Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves La Liga game on March 21, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

LA LIGA

FINAL

LA LIGA

Alaves

Mar 21, 5:30PM Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid

Mar 21, 5:30PM Wanda Metropolitano

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

Atletico MadridATM

Score Summary

AlavesALA

Suarez (54')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

ATM

100.0%

Draw

0.0%

ALA

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Atletico Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.

90'

Corner awarded to Deportivo Alaves.

90'

Luis Suarez for Deportivo Alaves gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.

90'

It's a goal kick for the home team in Madrid.

90'

Atletico Madrid's Rodrigo Battaglia has been booked in Madrid.

90'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

90'

It's a goal kick for the home team in Madrid.

90'

Deportivo Alaves awarded a throw-in in their own half.

90'

Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.

89'

Throw-in for Deportivo Alaves at Wanda Metropolitano.

88'

Rodrigo Battaglia (Deportivo Alaves) has received a yellow card from Juan Martinez Munuera.

87'

Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.

87'

Deportivo Alaves have been awarded a corner by Juan Martinez Munuera.

86'

Joselu (Deportivo Alaves) had a chance from the penalty spot but missed!

86'

Luis Rioja is back on his feet again.

85'

Stefan Savic is booked for the home team.

83'

Luis Rioja is writhing in pain and play has been suspended for a few moments.

81'

Throw-in for Deportivo Alaves in the half of Atletico Madrid.

80'

Borja Sainz is replacing Pere Pons for the away team.

79'

Juan Martinez Munuera awards Atletico Madrid a goal kick.

79'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a Atletico Madrid throw-in in Deportivo Alaves's half.

78'

Corner awarded to Deportivo Alaves.

76'

In Madrid a free kick has been awarded the away team.

76'

Jota (Atletico Madrid) gets a yellow card.

75'

Throw-in Deportivo Alaves.

75'

The home team have replaced Thomas Lemar with Hector Herrera. This is the second substitution made today by Diego Simeone.

74'

Atletico Madrid make their first substitution with Hector Herrera replacing Thomas Lemar.

74'

Atletico Madrid's Luis Suarez attacks the ball with his head but his effort fails to hit the target.

74'

Deportivo Alaves have a goal kick.

74'

Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Juan Martinez Munuera.

73'

Free kick for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

71'

In Madrid a free kick has been awarded the home team.

70'

Abelardo is making the team's third substitution at Wanda Metropolitano with Abdallahi Mohamed Mahmoud replacing Jota.

70'

The away team replace Victor Laguardia with Alberto Rodriguez.

69'

Joselu (Deportivo Alaves) gets up for a header but cannot keep the ball on target.

69'

Juan Martinez Munuera awards Atletico Madrid a goal kick.

69'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

67'

Deportivo Alaves awarded a free kick in their own half.

66'

Free kick for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

66'

Can Atletico Madrid get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Deportivo Alaves's half?

65'

Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.

65'

Deportivo Alaves's Joselu breaks free at Wanda Metropolitano. But the strike goes wide of the post.

64'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

63'

Atletico Madrid's Koke is on target but unsuccessful.

62'

Juan Martinez Munuera awards the away team a throw-in.

62'

Deportivo Alaves have been awarded a corner by Juan Martinez Munuera.

60'

Throw-in for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

59'

Atletico Madrid drives forward and Pere Pons gets in a shot. Without netting, however.

58'

Atletico Madrid to take a throw-in in Deportivo Alaves territory.

56'

Atletico Madrid's Kieran Trippier looks ok and returns to the pitch.

55'

The match has been stopped briefly for attention to the injured Kieran Trippier.

54'

Goal! A Luis Suarez header gives Atletico Madrid a 1-0 lead in Madrid.

0-1

53'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a throw-in for Atletico Madrid, close to Deportivo Alaves's area.

52'

Atletico Madrid push upfield but Juan Martinez Munuera quickly pulls them for offside.

49'

Deportivo Alaves awarded a free kick in their own half.

49'

Deportivo Alaves needs to be cautious. Atletico Madrid have an attacking throw-in.

47'

Throw-in for Atletico Madrid close to the penalty box.

47'

Can Atletico Madrid capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Deportivo Alaves's half?

