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Valencia vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Alaves La Liga game on April 24, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
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FINAL
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
:
1
Apr 24, 4:30PM Mestalla
Valencia
Apr 24, 4:30PM Mestalla
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
AlavesALA
Gameiro (57')
Gaya (89')
Guidetti (84')
Lopez (87')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VCF
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Valencia.
90'
Free kick for Valencia CF in their own half.
90'
Deportivo Alaves have a goal kick.
90'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
90'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in their own half.
90'
Valencia CF awarded a throw-in in their own half.
90'
Deportivo Alaves awarded a free kick in their own half.
89'
Goal! Jose Luis Gaya equalizes to bring the score to 1-1.
1-1
88'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez awards the home team a throw-in.
88'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Tomas Pina with Manu Garcia. This is the fifth substitution made today by Javier Calleja.
88'
Substitution
The away team replace Kevin Gameiro with Manu Vallejo.
87'
Red Card
Javi Lopez (Deportivo Alaves) is shown a red card without being on the pitch!
87'
Valencia CF will need to be alert as they defend a dangerous free kick from Deportivo Alaves.
86'
Throw-in Valencia CF.
86'
Throw-in for Valencia CF close to the penalty box.
85'
Free kick for Valencia CF in the half of Deportivo Alaves.
85'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in the half of Deportivo Alaves.
84'
John Guidetti puts the ball in the net and the away team now lead 0-1.
1-0
83'
Free kick for Deportivo Alaves in the half of Valencia CF.
83'
Yellow Card
Carlos Soler is booked for the home team.
83'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Valencia CF in their own half.
82'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves.
81'
Yellow Card
At Mestalla, Manu Vallejo has been yellow-carded for the home team.
81'
In Valencia a free kick has been awarded the away team.
80'
Can Deportivo Alaves get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Valencia CF's half?
80'
Ball safe as Valencia CF is awarded a throw-in in their half.
78'
Free kick Valencia CF.
77'
Free kick for Valencia CF in their own half.
77'
Substitution
The home team replace Kevin Gameiro with Manu Vallejo.
76'
Throw-in for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
76'
Deportivo Alaves have been awarded a corner by Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez.
73'
In Valencia Deportivo Alaves attack through John Guidetti. The finish is off target, however.
73'
Goal kick for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
72'
Substitution
Javier Calleja (Deportivo Alaves) is making a third substitution, with Luis Rioja replacing Jota.
71'
Substitution
John Guidetti is on a sub for Edgar Mendez for Deportivo Alaves.
71'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a Valencia CF throw-in in Deportivo Alaves's half.
71'
Corner awarded to Valencia CF.
70'
Deportivo Alaves awarded a throw-in in their own half.
68'
In Valencia a free kick has been awarded the away team.
67'
Deportivo Alaves are coming forward and Edgar Mendez gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
67'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez awards Valencia CF a goal kick.
67'
Deportivo Alaves drives forward and Joselu gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
66'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves in their own half.
65'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez awards the away team a throw-in.
64'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
63'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in the half of Deportivo Alaves.
63'
Substitution
Pere Pons is replacing Lucas Perez for the away team.
62'
Throw-in for Deportivo Alaves at Mestalla.
62'
At Mestalla, Valencia CF are penalized for being offside.
62'
Valencia CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
61'
Substitution
Valencia CF make their first substitution with Denis Cheryshev replacing Yunus Musah.
61'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves in their own half.
57'
Valencia CF take a 1-0 lead thanks to Kevin Gameiro.
0-1
56'
Valencia CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
55'
Free kick for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.
55'
Deportivo Alaves to take a throw-in in Valencia CF territory.
54'
Can Deportivo Alaves get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Valencia CF's half?
51'
Uros Racic of Valencia CF gets in a strike, but is off target.
51'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Valencia.
51'
Free kick for Valencia CF in the half of Deportivo Alaves.
49'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a Deportivo Alaves throw-in in Valencia CF's half.
47'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves in their own half.
46'
Can Valencia CF get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Deportivo Alaves's half?
45'
The whistle has gone to end the first-half.
45'
Free kick Deportivo Alaves.
45'
Deportivo Alaves awarded a free kick in their own half.
45'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Valencia CF.
45'
Valencia CF have been awarded a corner by Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez.
45'
Hugo Guillamon for Valencia CF gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
45'
Ball goes out of play for a Deportivo Alaves goal kick.
