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Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Mavericks NBA game on April 11, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
117
Apr 12, 12AM American Airlines Center
Apr 12, 12AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 26 | 25 | 37 | 31 | 119 |
Mavericks | 26 | 30 | 33 | 28 | 117 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 26 | 25 | 37 | 31 | 119 |
Mavericks | 26 | 30 | 33 | 28 | 117 |
Q4 00:01 DeMar DeRozan makes two point step back jump shot
Q4 00:19 Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
Q4 00:27 Jalen Brunson misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:45 DeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:14 DeMar DeRozan makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:26 Josh Richardson makes two point putback layup
Q4 1:29 Jalen Brunson misses two point driving layup
Q4 1:44 Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:06 Dorian Finney-Smith makes two point layup (Luka Doncic assists)
Q4 2:19 DeMar DeRozan misses two point floating jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point step back jump shot
119-117
Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan, Derrick White, Dejounte Murray)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
117-117
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-115
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-114
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
117-113
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dwight Powell, Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, Dejounte Murray)
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point driving layup
116-113
Josh Richardson offensive rebound
+2
Josh Richardson makes two point putback layup
114-113
Jalen Brunson misses two point driving layup
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
+2
Dorian Finney-Smith makes two point layup (Luka Doncic assists)
114-111
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point floating jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Rudy Gay, DeMar DeRozan, Derrick White, Dejounte Murray)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
114-109
Jakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Jalen Brunson personal foul (Take) (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)
Derrick White personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
113-107
Dejounte Murray personal foul (Loose ball) (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
113-104
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Jalen Brunson shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
112-104
Josh Richardson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point step back jump shot
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-104
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-104
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
Luka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)
Derrick White personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+1
Jakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 1 of 1
108-104
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
107-104
+3
Josh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
107-104
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Luka Doncic, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, Dejounte Murray)
Jakob Poeltl personal foul
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
105-101
Mavericks lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Luka Doncic, Trey Burke, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, Lonnie Walker IV)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
103-101
+2
Lonnie Walker IV makes two point jump shot
103-98
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point putback layup
101-98
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gay turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)
Kristaps Porzingis turnover (bad pass) (Rudy Gay steals)
Mavericks lineup change (Nicolo Melli, Kristaps Porzingis, Luka Doncic, Trey Burke, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, Lonnie Walker IV)
Rudy Gay turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
101-96
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
101-94
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Josh Richardson offensive rebound
Josh Richardson misses two point turnaround jump shot
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses three point jump shot
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Trey Burke assists)
99-94
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Nicolo Melli, Kristaps Porzingis, Trey Burke, Jalen Brunson)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Patty Mills makes three point jump shot
99-91
Patty Mills defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses three point jump shot
Nicolo Melli personal foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)
Lonnie Walker IV defensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl blocks Tim Hardaway Jr.'s two point driving layup
Spurs turnover
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses two point driving layup
+3
Dejounte Murray makes three point jump shot
96-91
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Nicolo Melli, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kristaps Porzingis, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, Jakob Poeltl, Dejounte Murray, Lonnie Walker IV)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)
93-91
+3
Lonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)
93-89
Patty Mills defensive rebound
Nicolo Melli misses three point jump shot
+2
Lonnie Walker IV makes two point floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
90-89
Lonnie Walker IV offensive rebound
Patty Mills misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Nicolo Melli, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, Drew Eubanks, Dejounte Murray, Lonnie Walker IV)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Instant replay (Request)
+3
Nicolo Melli makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
88-89
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
88-86
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot
+3
Nicolo Melli makes three point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
86-86
+1
Lonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 1 of 1
86-83
Nicolo Melli shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)
+2
Lonnie Walker IV makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)
85-83
Dwight Powell turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)
+3
Lonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
85-83
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point hook shot (Luka Doncic assists)
80-83
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
80-81
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
78-81
Nicolo Melli defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan offensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point putback layup
DeMar DeRozan misses two point driving layup
Spurs 60 second timeout
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Lonnie Walker IV misses two point jump shot
Lonnie Walker IV defensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-78
Mavericks lineup change (Nicolo Melli, Dwight Powell, Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan, Drew Eubanks, Lonnie Walker IV)
DeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point driving layup
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot
77-78
Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White)
DeMar DeRozan turnover (back court violation)
+2
Dorian Finney-Smith makes two point putback layup
77-75
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Nicolo Melli misses three point jump shot
Patty Mills turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
77-73
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point putback layup
77-71
DeMar DeRozan misses two point driving layup
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
77-71
