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Southampton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Southampton vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on January 21, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
0
Jan 21, 3PM St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)
Southampton
Jan 21, 3PM St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SouthamptonSOT
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
O. Watkins (77')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SOT
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Dendoncker replaces Douglas Luiz
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: M. Orsic replaces A. Armstrong
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: M. Djenepo replaces D. Caleta-Car
82'
Yellow Card
A. Moreno (Aston Villa) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Cash replaces L. Bailey
77'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Douglas Luiz
1-0
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Coutinho replaces E. Buendia
64'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
64'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: R. Perraud replaces S. Edozie
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: S. Mara replaces C. Adams
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Southampton: M. Elyounoussi replaces R. Lavia
13'
Yellow Card
Lyanco (Southampton) cautioned

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Southampton vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Southampton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, January 21, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Southampton +175, Aston Villa +180, Draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+125/-150)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Southampton: 36.6%
  • Aston Villa: 36.8%
  • Draw: 26.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Southampton 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Southampton a win probability of 36.6%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 36.8%. The chance of a draw is 26.6%.

Summary

Our Southampton vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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