Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Premier League game on May 23, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

Chelsea

May 23, 3PM Villa Park

Aston Villa

May 23, 3PM Villa Park

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

Aston VillaVIL

Score Summary

ChelseaCFC

Traore (43')

El (52') (P)

Chilwell (70')

Azpilicueta (89')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

VIL

100.0%

Draw

0.0%

CFC

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

At Villa Park, Emilano Martinez has been yellow-carded for the away team.

90'

Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.

90'

Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.

90'

Goal kick for Chelsea FC at Villa Park.

90'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC close to the penalty box.

90'

Aston Villa FC needs to be cautious. Chelsea FC have an attacking throw-in.

90'

Chelsea FC awarded a free kick in their own half.

89'

Cesar Azpilicueta (Chelsea FC) sees red and is sent off in Birmingham!

89'

In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the home team.

88'

Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Chelsea FC's half?

87'

Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.

87'

In Birmingham Chelsea FC drive forward through Benjamin Chilwell. His shot is on target but it's saved.

85'

It's a goal kick for the home team in Birmingham.

85'

Chelsea FC's Benjamin Chilwell gets his shot away but it misses the target.

85'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.

83'

Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.

83'

Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.

82'

A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.

82'

Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.

81'

Emilano Martinez for Aston Villa FC has been booked by Stuart Attwell and receives a first yellow card.

81'

Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.

79'

Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.

79'

Dean Smith (Aston Villa FC) is making a second substitution, with Jacob Ramsey replacing Anwar El Ghazi.

79'

In Birmingham, Mason Mount (Chelsea FC) misses the target with a header.

79'

Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.

78'

Free kick for Chelsea FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.

77'

Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.

77'

In Birmingham Chelsea FC attack through Cesar Azpilicueta. The finish is off target, however.

77'

Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.

75'

Throw-in Chelsea FC.

75'

Marvelous Nakamba (Aston Villa FC) has received a first yellow card.

74'

Free kick Chelsea FC.

74'

Throw-in high up the field for Chelsea FC in Birmingham.

74'

Chelsea FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.

73'

Aston Villa FC to take a throw-in in Chelsea FC territory.

73'

Carney Chukwuemeka is on a sub for Bertrand Traore for Aston Villa FC.

73'

Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Chelsea FC.

72'

Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.

71'

Chelsea FC awarded a free kick in their own half.

70'

Benjamin Chilwell strikes to reduce the deficit to 2-1 at Villa Park.

1-2

68'

Kai Havertz for Chelsea FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.

68'

Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.

67'

Can Chelsea FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?

66'

Throw-in for Chelsea FC in their own half.

66'

Kai Havertz is replacing Mateo Kovacic for the away team.

65'

Stuart Attwell blows against Chelsea FC's Hakim Ziyech for offside.

65'

John McGinn (Aston Villa FC) has received a yellow card from Stuart Attwell.

65'

Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.

62'

In Birmingham Chelsea FC attack through Mateo Kovacic. The finish is off target, however.

62'

Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.

62'

Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.

60'

Chelsea FC make their second substitution with Hakim Ziyech replacing Jorginho.

59'

Chelsea FC's Cesar Azpilicueta is whistled for offside at Villa Park.

57'

Can Chelsea FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Aston Villa FC's half?

56'

Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.

56'

Throw-in for Chelsea FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.

55'

Chelsea FC are coming forward and Mason Mount gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.

55'

It's a goal kick for the home team in Birmingham.

52'

Aston Villa FC are going well in Birmingham. They now lead 2-0 thanks to a Anwar El Ghazi penalty.

0-2

51'

Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.

49'

Throw-in Chelsea FC.

49'

Mateo Kovacic (Chelsea FC) gets a yellow card.

49'

Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.

47'

Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.

46'

Stuart Attwell awards the away team a throw-in.

45'

The away team replace Edouard Mendy with Kepa Arrizabalaga.