Mavericks lineup change (Nicolo Melli, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Luka Doncic, Jalen Brunson)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
75-70
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 3
75-69
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot
75-68
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)
75-68
Mavericks lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kristaps Porzingis, Luka Doncic, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White)
Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
+2
Dorian Finney-Smith makes two point driving dunk (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
70-68
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-66
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-66
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point step back jump shot
68-66
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
66-66
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point driving hook shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)
66-64
+2
Josh Richardson makes two point step back jump shot
66-64
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-62
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-61
Jakob Poeltl shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)
64-60
Luka Doncic personal foul (Take) (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving layup
Josh Richardson offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround jump shot
62-60
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Derrick White shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point floating jump shot
60-60
+1
Dejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
60-58
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point driving layup
59-58
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Dejounte Murray turnover (Josh Richardson steals)
Dorian Finney-Smith turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)
Spurs delay of game violation
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
57-58
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Derrick White blocks Luka Doncic's two point layup
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Derrick White misses two point floating jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
55-58
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Josh Richardson misses two point jump shot
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)
55-58
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point turnaround jump shot
51-58
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kristaps Porzingis, Luka Doncic)
End of 1st Half.
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl offensive foul (Off the ball) (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)
Jakob Poeltl turnover (offensive foul)
Derrick White defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot
51-56
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point turnaround hook shot
51-56
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)
49-54
Derrick White offensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis blocks Dejounte Murray's two point floating jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot
49-54
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point floating jump shot
49-52
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Josh Richardson misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Josh Richardson misses three point jump shot
+2
Derrick White makes two point floating jump shot
45-52
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)
45-52
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
+3
Kristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
43-50
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point layup
43-47
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl blocks Tim Hardaway Jr.'s two point layup
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Derrick White misses two point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kristaps Porzingis, Luka Doncic)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Josh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Trey Burke assists)
41-47
Trey Burke defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
+3
Dorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)
41-45
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-42
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, Dejounte Murray)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-42
Josh Richardson shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot
40-42
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Trey Burke misses two point finger roll layup
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Rudy Gay, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White)
Drew Eubanks turnover (offensive foul)
Drew Eubanks offensive foul (Off the ball) (Trey Burke draws the foul)
Rudy Gay defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses two point jump shot
+2
Trey Burke makes two point jump shot
39-40
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Drew Eubanks misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Trey Burke, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Rudy Gay, DeMar DeRozan, Drew Eubanks, Derrick White)
+1
Drew Eubanks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-38
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)
Jalen Brunson offensive rebound
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point putback layup
39-38
Trey Burke misses two point layup
Spurs turnover
+3
Josh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
38-36
+2
Rudy Gay makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)
38-33
+2
Trey Burke makes two point driving layup
36-33
Derrick White personal foul (Loose ball) (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Trey Burke misses three point jump shot
Josh Richardson offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point floating jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dwight Powell, Kristaps Porzingis, Trey Burke, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, Drew Eubanks, Derrick White, Lonnie Walker IV)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)
36-31
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Trey Burke misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point floating jump shot
34-31
+2
Rudy Gay makes two point floating jump shot
34-29
Kristaps Porzingis turnover (double dribble)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dwight Powell, Kristaps Porzingis, Luka Doncic, Trey Burke)
+1
Rudy Gay makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-29
Nicolo Melli shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
31-29
Patty Mills shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
31-28
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Patty Mills misses three point jump shot
Patty Mills defensive rebound
Nicolo Melli misses three point jump shot
Patty Mills personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Patty Mills makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
31-26
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Nicolo Melli, Dwight Powell, Luka Doncic, Trey Burke)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Patty Mills misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Dejounte Murray steals)
+1
Rudy Gay makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-26
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Nicolo Melli, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
+1
Rudy Gay makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-26
Nicolo Melli shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)
Nicolo Melli turnover (lost ball) (Rudy Gay steals)
Lonnie Walker IV turnover (bad pass) (Dwight Powell steals)
Luka Doncic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Lonnie Walker IV personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Dwight Powell blocks Jakob Poeltl's two point hook shot
Rudy Gay defensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl blocks Jalen Brunson's two point driving layup
End of 1st Quarter.
