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Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Liga MX game on April 2, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
2
3
Apr 2, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Apr 2, 6PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
I. Lichnovsky (o.g.) (27')
C. Gonzalez (45')
C. Gonzalez (69')
L. Quinones (29')
A. Gignac (76')
N. Lopez (pen.) (89')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UANL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by N. Lopez (pen.)
2-3
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Venegas replaces C. Baeza
82'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: N. Lopez replaces I. Lichnovsky
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: S. Saucedo replaces M. Ruiz
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Sanvezzo replaces C. Gonzalez
76'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by A. Gignac, assisted by J. Vigon
1-3
69'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Gonzalez
0-3
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: L. Fernandez replaces J. Meneses
64'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: S. Cordova replaces R. Fulgencio
59'
Yellow Card
D. Lainez (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: D. Lainez replaces N. Ibanez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Garza replaces J. Aquino
46'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Vigon replaces R. Carioca
45'
Goal scored for Toluca by C. Gonzalez, assisted by M. Araujo
0-2
38'
Yellow Card
J. Aquino (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
29'
Red Card
L. Quinones (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) sent off for a second yellow card
27'
Goal scored for Toluca by I. Lichnovsky (o.g.)
0-1
25'
Yellow Card
L. Quinones (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
15'
Yellow Card
Samir (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
13'
Yellow Card
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) cautioned

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Tigres UANL vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Toluca
  • Date: Sunday, April 2, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Tigres UANL +200, Toluca +128, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-132/+105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 33.9%
  • Toluca: 39.8%
  • Draw: 26.3%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Tigres UANL 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 39.8%, while Tigres UANL has a win probability of 33.9%. The chance of a draw is 26.3%.

Summary

Our Tigres UANL vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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