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Brighton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on November 13, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
2
1
Nov 13, 2PM The American Express Community Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
Brighton
Nov 13, 2PM The American Express Community Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
A. Mac Allister (1')
D. Ings (pen.) (20')
D. Ings (54')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Martinez (Aston Villa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
A. Young (Aston Villa) cautioned
83'
Yellow Card
R. De Zerbi (Brighton) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: C. Archer replaces D. Ings
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Dendoncker replaces Douglas Luiz
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Augustinsson replaces L. Digne
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: T. Lamptey replaces P. Estupinan
80'
Yellow Card
L. Bailey (Aston Villa) cautioned
79'
Yellow Card
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces E. Buendia
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Young replaces J. Ramsey
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: D. Undav replaces D. Welbeck
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Veltman replaces J. Enciso
57'
Yellow Card
M. Caicedo (Brighton) cautioned
54'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Ings, assisted by Douglas Luiz
2-1
26'
Yellow Card
T. Mings (Aston Villa) cautioned
20'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Ings (pen.)
1-1
5'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Enciso replaces A. Lallana
1'
Goal scored for Brighton by A. Mac Allister
0-1

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Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, November 13, 2022
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: The American Express Community Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Brighton -135, Aston Villa +460, Draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+110/-128)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Brighton: 45.3%
  • Aston Villa: 28.1%
  • Draw: 26.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Brighton 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Brighton a win probability of 45.3%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 28.1%. The chance of a draw is 26.6%.

Summary

Our Brighton vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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