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)
116-107
+2
Kemba Walker makes two point floating jump shot
113-107
Tristan Thompson defensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point finger roll layup (Evan Fournier assists)
113-105
Goran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)
Trevor Ariza defensive rebound
Kemba Walker misses three point jump shot
Tristan Thompson offensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson turnover (traveling)
+2
Kemba Walker makes two point driving layup (Evan Fournier assists)
113-103
Tristan Thompson offensive rebound
Kemba Walker misses two point driving layup
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk
113-101
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Evan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
111-101
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic)
Goran Dragic personal foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)
Kemba Walker defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving layup
111-98
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart, Tristan Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro)
Carsen Edwards turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Carsen Edwards defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza defensive rebound
Carsen Edwards misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Carsen Edwards, Kemba Walker, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart, Tristan Thompson)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot
111-96
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Goran Dragic assists)
109-96
+1
Carsen Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-96
+1
Carsen Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-95
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Carsen Edwards draws the foul)
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses two point dunk
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Andre Iguodala misses three point jump shot
+3
Carsen Edwards makes three point jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)
107-94
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andre Iguodala, Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point step back jump shot
Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Kemba Walker makes two point jump shot
107-91
Tristan Thompson defensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses two point turnaround jump shot
+3
Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Kemba Walker assists)
107-89
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Kemba Walker steals)
+2
Aaron Nesmith makes two point layup
107-86
Andre Iguodala turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Nesmith steals)
Andre Iguodala defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
107-84
Celtics lineup change (Carsen Edwards, Aaron Nesmith, Payton Pritchard, Kemba Walker, Tristan Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Andre Iguodala, Dewayne Dedmon, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
Goran Dragic defensive rebound
Luke Kornet misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses three point jump shot
Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
+2
Dewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
105-84
Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro)
Marcus Smart turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Dewayne Dedmon makes two point driving hook shot
103-84
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
101-84
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses two point jump shot
Marcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
101-82
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-82
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-81
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
99-80
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Carsen Edwards misses three point jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-80
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-80
Celtics lineup change (Carsen Edwards, Aaron Nesmith, Jayson Tatum, Marcus Smart, Luke Kornet)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Carsen Edwards personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)
95-80
+3
Goran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)
95-78
Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-78
Dewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)
92-77
Celtics lineup change (Carsen Edwards, Jayson Tatum, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart, Luke Kornet)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics offensive rebound
Dewayne Dedmon blocks Marcus Smart's two point jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)
92-75
Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound
Tristan Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Celtics lineup change (Carsen Edwards, Jayson Tatum, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart, Tristan Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic)
Tristan Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Tristan Thompson draws the foul)
+2
Trevor Ariza makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
89-75
Trevor Ariza defensive rebound
Evan Fournier misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Evan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
87-75
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic)
Tristan Thompson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point finger roll layup (Evan Fournier assists)
87-72
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
87-70
+1
Kemba Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-70
+1
Kemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-69
Kendrick Nunn shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)
Tristan Thompson offensive rebound
Evan Fournier misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
85-68
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Kemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 1
83-68
Kendrick Nunn shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
83-67
Bam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Evan Fournier makes two point finger roll layup
83-65
Kemba Walker defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Tristan Thompson defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Evan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
83-63
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
83-60
Evan Fournier personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
Jayson Tatum personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses two point driving layup
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot
Marcus Smart offensive foul (Charge) (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)
Marcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)
Kendrick Nunn personal foul (Tristan Thompson draws the foul)
Celtics offensive rebound
Evan Fournier misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tristan Thompson defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-60
Kemba Walker shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+1
Kemba Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-60
+1
Kemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-59
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses two point turnaround hook shot
+3
Evan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
79-55
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses two point finger roll layup
+1
Kemba Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-55
+1
Kemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-54
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)
Trevor Ariza personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Celtics lineup change (Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart, Tristan Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson)
End of 1st Half.
