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Leeds vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Arsenal Premier League game on December 18, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
4
1
Dec 18, 5:30PM Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Leeds
Dec 18, 5:30PM Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LeedsLU
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
Raphinha (pen.) (75')
G. Martinelli (16')
G. Martinelli (28')
B. Saka (42')
E. Smith Rowe (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LU
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ARS
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
R. Koch (Leeds) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
G. Xhaka (Arsenal) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: N. Tavares replaces M. Odegaard
84'
Goal scored for Arsenal by E. Smith Rowe, assisted by M. Odegaard
4-1
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: L. McCarron replaces C. Summerville
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Smith Rowe replaces B. Saka
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Greenwood replaces M. Klich
75'
Goal scored for Leeds by Raphinha (pen.)
3-1
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: C. Soares replaces T. Tomiyasu
56'
Yellow Card
S. Dallas (Leeds) cautioned
53'
Yellow Card
J. Gelhardt (Leeds) cautioned
42'
Goal scored for Arsenal by B. Saka
3-0
31'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: C. Summerville replaces J. Harrison
28'
Goal scored for Arsenal by G. Martinelli, assisted by G. Xhaka
2-0
16'
Goal scored for Arsenal by G. Martinelli, assisted by A. Lacazette
1-0

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Leeds vs. Arsenal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, December 18, 2021
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Leeds +480, Arsenal -164, Draw +335
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-140/+118)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Leeds: 22.1%
  • Arsenal: 54.9%
  • Draw: 23.0%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Leeds 1-1 Arsenal, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Leeds a win probability of 22.1%, while Arsenal has a win probability of 54.9%. The chance of a draw is 23.0%.

Summary

Our Leeds vs. Arsenal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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