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Chelsea vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Manchester City Premier League game on January 5, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
1
0
Jan 5, 8PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
Jan 5, 8PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
R. Mahrez (63')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MNC
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityManchester CityChelseaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityManchester CityChelseaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
K. Koulibaly (Chelsea) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
M. Kovacic (Chelsea) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: K. Phillips replaces Rodri
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Gallagher replaces H. Ziyech
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: O. Giraud-Hutchinson replaces P. Aubameyang
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Hall replaces M. Cucurella
63'
Goal scored for Manchester City by R. Mahrez, assisted by J. Grealish
1-0
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: R. Mahrez replaces B. Silva
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: J. Grealish replaces P. Foden
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Akanji replaces K. Walker
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: R. Lewis replaces J. Cancelo
22'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Chukwuemeka replaces C. Pulisic
5'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: P. Aubameyang replaces R. Sterling

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Chelsea vs. Manchester City: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Thursday, January 5, 2023
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea +440, Manchester City -145, Draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-130/+112)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 18.2%
  • Manchester City: 59.7%
  • Draw: 22.0%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 0-1 Manchester City, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 18.2%, while Manchester City has a win probability of 59.7%. The chance of a draw is 22.0%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Manchester City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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