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
+2
Jakob Poeltl makes two point putback layup
26-26
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gay defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point jump shot
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses two point jump shot
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point jump shot
Jalen Brunson offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gay turnover (lost ball) (Luka Doncic steals)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-26
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-25
Lonnie Walker IV shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Luka Doncic turnover
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Rudy Gay misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Mavericks lineup change (Nicolo Melli, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Lonnie Walker IV)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point driving layup
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
24-24
DeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
24-22
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic, Jalen Brunson)
Spurs lineup change (Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan, Drew Eubanks, Lonnie Walker IV)
Drew Eubanks turnover (offensive foul)
Drew Eubanks offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
+2
Josh Richardson makes two point jump shot
24-19
+2
Drew Eubanks makes two point layup
24-17
Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan, Drew Eubanks, Lonnie Walker IV)
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Drew Eubanks offensive rebound
Drew Eubanks misses two point putback layup
Keldon Johnson misses two point layup
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
22-17
Jalen Brunson misses three point jump shot
+1
Drew Eubanks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-15
+1
Drew Eubanks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-15
Jalen Brunson shooting foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)
Kristaps Porzingis turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point step back jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
20-15
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
17-13
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Derrick White misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Josh Richardson makes two point floating jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
17-13
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Patty Mills, DeMar DeRozan, Drew Eubanks, Derrick White)
Keldon Johnson personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
+2
Derrick White makes two point floating jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
17-11
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses two point floating jump shot
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kristaps Porzingis, Jalen Brunson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Dejounte Murray makes three point step back jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
15-11
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
15-11
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot
15-9
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-9
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, Dejounte Murray)
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-8
Drew Eubanks shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-7
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, DeMar DeRozan, Drew Eubanks, Derrick White, Dejounte Murray)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-7
Nicolo Melli shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Josh Richardson misses three point jump shot
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point jump shot
8-7
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point reverse layup
8-7
+2
DeMar DeRozan makes two point layup
8-5
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Derrick White blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic personal foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)
Derrick White defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Dejounte Murray personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson turnover
Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Dejounte Murray steals)
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point floating jump shot
4-5
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-5
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-4
DeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis blocks Dejounte Murray's two point driving layup
+3
Kristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
2-3
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point jump shot
2-0
Kristaps Porzingis turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl vs. Kristaps Porzingis (Keldon Johnson gains possession)
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Richardson, Nicolo Melli, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Luka Doncic)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, Dejounte Murray)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-G | 22 | R. Gay | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| F | 10 | D. DeRozan | 33 | 5 | 8 |
| C | 25 | J. Poeltl | 12 | 8 | 2 |
| G | 4 | D. White | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 5 | D. Murray | 25 | 5 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | J. Richardson | 13 | 5 | 4 |
| F | 10 | D. Finney-Smith | 12 | 7 | 3 |
| G-F | 11 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| G | 77 | L. Doncic | 29 | 3 | 7 |
| G | 13 | J. Brunson | 11 | 4 | 5 |
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Spurs vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Mavericks
- Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mavericks favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs +210, Mavericks -238
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 30%
- Mavericks: 70%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 107-113 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 30%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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