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Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga game on March 10, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
1
2
Mar 10, 6PM Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico Madrid
Mar 10, 6PM Wanda Metropolitano
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Llorente (45')
Suarez (51') (P)
Muniain (21')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Athletic Bilbao are in shooting range from this free kick.
90'
Yellow Card
Renan Lodi (Atletico Madrid) gets a yellow card.
90'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
90'
In Madrid a free kick has been awarded the home team.
90'
Yannick Carrasco (Athletic Bilbao) strikes at Wanda Metropolitano but his header is cleared.
90'
Corner awarded to Athletic Bilbao.
89'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
89'
Substitution
Jon Morcillo is replacing Iker Muniain for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.
88'
Substitution
Diego Simeone is making the team's fourth substitution at Wanda Metropolitano with Jon Morcillo replacing Iker Muniain.
88'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards Atletico Madrid a goal kick.
85'
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
85'
Atletico Madrid needs to be cautious. Athletic Bilbao have an attacking throw-in.
84'
Athletic Bilbao have a goal kick.
84'
Atletico Madrid's Marcos Llorente gets his shot away but it misses the target.
83'
Athletic Bilbao have been awarded a corner by Jesus Gil Manzano.
82'
Athletic Bilbao awarded a throw-in in their own half.
81'
Can Athletic Bilbao get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half?
81'
Substitution
Marcelino (Athletic Bilbao) is making a fifth substitution, with Jon Morcillo replacing Iker Muniain.
80'
Substitution
The away team replace Oscar De Marcos with Ander Capa.
80'
Athletic Bilbao have a dangerous throw-in.
79'
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
77'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a Athletic Bilbao throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.
77'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a throw-in for Athletic Bilbao, close to Atletico Madrid's area.
75'
Free kick for Athletic Bilbao in the half of Atletico Madrid.
74'
Throw-in for Athletic Bilbao close to the penalty box.
74'
Ball safe as Athletic Bilbao is awarded a throw-in in their half.
74'
Substitution
Marcelino is making the team's third substitution at Wanda Metropolitano with Asier Villalibre replacing Raul Garcia.
74'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Luis Suarez with Lucas Torreira. This is the second substitution made today by Marcelino.
73'
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
73'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
72'
Substitution
Atletico Madrid make their third substitution with Lucas Torreira replacing Luis Suarez.
71'
Ball goes out of play for a Athletic Bilbao goal kick.
71'
Atletico Madrid are coming forward and Angel Correa gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
71'
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
68'
Throw-in for Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
68'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Madrid.
67'
Substitution
Saul Niguez is on a sub for Thomas Lemar for Atletico Madrid.
67'
Substitution
Angel Correa is replacing Joao Felix for the home team.
66'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
65'
Yannick Carrasco for Atletico Madrid drives towards goal at Wanda Metropolitano. But the finish is unsuccessful.
63'
Athletic Bilbao awarded a free kick in their own half.
62'
Athletic Bilbao have a goal kick.
59'
Substitution
Dani Garcia is replacing Mikel Vesga for Athletic Bilbao at Wanda Metropolitano.
59'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards Atletico Madrid a goal kick.
58'
Throw-in Athletic Bilbao.
58'
Atletico Madrid to take a throw-in in Athletic Bilbao territory.
57'
Free kick for Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
56'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid in their own half.
55'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a throw-in for Athletic Bilbao, close to Atletico Madrid's area.
54'
Athletic Bilbao have been awarded a corner by Jesus Gil Manzano.
51'
It's advantage Atletico Madrid in Madrid as Luis Suarez scores from the spot to make it 2-1.
1-2
48'
It's getting dangerous! Free kick for Atletico Madrid close to the penalty box.
47'
Atletico Madrid are caught offside.
46'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in the half of Athletic Bilbao.
46'
Throw-in for Athletic Bilbao at Wanda Metropolitano.
45'
The first half has been concluded at Wanda Metropolitano.
45'