45'
Corner awarded to Valencia CF.
45'
Valencia CF's Lucas Perez gets in a shot on goal at Mestalla. But the effort is unsuccessful.
44'
Ball safe as Deportivo Alaves is awarded a throw-in in their half.
43'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
43'
Free kick for Valencia CF in their own half.
43'
Throw-in Valencia CF.
41'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Valencia CF in their own half.
41'
Can Deportivo Alaves capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Valencia CF's half?
40'
Deportivo Alaves are too eager and fall into an offside trap.
40'
Throw-in for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.
39'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in the half of Deportivo Alaves.
39'
Deportivo Alaves to take a throw-in in Valencia CF territory.
38'
Uros Racic for Deportivo Alaves is back on the field again.
38'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in their own half.
37'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves.
37'
Yellow Card
Hugo Guillamon (Valencia CF) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
36'
Attention is being given to Deportivo Alaves’s Uros Racic and play has been suspended briefly.
35'
Free kick for Deportivo Alaves in the half of Valencia CF.
34'
Valencia CF awarded a throw-in in their own half.
34'
Valencia CF’s Uros Racic is on his feet again at Mestalla.
33'
Deportivo Alaves needs to be cautious. Valencia CF have an attacking throw-in.
33'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez awards Deportivo Alaves a goal kick.
32'
Free kick for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.
32'
Valencia CF have been awarded a corner by Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez.
31'
Valencia CF have been awarded a corner by Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez.
31'
Corner awarded to Valencia CF.
29'
Play has been temporarily suspended for attention to Uros Racic for Valencia CF who is writhing in pain on the pitch.
29'
Valencia CF awarded a free kick in their own half.
27'
Uros Racic returns to the field for Valencia CF after picking up a slight injury.
26'
Deportivo Alaves awarded a free kick in their own half.
26'
Deportivo Alaves's Lucas Perez is on target but unsuccessful.
25'
Corner awarded to Deportivo Alaves.
24'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
24'
Deportivo Alaves pushes forward through Lucas Perez, whose finish on goal is saved.
23'
Uros Racic is writhing in pain and play has been suspended for a few moments.
22'
Deportivo Alaves to take a throw-in in Valencia CF territory.
21'
Free kick for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.
20'
In Valencia a free kick has been awarded the home team.
20'
Ball safe as Valencia CF is awarded a throw-in in their half.
19'
Goal kick for Valencia CF at Mestalla.
19'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves in their own half.
18'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez awards the home team a throw-in.
17'
Valencia CF are caught offside.
16'
Valencia CF are pushing forward but Hugo Guillamon's finish is wide of the goal.
16'
Deportivo Alaves have a goal kick.
15'
Valencia CF have been awarded a corner by Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez.
15'
Maxi Gomez of Valencia CF smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
14'
Throw-in for Deportivo Alaves at Mestalla.
13'
Free kick Valencia CF.
10'
Deportivo Alaves are whistled for offside.
9'
Valencia CF's Goncalo Guedes gets his shot away but it misses the target.
9'
Ball goes out of play for a Deportivo Alaves goal kick.
8'
Free kick for Valencia CF in the half of Deportivo Alaves.
6'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a free kick to Valencia CF.
5'
Throw-in Valencia CF.
4'
Yellow Card
Jose Luis Gaya (Valencia CF) gets a yellow card.
4'
Free kick Deportivo Alaves.
3'
Valencia CF's Kevin Gameiro breaks free at Mestalla. But the strike goes wide of the post.
3'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Valencia.
2'
In Valencia a free kick has been awarded the home team.
2'
Can Valencia CF get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Deportivo Alaves's half?
1'
Throw-in for Valencia CF in the half of Deportivo Alaves.
1'
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez signals a Valencia CF throw-in in Deportivo Alaves's half.
1'
The match is underway in Valencia.
Match Stats
Alaves
MATCH STATS
Valencia
7 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
42% Possession % 58%
17 Fouls 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
1 Red Cards 0
2 Corners 7
Alaves[object Object]
Valencia[object Object]
7 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
42% Possession % 58%
17 Fouls 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
1 Red Cards 0
2 Corners 7

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Valencia vs. Alaves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, April 24, 2021
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Mestalla

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Valencia +105, Alaves +310, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-111/-112)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Valencia: 51.1%
  • Alaves: 23.6%
  • Draw: 25.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Valencia 1-1 Alaves, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Valencia a win probability of 51.1%, while Alaves has a win probability of 23.6%. The chance of a draw is 25.2%.

Summary

Our Valencia vs. Alaves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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