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Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on September 25, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
0
1
Sep 25, 12PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Sep 25, 12PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
V. Laguardia (4')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: S. Garcia replaces L. Rioja
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Pina replaces T. Moya
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Tachi replaces R. Duarte
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Vrsaljko replaces M. Llorente
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Joselu replaces M. Sylla
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: F. Pellistri replaces M. de la Fuente
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: H. Herrera replaces M. Hermoso
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Cunha replaces G. Kondogbia
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces K. Trippier
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Renan Lodi replaces Y. Carrasco
55'
Yellow Card
G. Kondogbia (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
53'
Yellow Card
K. Trippier (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
M. Ndiaye (Alaves) cautioned
31'
Yellow Card
M. Sylla (Alaves) cautioned
17'
Yellow Card
S. Savic (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
4'
Goal scored for Alaves by V. Laguardia, assisted by R. Duarte
0-1

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Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves +700, Atletico Madrid -200, Draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+123/-154)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 14.3%
  • Atletico Madrid: 62.2%
  • Draw: 23.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 0-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 16%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 14.3%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 62.2%. The chance of a draw is 23.5%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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