+3
Trevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
79-53
+2
Evan Fournier makes two point step back jump shot
79-53
Evan Fournier offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
+2
Trevor Ariza makes two point driving layup
76-51
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
74-51
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-49
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-49
Jayson Tatum shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
+3
Evan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
72-49
Celtics 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
72-46
Jayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Jayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Trevor Ariza makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)
69-46
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
67-46
Celtics lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum, Evan Fournier, Tristan Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro)
Marcus Smart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving layup
67-46
+3
Jayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)
64-46
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-43
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-43
Kemba Walker personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Marcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kemba Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Kemba Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-43
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+1
Trevor Ariza makes regular free throw 1 of 1
62-42
Evan Fournier shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)
+2
Trevor Ariza makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
61-42
Trevor Ariza defensive rebound
Kemba Walker misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler turnover (Kemba Walker steals)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Tristan Thompson defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart, Tristan Thompson)
Grant Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+3
Marcus Smart makes three point jump shot
59-42
+3
Trevor Ariza makes three point step back jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)
59-39
Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Marcus Smart (Duncan Robinson gains possession)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+2
Tristan Thompson makes two point putback layup
56-39
Grant Williams misses three point jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-37
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-37
Grant Williams shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Kemba Walker turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)
+2
Trevor Ariza makes two point floating jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)
54-37
Celtics lineup change (Kemba Walker, Grant Williams, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart, Tristan Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point driving layup
52-37
+2
Andre Iguodala makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
52-35
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
50-35
+2
Kendrick Nunn makes two point layup (Andre Iguodala assists)
50-33
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Andre Iguodala, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum blocks Goran Dragic's two point jump shot
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point jump shot (Robert Williams III assists)
48-33
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
48-31
Marcus Smart personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point finger roll layup (Grant Williams assists)
45-31
Celtics lineup change (Kemba Walker, Grant Williams, Jayson Tatum, Robert Williams III, Marcus Smart)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Andre Iguodala, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
45-29
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Grant Williams misses two point jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot
+2
Grant Williams makes two point layup (Robert Williams III assists)
42-29
+2
Andre Iguodala makes two point jump shot
42-27
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point finger roll layup
40-27
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Andre Iguodala misses two point step back jump shot
Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics offensive rebound
Grant Williams misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)
40-25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Goran Dragic offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Payton Pritchard personal foul
Kendrick Nunn defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses two point step back jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)
38-25
+2
Robert Williams III makes two point layup (Payton Pritchard assists)
38-25
Celtics lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Payton Pritchard, Grant Williams, Jayson Tatum, Robert Williams III)
End of 1st Quarter.
Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
+3
Kendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)
36-23
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-23
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-22
Dewayne Dedmon personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)
+3
Goran Dragic makes three point jump shot
33-21
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-21
Celtics lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Payton Pritchard, Grant Williams, Jayson Tatum, Tristan Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Andre Iguodala, Dewayne Dedmon, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-20
Goran Dragic shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point dunk
30-19
Kemba Walker turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Andre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Tristan Thompson steals)
+3
Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
28-19
+3
Goran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)
28-16
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Evan Fournier misses three point jump shot
Dewayne Dedmon personal foul (Kemba Walker draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)
25-16
Celtics lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum, Evan Fournier, Tristan Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, Tyler Herro)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Kemba Walker makes two point jump shot
23-16
+2
Trevor Ariza makes two point finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
23-14
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Evan Fournier blocks Goran Dragic's two point driving layup
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Tristan Thompson defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza misses three point jump shot
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-14
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-13
Goran Dragic shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic)
Trevor Ariza personal foul (Tristan Thompson draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
21-12
+2
Aaron Nesmith makes two point putback layup
21-12
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses two point layup
Tristan Thompson defensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses three point jump shot
Goran Dragic defensive rebound
Kemba Walker misses two point finger roll layup
Tristan Thompson defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
+2
Aaron Nesmith makes two point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
19-10
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-8
Celtics lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Kemba Walker, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart, Tristan Thompson)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson, Goran Dragic)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-8
Evan Fournier shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses two point layup
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot
17-8
Marcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Kendrick Nunn makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
14-8
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Robert Williams III blocks Duncan Robinson's two point layup
Kemba Walker turnover (lost ball) (Trevor Ariza steals)
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)
12-8
Kendrick Nunn defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point step back jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)
9-8
Jimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds step)
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point layup
9-6
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot
Jayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kemba Walker misses three point jump shot
+3
Kendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
9-4
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza blocks Kemba Walker's two point finger roll layup
+2
Kendrick Nunn makes two point jump shot
6-4
+2
Robert Williams III makes two point driving layup (Evan Fournier assists)
6-4
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point jump shot
4-2
+2
Evan Fournier makes two point finger roll layup (Kemba Walker assists)
4-2
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-0
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
1-0
Marcus Smart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Evan Fournier misses three point jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Marcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo vs. Robert Williams III (Duncan Robinson gains possession)
Celtics lineup change (Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum, Robert Williams III, Evan Fournier, Marcus Smart)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 20 | 6 | 3 |
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 26 | 8 | 11 |
| F | 8 | T. Ariza | 19 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 55 | D. Robinson | 22 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 7 | G. Dragic | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 26 | A. Nesmith | 16 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 8 | K. Walker | 18 | 2 | 6 |
| F | 0 | J. Tatum | 29 | 5 | 6 |
| F | 94 | E. Fournier | 30 | 3 | 8 |
| G | 36 | M. Smart | 16 | 2 | 4 |
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Heat vs. Celtics: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Celtics
- Date: Sunday, May 9, 2021
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -1
- Total (Over/Under): 222.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +100, Celtics -110
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 46%
- Celtics: 54%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 111-112 Celtics.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 46%, while the Celtics have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at TD Garden on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Celtics predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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