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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga game on April 4, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
0
1
Apr 4, 7PM Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla
Apr 4, 7PM Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
Acuna (70')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEV
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Sevilla FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
90'
Free kick Atletico Madrid.
90'
Throw-in for Sevilla FC in their own half.
90'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
90'
Goal kick for Sevilla FC at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
90'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in the half of Sevilla FC.
90'
In Seville Atletico Madrid drive forward through Lucas Ocampos. His shot is on target but it's saved.
88'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid in their own half.
88'
Sevilla FC have a dangerous throw-in.
87'
Atletico Madrid needs to be cautious. Sevilla FC have an attacking throw-in.
87'
Substitution
The home team replace Joan Jordan with Nemanja Gudelj.
87'
Substitution
Sevilla FC make their third substitution with Papu Gomez replacing Suso.
86'
Free kick for Sevilla FC in the half of Atletico Madrid.
86'
Yellow Card
Geoffrey Kondogbia (Atletico Madrid) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
86'
Can Sevilla FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Atletico Madrid's half?
82'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a Atletico Madrid throw-in in Sevilla FC's half.
81'
In Seville Atletico Madrid attack through Ivan Rakitic. The finish is off target, however.
81'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards Sevilla FC a goal kick.
80'
Can Atletico Madrid capitalize from this dangerous free kick?
79'
Sevilla FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
79'
Ball goes out of play for a Sevilla FC goal kick.
79'
Yellow Card
At Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, Marcos Llorente has been yellow-carded for the away team.
78'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid.
77'
Substitution
Papu Gomez is on a sub for Suso for Sevilla FC.
77'
Atletico Madrid have a goal kick.
76'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a throw-in for Sevilla FC, close to Atletico Madrid's area.
74'
Substitution
Diego Simeone is making the team's third substitution at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan with Youssef En-Nesyri replacing Luuk De Jong.
74'
Substitution
Youssef En-Nesyri is replacing Luuk De Jong for the away team.
70'
Marcos Acuna scores with a header and the home team now lead 1-0.
0-1
69'
Ball safe as Sevilla FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
68'
Lucas Ocampos for Sevilla FC drives towards goal at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. But the finish is unsuccessful.
67'
Atletico Madrid have a dangerous throw-in.
66'
Atletico Madrid's Koke gets in a shot on goal at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. But the effort is unsuccessful.
66'
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
64'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Seville.
64'
Atletico Madrid push upfield but Jesus Gil Manzano quickly pulls them for offside.
63'
Substitution
Julen Lopetegui (Sevilla FC) is making a first substitution, with Youssef En-Nesyri replacing Luuk De Jong.
62'
Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.
60'
Ball safe as Sevilla FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
60'
Throw-in for Sevilla FC close to the penalty box.
59'
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
57'
Yellow Card
Marcos Acuna (Sevilla FC) gets a yellow card.
56'
Yellow Card
Luis Suarez is booked for the away team.
56'
Yellow Card
Luis Suarez (Atletico Madrid) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
56'
It's getting dangerous! Free kick for Atletico Madrid close to the penalty box.
55'
Sevilla FC needs to be cautious. Atletico Madrid have an attacking throw-in.
54'
Atletico Madrid awarded a throw-in in their own half.
53'
Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
53'
Ivan Rakitic of Sevilla FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
53'
Sevilla FC have been awarded a corner by Jesus Gil Manzano.
52'
Throw-in high up the field for Sevilla FC in Seville.
52'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a throw-in for Sevilla FC, close to Atletico Madrid's area.
51'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards the home team a throw-in.
50'
Throw-in for Sevilla FC in their own half.
49'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Sevilla FC in their own half.
48'
Saul Niguez returns to the field for Atletico Madrid after picking up a slight injury.
48'
Saul Niguez for Atletico Madrid is back on the field again.
48'
Throw-in Sevilla FC.
47'
Saul Niguez is writhing in pain and play has been suspended for a few moments.
46'
Felipe is down and play has been interrupted for a few moments.
46'
Sevilla FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
45'
The first-half is over at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
45'
Can Sevilla FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half?
45'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards Sevilla FC a goal kick.
45'
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
45'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
45'
Can Sevilla FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Atletico Madrid's half?
44'
Atletico Madrid have a goal kick.