46'

Free kick Atletico Madrid.

45'

The whistle has gone to end the first-half.

45'

Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.

45'

Free kick for Atletico Madrid in the half of Deportivo Alaves.

45'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves.

45'

Deportivo Alaves awarded a free kick in their own half.

44'

Ball goes out of play for a Deportivo Alaves goal kick.

43'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid.

43'

Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.

41'

Luis Suarez of Atletico Madrid gets in a strike, but is off target.

41'

It's a goal kick for the away team in Madrid.

39'

Atletico Madrid drive forward at breakneck speed but are pulled up for offside.

38'

Throw-in high up the field for Atletico Madrid in Madrid.

37'

In Madrid Atletico Madrid attack through Angel Correa. The finish is off target, however.

37'

Deportivo Alaves have a goal kick.

36'

Ball safe as Atletico Madrid is awarded a throw-in in their half.

36'

Deportivo Alaves pushes forward through Pere Pons, whose finish on goal is saved.

35'

Deportivo Alaves have a dangerous throw-in.

34'

Throw-in for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.

34'

Deportivo Alaves awarded a throw-in in their own half.

33'

Jota (Deportivo Alaves) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.

33'

Deportivo Alaves will need to be alert as they defend a dangerous free kick from Atletico Madrid.

31'

In Madrid a free kick has been awarded the home team.

31'

Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Juan Martinez Munuera.

30'

A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.

29'

Juan Martinez Munuera awards the home team a throw-in.

29'

Free kick for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

28'

Throw-in for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

28'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a free kick to Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

26'

In Madrid, Atletico Madrid push forward quickly but are pulled up for offside.

26'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid in their own half.

26'

Goal kick for Deportivo Alaves at Wanda Metropolitano.

25'

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a Deportivo Alaves throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.

24'

Deportivo Alaves have been awarded a corner by Juan Martinez Munuera.

23'

At Wanda Metropolitano, Deportivo Alaves are penalized for being offside.

21'

Ball safe as Deportivo Alaves is awarded a throw-in in their half.

18'

Atletico Madrid awarded a throw-in in their own half.

17'

Free kick Atletico Madrid.

16'

Atletico Madrid to take a throw-in in Deportivo Alaves territory.

15'

Deportivo Alaves awarded a free kick in their own half.

15'

Atletico Madrid's Luis Suarez gets his shot away but it misses the target.

15'

It's a goal kick for the away team in Madrid.

12'

Throw-in Deportivo Alaves.

11'

Free kick for Atletico Madrid in the half of Deportivo Alaves.

Atletico Madrid's Thomas Lemar misses with an attempt on goal.

Juan Martinez Munuera awards Deportivo Alaves a goal kick.

Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.

Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in the half of Deportivo Alaves.

Atletico Madrid have a goal kick.

Facundo Pellistri for Deportivo Alaves gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.

Luis Suarez of Atletico Madrid is pulled up for offside.

Ball goes out of play for a Atletico Madrid goal kick.

Juan Martinez Munuera signals a throw-in for Deportivo Alaves, close to Atletico Madrid's area.

A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.

Juan Martinez Munuera blows against Atletico Madrid's Luis Suarez for offside.

Free kick for Deportivo Alaves in their own half.

Throw-in for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.

Can Deportivo Alaves get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half?

The match has started.

Match Stats

Alaves		MATCH STATS		Atletico Madrid

6	Shots	8
1	Shots on target	3
32%	Possession %	68%
10	Fouls	14
2	Yellow Cards	3
0	Red Cards	0
5	Corners	5

Alaves[object Object]			Atletico Madrid[object Object]

6	Shots	8
1	Shots on target	3
32%	Possession %	68%
10	Fouls	14
2	Yellow Cards	3
0	Red Cards	0
5	Corners	5

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Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves
Date: Sunday, March 21, 2021
Time: 1:30 PM ET
Venue: Wanda Metropolitano

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid -278, Alaves +1000, Draw +375
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+130/-164)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Atletico Madrid: 65.9%
Alaves: 13.5%
Draw: 20.6%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 2-0 Alaves, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 65.9%, while Alaves has a win probability of 13.5%. The chance of a draw is 20.6%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.