Marcos Llorente scores with his head for Atletico Madrid to level the match at 1-1.
1-1
45'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
44'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Madrid.
43'
Yellow Card
Felipe for Atletico Madrid has been booked by Jesus Gil Manzano and will miss the next match due to a suspension.
43'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Athletic Bilbao.
43'
Can Athletic Bilbao get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half?
42'
Athletic Bilbao awarded a free kick in their own half.
41'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid in their own half.
40'
Yellow Card
Mikel Vesga is booked for the away team.
40'
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Jesus Gil Manzano.
39'
Free kick for Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
38'
Yellow Card
Oscar De Marcos (Athletic Bilbao) has received a yellow card from Jesus Gil Manzano.
38'
Free kick Atletico Madrid.
38'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a Athletic Bilbao throw-in in Atletico Madrid's half.
37'
Ball goes out of play for a Athletic Bilbao goal kick.
37'
Atletico Madrid attack but Yannick Carrasco's header doesn't find the target.
37'
Corner awarded to Atletico Madrid.
36'
Atletico Madrid have a dangerous throw-in.
35'
Athletic Bilbao awarded a free kick in their own half.
34'
Atletico Madrid's Yannick Carrasco gets in a shot on goal at Wanda Metropolitano. But the effort is unsuccessful.
33'
Free kick for Atletico Madrid in their own half.
31'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Atletico Madrid in their own half.
30'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
29'
Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.
29'
Throw-in for Athletic Bilbao in the half of Atletico Madrid.
28'
Athletic Bilbao awarded a throw-in in their own half.
27'
Atletico Madrid drive forward at breakneck speed but are pulled up for offside.
26'
Atletico Madrid awarded a free kick in their own half.
26'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards the home team a throw-in.
25'
Jesus Gil Manzano awards Atletico Madrid a goal kick.
24'
Athletic Bilbao awarded a free kick in their own half.
24'
Marcos Llorente gets his shot on target but fails to score for Atletico Madrid.
23'
Goal kick for Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.
21'
Iker Muniain scores to make it 0-1 at Wanda Metropolitano.
1-0
20'
Athletic Bilbao to take a throw-in in Atletico Madrid territory.
19'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Madrid.
19'
Throw-in high up the field for Athletic Bilbao in Madrid.
18'
Corner awarded to Athletic Bilbao.
16'
Free kick for Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
15'
Atletico Madrid push upfield but Jesus Gil Manzano quickly pulls them for offside.
15'
In Madrid a free kick has been awarded the home team.
15'
Throw-in for Atletico Madrid close to the penalty box.
14'
Can Atletico Madrid get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Athletic Bilbao's half?
11'
Ball goes out of play for a Athletic Bilbao goal kick.
11'
Can Atletico Madrid capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Athletic Bilbao's half?
6'
Athletic Bilbao needs to be cautious. Atletico Madrid have an attacking throw-in.
5'
Jesus Gil Manzano signals a free kick to Athletic Bilbao in their own half.
5'
Atletico Madrid have been awarded a corner by Jesus Gil Manzano.
4'
Throw-in Atletico Madrid.
3'
Atletico Madrid have a goal kick.
1'
Ball safe as Athletic Bilbao is awarded a throw-in in their half.
1'
The first-half is now underway.
Match Stats
Athletic Bilbao
MATCH STATS
Atletico Madrid
3 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
53% Possession % 47%
11 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
4 Corners 5
Athletic Bilbao[object Object]
Atletico Madrid[object Object]
3 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
53% Possession % 47%
11 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
4 Corners 5

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Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Wednesday, March 10, 2021
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Wanda Metropolitano

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Atletico Madrid -175, Athletic Bilbao +600, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+155/-189)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 51.4%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 20.6%
  • Draw: 28.0%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atletico Madrid a win probability of 51.4%, while Athletic Bilbao has a win probability of 20.6%. The chance of a draw is 28.0%.

Summary

Our Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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