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Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on April 25, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
1
2
Apr 25, 7PM San Mames
Apr 25, 7PM San Mames
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Berenguer (8')
Martinez (86')
Savic (77')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Unai Lopez (Athletic Bilbao) has received a yellow card from Pablo Gonzales Fuertes.
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in the half of Athletic Bilbao.
Atletico Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
Free kick for Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes awards Athletic Bilbao a goal kick.
Inigo Martinez scores with a header and the home team now lead 2-1.
1-2
Athletic Bilbao have been awarded a corner by Pablo Gonzales Fuertes.
Athletic Bilbao are pushing forward but Dani Garcia's finish is wide of the goal.
It's a goal kick for the away team in Bilbao.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes signals a free kick to Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
Lucas Torreira (Atletico Madrid) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
Diego Simeone (Atletico Madrid) is making a fifth substitution, with Mario Hermoso replacing Renan Lodi.
Goal! Atletico Madrid draw level to 1-1 through a Stefan Savic header.
1-1
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
Athletic Bilbao make their fifth substitution with Unai Lopez replacing Oihan Sancet.
Unai Lopez is on a sub for Oihan Sancet for Athletic Bilbao.
Throw-in Athletic Bilbao.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes awards the home team a throw-in.
Throw-in for Athletic Bilbao at San Mames.
Can Athletic Bilbao get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half?
The home team replace Unai Vencedor with Mikel Vesga.
Inaki Williams is replacing Asier Villalibre for Athletic Bilbao at San Mames.
Ball goes out of play for a Athletic Bilbao goal kick.
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Pablo Gonzales Fuertes.
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid close to the penalty box.
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Pablo Gonzales Fuertes.
Dani Garcia (Athletic Bilbao) has received a first yellow card.
Goal kick for Athletic Bilbao at San Mames.
Diego Simeone (Atletico Madrid) is making a fourth substitution, with Lucas Torreira replacing Angel Correa.
Athletic Bilbao awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Atletico Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
Unai Vencedor (Athletic Bilbao) gets booked by Pablo Gonzales Fuertes, and will miss the next match due to the number of yellow cards received this season.
Thomas Lemar is replacing Hector Herrera for the away team.
The away team have replaced Hector Herrera with Thomas Lemar. This is the second substitution made today by Diego Simeone.
Diego Simeone is making the team's first substitution at San Mames with Luis Suarez replacing Saul Niguez.
Unai Vencedor of Athletic Bilbao gets in a strike, but is off target.
Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid.
Can Atletico Madrid capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Athletic Bilbao's half?
It's a goal kick for the home team in Bilbao.
Atletico Madrid's Marcos Llorente misses with an attempt on goal.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes awards Athletic Bilbao a goal kick.
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Pablo Gonzales Fuertes.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid in their own half.
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
In Bilbao a free kick has been awarded the away team.
Free kick for Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
Ball safe as Athletic Bilbao is awarded a throw-in in their half.
Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at San Mames.
Inigo Lekue is replacing Ander Capa for Athletic Bilbao at San Mames.
The ref's whistle signals the end of the first-half.
Athletic Bilbao have a goal kick.
Play has been interrupted briefly in Bilbao to check on Ander Capa, who is grimacing with pain.
At San Mames, Atletico Madrid are penalized for being offside.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes signals a free kick to Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
At San Mames, Ander Capa has been yellow-carded for the home team.
Ball safe as Atletico Madrid is awarded a throw-in in their half.
Atletico Madrid awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Throw-in high up the field for Athletic Bilbao in Bilbao.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes signals a throw-in for Atletico Madrid, close to Athletic Bilbao's area.
It's a goal kick for the home team in Bilbao.
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in the half of Athletic Bilbao.
In Bilbao Athletic Bilbao attack through Oihan Sancet. The finish is off target, however.
Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.
Athletic Bilbao to take a throw-in in Atletico Madrid territory.
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
Athletic Bilbao have a dangerous throw-in.
Atletico Madrid have a goal kick.
Athletic Bilbao have been awarded a corner by Pablo Gonzales Fuertes.
Can Atletico Madrid get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Athletic Bilbao's half?
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes awards Athletic Bilbao a goal kick.
Goal kick for Athletic Bilbao at San Mames.
Atletico Madrid's Angel Correa breaks free at San Mames. But the strike goes wide of the post.
It's a goal kick for the home team in Bilbao.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes blows against Atletico Madrid's Angel Correa for offside.
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Pablo Gonzales Fuertes.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes signals a Athletic Bilbao throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.
Athletic Bilbao push upfield but Pablo Gonzales Fuertes quickly pulls them for offside.
Felipe (Atletico Madrid) strikes at San Mames but his header is cleared.
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes awards the away team a throw-in.
Goal kick for Athletic Bilbao at San Mames.
Free kick Atletico Madrid.
In Bilbao a free kick has been awarded the away team.
Angel Correa for Atletico Madrid gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
Athletic Bilbao have a goal kick.
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Pablo Gonzales Fuertes.
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in the half of Athletic Bilbao.
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid at San Mames.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid.
Corner awarded to Athletic Bilbao.
Free kick for Athletic Bilbao in the half of Atletico Madrid.
Marcos Llorente is booked for the away team.
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
Goal! Athletic Bilbao take a 1-0 lead through a well-placed header from Alex Berenguer.
0-1
Atletico Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
In Bilbao a free kick has been awarded the home team.
Throw-in Atletico Madrid.
Athletic Bilbao's Ander Capa gets his shot away but it misses the target.
Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid.
Free kick Atletico Madrid.
Unai Nunez (Athletic Bilbao) is first to the ball but his header is off-target.
Pablo Gonzales Fuertes awards Atletico Madrid a goal kick.
Athletic Bilbao have been awarded a corner by Pablo Gonzales Fuertes.
The first-half is now underway.
Match Stats
| MATCH STATS | |
|---|
| 6 | Shots | 7 | |||
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 | |||
| 55% | Possession % | 45% | |||
| 6 | Fouls | 14 | |||
| 2 | Yellow Cards | 4 | |||
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 | |||
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| |
|---|
| 6 | Shots | 7 | |||
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 | |||
| 55% | Possession % | 45% | |||
| 6 | Fouls | 14 | |||
| 2 | Yellow Cards | 4 | |||
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 | |||
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
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Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Sunday, April 25, 2021
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: San Mames
Current Betting Odds
- Moneyline Odds: Athletic Bilbao +380, Atletico Madrid -118, Draw +235
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+140/-175)
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Athletic Bilbao: 23.6%
- Atletico Madrid: 49.1%
- Draw: 27.3%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 12%.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Athletic Bilbao a win probability of 23.6%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 49.1%. The chance of a draw is 27.3%.
Summary
Our Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.
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