42'
Sevilla FC are caught offside.
41'
Throw-in Sevilla FC.
41'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards the away team a throw-in.
41'
Sevilla FC are coming forward and Luuk De Jong gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
41'
Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.
40'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a Sevilla FC throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.
38'
Throw-in for Sevilla FC in the half of Atletico Madrid.
38'
Free kick for Sevilla FC in their own half.
37'
Atletico Madrid to take a throw-in in Sevilla FC territory.
36'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
35'
Can Atletico Madrid get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Sevilla FC's half?
35'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards Sevilla FC a goal kick.
34'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Renan Lodi with Angel Correa. This is the first substitution made today by Diego Simeone.
33'
Throw-in for Sevilla FC close to the penalty box.
32'
Sevilla FC's Fernando has run offside.
32'
At Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, Atletico Madrid are penalized for being offside.
32'
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
30'
Sevilla FC are pushing forward but Jesus Navas's finish is wide of the goal.
30'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Seville.
29'
Atletico Madrid to take a throw-in in Sevilla FC territory.
29'
In Seville a free kick has been awarded the away team.
28'
Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
27'
Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.
27'
In Seville, Jules Kounde (Sevilla FC) misses the target with a header.
27'
Sevilla FC have been awarded a corner by Jesus Gil Manzano.
26'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
25'
Ball safe as Atletico Madrid is awarded a throw-in in their half.
23'
Atletico Madrid pushes forward through Koke, whose finish on goal is saved.
23'
Can Atletico Madrid get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Sevilla FC's half?
21'
Sevilla FC's Jesus Navas gets his shot away but it misses the target.
21'
Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
21'
Throw-in for Sevilla FC in their own half.
20'
Lucas Ocampos of Sevilla FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
18'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid.
17'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards Atletico Madrid a goal kick.
17'
Sevilla FC's Lucas Ocampos misses with an attempt on goal.
16'
Sevilla FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
16'
Lucas Ocampos (Sevilla FC) is first to the ball but his header is off-target.
16'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Seville.
16'
Corner awarded to Sevilla FC.
15'
Atletico Madrid are whistled for offside.
14'
In Seville a free kick has been awarded the home team.
14'
Atletico Madrid drives forward and Thomas Lemar gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
14'
Atletico Madrid awarded a throw-in in their own half.
12'
Atletico Madrid's Felipe is back in action after a slight knock.
12'
Felipe is back on his feet again.
11'
Attention is being given to Atletico Madrid’s Joan Jordan and play has been suspended briefly.
11'
Play has been temporarily suspended for attention to Joan Jordan for Sevilla FC who is writhing in pain on the pitch.
11'
Free kick Sevilla FC.
10'
Yellow Card
Diego Carlos (Sevilla FC) has received a yellow card from Jesus Gil Manzano.
10'
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in the half of Sevilla FC.
9'
Atletico Madrid have a goal kick.
9'
Sevilla FC's Joan Jordan breaks free at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. But the strike goes wide of the post.
8'
Lucas Ocampos is back on the pitch.
8'
Throw-in high up the field for Sevilla FC in Seville.
8'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards Sevilla FC a penalty but Lucas Ocampos misses from 12 yards.
7'
Sevilla FC have a dangerous throw-in.
6'
Atletico Madrid needs to be cautious. Sevilla FC have an attacking throw-in.
5'
The match has been stopped briefly for attention to the injured Lucas Ocampos.
5'
Yellow Card
Felipe (Atletico Madrid) has received a first yellow card.
3'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Sevilla FC in their own half.
3'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in the half of Sevilla FC.
3'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
1'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a Atletico Madrid throw-in in Sevilla FC's half.
1'
Today's referee, Jesus Gil Manzano, has blown to start the match.
Match Stats
Atletico Madrid
MATCH STATS
Sevilla
6 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
40% Possession % 60%
11 Fouls 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Corners 3
Atletico Madrid[object Object]
Sevilla[object Object]
6 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
40% Possession % 60%
11 Fouls 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Corners 3

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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Sevilla +195, Atletico Madrid +175, Draw +195

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sevilla: 33.2%
  • Atletico Madrid: 36.1%
  • Draw: 30.7%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sevilla a win probability of 33.2%, while Atletico Madrid has a win probability of 36.1%. The chance of a draw is 30.7%.

Summary

Our Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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