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Heat vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Spurs NBA game on April 21, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
107
87
Apr 22, 12:30AM AT&T Center
Apr 22, 12:30AM AT&T Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 24 | 26 | 30 | 107 |
Spurs | 27 | 26 | 19 | 15 | 87 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 24 | 26 | 30 | 107 |
Spurs | 27 | 26 | 19 | 15 | 87 |
Q4 00:57 Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)
Q4 1:46 Tre Jones misses two point driving layup
Q4 2:04 Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
Q4 2:47 Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:05 Devin Vassell misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 3:26 Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
Q4 3:49 Keita Bates-Diop makes two point layup (Devin Vassell assists)
Q4 4:09 Kendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
+1
Keita Bates-Diop makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-87
+1
Keita Bates-Diop makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-86
KZ Okpala shooting foul (Keita Bates-Diop draws the foul)
+1
Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-85
Precious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Gorgui Dieng shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Luka Samanic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Luka Samanic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Max Strus shooting foul (Luka Samanic draws the foul)
Keita Bates-Diop defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)
106-85
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Max Strus, Precious Achiuwa, KZ Okpala, Gabe Vincent)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
KZ Okpala defensive rebound
Tre Jones misses two point driving layup
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Precious Achiuwa, Tyler Herro, KZ Okpala, Gabe Vincent)
Trevor Ariza personal foul (Take) (Keita Bates-Diop draws the foul)
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
103-85
+1
Tre Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-85
+1
Tre Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-84
Kendrick Nunn shooting foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)
Luka Samanic defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Kendrick Nunn defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point turnaround jump shot
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
100-83
+2
Keita Bates-Diop makes two point layup (Devin Vassell assists)
100-83
Spurs lineup change (Tre Jones, Devin Vassell, Keita Bates-Diop, Gorgui Dieng, Luka Samanic)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses three point jump shot
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
97-81
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Tyler Herro blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Derrick White, Keldon Johnson, Rudy Gay, DeMar DeRozan)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
94-81
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses three point jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-81
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-81
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Dejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
89-81
+1
Jakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-81
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Trevor Ariza)
+1
Jakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-80
Trevor Ariza shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
Patty Mills misses three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
87-79
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Ariza)
Heat 60 second timeout
Trevor Ariza defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses two point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Keldon Johnson, Patty Mills, Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan)
Goran Dragic personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses three point jump shot
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Derrick White, Keldon Johnson, Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan)
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point jump shot
Rudy Gay turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses two point step back jump shot
+3
KZ Okpala makes three point jump shot
85-79
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl blocks Tyler Herro's two point jump shot
+2
Rudy Gay makes two point floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)
85-79
Lonnie Walker IV violation
+2
Kendrick Nunn makes two point jump shot
82-77
Kendrick Nunn defensive rebound
Derrick White misses two point floating jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses three point jump shot
+2
Rudy Gay makes two point floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
82-77
Rudy Gay defensive rebound
KZ Okpala misses three point jump shot
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
80-75
+3
Kendrick Nunn makes three point step back jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
80-72
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Derrick White, Lonnie Walker IV, Rudy Gay, Jakob Poeltl)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Kendrick Nunn defensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses two point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)
77-72
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Drew Eubanks blocks Goran Dragic's two point finger roll layup
Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
+2
Drew Eubanks makes two point putback dunk
75-72
Rudy Gay misses two point turnaround jump shot
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Goran Dragic, KZ Okpala)
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Goran Dragic, KZ Okpala)
Dewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)
Dewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Derrick White makes two point floating jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)
75-70
+2
Goran Dragic makes two point turnaround jump shot
75-68
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
73-68
KZ Okpala personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)
Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
Patty Mills misses three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
73-66
Goran Dragic defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Drew Eubanks, Derrick White, Lonnie Walker IV, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills)
Jimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)
Dewayne Dedmon defensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses three point jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 3 of 3
71-66
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 3
70-66
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 3
70-66
Rudy Gay shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV misses two point jump shot
+3
Goran Dragic makes three point jump shot
68-66
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-66
Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, KZ Okpala, Duncan Robinson)
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-65
KZ Okpala shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-64
Spurs lineup change (Drew Eubanks, Lonnie Walker IV, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Goran Dragic, KZ Okpala, Duncan Robinson)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-64
Drew Eubanks shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)
63-64
DeMar DeRozan personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Drew Eubanks, Keldon Johnson, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-64
Trevor Ariza defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses two point finger roll layup
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Derrick White makes two point floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
59-64
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses two point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
59-62
Dejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses three point jump shot
DeMar DeRozan offensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Kendrick Nunn makes two point finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
57-62
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
57-62
+3
Trevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
57-59
+3
Dejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
52-59
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-56
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Spurs delay of game violation
Dejounte Murray shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+3
Dejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
51-56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
DeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Derrick White, Keldon Johnson, Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan)
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson)
End of 1st Half.
Heat offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot
51-53
Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, Lonnie Walker IV, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan)
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Ariza, KZ Okpala)
Jimmy Butler offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Derrick White shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)
53-51
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot
51-51
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+3
Patty Mills makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
51-51
Derrick White defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point finger roll layup
49-48
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
49-46
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point layup (Derrick White assists)
47-46
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (KZ Okpala assists)
47-44
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
47-44
Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, Keldon Johnson, Patty Mills, Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Dejounte Murray's two point finger roll layup
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)
45-42
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Patty Mills misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, KZ Okpala, Duncan Robinson)
Jimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-42
Heat personal foul
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
43-41
DeMar DeRozan turnover
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving dunk
+3
Patty Mills makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
41-41
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Keldon Johnson, Patty Mills, Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Dewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)
41-38
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
39-38
+2
Duncan Robinson makes two point finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
39-36
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point step back jump shot
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-36
Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Dejounte Murray shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-36
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Drew Eubanks, Keldon Johnson, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan)
Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson)
DeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Tyler Herro shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point finger roll layup
Trevor Ariza defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses three point jump shot
+1
Goran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-35
Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic)
Goran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Rudy Gay shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)
DeMar DeRozan personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
35-35
Goran Dragic personal foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
35-33
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Drew Eubanks, Lonnie Walker IV, Rudy Gay, DeMar DeRozan)
Drew Eubanks shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-33
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point layup (Derrick White assists)
34-33
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Drew Eubanks personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Goran Dragic defensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-31
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Drew Eubanks, Derrick White, Lonnie Walker IV, Rudy Gay)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-31
Jakob Poeltl shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Kendrick Nunn defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Kendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot
+2
Lonnie Walker IV makes two point finger roll layup
30-31
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
30-29
+2
Derrick White makes two point floating jump shot
30-29
Derrick White defensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot
Goran Dragic defensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic)
End of 1st Quarter.
Jakob Poeltl personal foul (KZ Okpala draws the foul)
Heat defensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses three point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses two point jump shot
Goran Dragic offensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl blocks KZ Okpala's two point layup
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-27
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Goran Dragic, KZ Okpala)
Derrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Dewayne Dedmon personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Dewayne Dedmon offensive rebound
+2
Dewayne Dedmon makes two point jump shot
27-26
KZ Okpala misses two point putback layup
Dewayne Dedmon offensive rebound
KZ Okpala misses two point putback layup
+1
Rudy Gay makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-26
+1
Rudy Gay makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-25
KZ Okpala shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)
+3
Goran Dragic makes three point jump shot (KZ Okpala assists)
25-24
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point dunk (Lonnie Walker IV assists)
22-24
Heat delay of game violation
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)
22-22
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)
22-22
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Dewayne Dedmon misses two point putback layup
Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, Lonnie Walker IV, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, Jakob Poeltl)
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Goran Dragic, KZ Okpala)
Heat 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Drew Eubanks blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point jump shot
+1
Lonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-19
Spurs lineup change (Drew Eubanks, Derrick White, Lonnie Walker IV, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills)
+1
Lonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-18
Dewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)
+2
Dewayne Dedmon makes two point alley-oop layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
20-17
Goran Dragic offensive rebound
Goran Dragic misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic, KZ Okpala, Duncan Robinson)
Spurs turnover (shot clock violation)
Spurs offensive rebound
Patty Mills misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Drew Eubanks, Lonnie Walker IV, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills)
Goran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
KZ Okpala offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
+3
Lonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (Drew Eubanks assists)
18-17
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Drew Eubanks, Keldon Johnson, Lonnie Walker IV, Patty Mills)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Goran Dragic, KZ Okpala, Duncan Robinson)
Kendrick Nunn personal foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)
+2
Kendrick Nunn makes two point finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
18-14
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point layup
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
16-14
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza misses two point finger roll layup
Keldon Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Drew Eubanks, Keldon Johnson, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
16-12
Dejounte Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
13-12
Trevor Ariza defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
Kendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
13-12
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)
9-10
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
9-10
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses two point jump shot
Trevor Ariza personal foul
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses three point jump shot
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Trevor Ariza misses three point jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
7-8
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
7-6
Heat personal foul
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
6-6
Derrick White turnover (Bam Adebayo steals)
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Dejounte Murray personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
6-6
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl blocks Jimmy Butler's two point finger roll layup
+3
Dejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
6-6
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point putback layup
6-3
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point layup
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point step back jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
6-3
Spurs defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo vs. Jakob Poeltl (Trevor Ariza gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Derrick White, Keldon Johnson, Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan)
Heat lineup change (Kendrick Nunn, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Ariza, Duncan Robinson)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 25 | K. Nunn | 9 | 5 | 3 |
| G-F | 31 | M. Strus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 5 | P. Achiuwa | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| F-G | 11 | K. Okpala | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| G | 2 | G. Vincent | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 33 | T. Jones | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| G-F | 24 | D. Vassell | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 31 | K. Bates-Diop | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| C | 7 | G. Dieng | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 19 | L. Samanic | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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Heat vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Spurs
- Date: Wednesday, April 21, 2021
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: AT&T Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -2
- Total (Over/Under): 214.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -120, Spurs +108
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 59%
- Spurs: 41%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 109-107 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 59%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at AT&T Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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