45'

The whistle has gone to end the first-half.

45'

Aston Villa FC's Anwar El Ghazi attacks the ball with his head but his effort fails to hit the target.

45'

Chelsea FC's Timo Werner has been booked in Birmingham.

45'

Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.

45'

In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the home team.

45'

Throw-in for Chelsea FC at Villa Park.

45'

Stuart Attwell awards Chelsea FC a goal kick.

45'

Jorginho (Chelsea FC) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.

45'

Free kick Aston Villa FC.

43'

Bertrand Traore scores to make it 1-0 at Villa Park.

0-1

43'

Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.

42'

Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.

41'

Christian Pulisic is back on the pitch.

40'

Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.

39'

The match at Villa Park has been interrupted briefly for a check on Christian Pulisic, who is down injured.

38'

Aston Villa FC have a dangerous throw-in.

38'

Free kick Aston Villa FC.

36'

Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Chelsea FC.

34'

Stuart Attwell awards the home team a throw-in.

34'

A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.

33'

Throw-in for Chelsea FC close to the penalty box.

32'

Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.

31'

In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the away team.

29'

Aston Villa FC are pushing forward but John McGinn's finish is wide of the goal.

29'

Ball goes out of play for a Chelsea FC goal kick.

28'

Bertrand Traore for Aston Villa FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.

28'

Stuart Attwell awards Chelsea FC a goal kick.

27'

Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.

25'

Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.

25'

Stuart Attwell signals a Chelsea FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.

24'

Chelsea FC's Mason Mount breaks free at Villa Park. But the strike goes wide of the post.

24'

Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.

22'

Chelsea FC's Christian Pulisic is on target but unsuccessful.

21'

Stuart Attwell signals a Chelsea FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.

21'

Aston Villa FC needs to be cautious. Chelsea FC have an attacking throw-in.

21'

Throw-in Chelsea FC.

21'

Chelsea FC's Timo Werner gets in a shot on goal at Villa Park. But the effort is unsuccessful.

20'

Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.

19'

Stuart Attwell signals a throw-in for Chelsea FC, close to Aston Villa FC's area.

18'

Chelsea FC drives forward and Mason Mount gets in a shot. Without netting, however.

17'

Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Chelsea FC.

16'

Aston Villa FC pushes forward through Bertrand Traore, whose finish on goal is saved.

15'

Benjamin Chilwell for Chelsea FC drives towards goal at Villa Park. But the finish is unsuccessful.

15'

Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.

14'

Throw-in high up the field for Chelsea FC in Birmingham.

14'

Chelsea FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.

13'

Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.

11'

It's a goal kick for the home team in Birmingham.

10'

Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.

Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.

Throw-in for Chelsea FC at Villa Park.

Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.

A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Chelsea FC.

Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Chelsea FC's half?

Chelsea FC's Mason Mount gets his shot away but it misses the target.

Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.

Chelsea FC awarded a free kick in their own half.

Throw-in for Chelsea FC in their own half.

The match has started at Villa Park.

Match Stats

Chelsea		MATCH STATS		Aston Villa

21	Shots	7
6	Shots on target	3
73%	Possession %	27%
13	Fouls	12
4	Yellow Cards	3
1	Red Cards	0
9	Corners	2

Chelsea[object Object]			Aston Villa[object Object]

21	Shots	7
6	Shots on target	3
73%	Possession %	27%
13	Fouls	12
4	Yellow Cards	3
1	Red Cards	0
9	Corners	2

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?

Aston Villa vs. Chelsea: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Aston Villa vs. Chelsea
Date: Sunday, May 23, 2021
Time: 11:00 AM ET
Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +600, Chelsea -230, Draw +380
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-154/+125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Aston Villa: 16.5%
Chelsea: 62.3%
Draw: 21.1%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 16.5%, while Chelsea has a win probability of 62.3%. The chance of a draw is 21.1%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Chelsea predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

...

Read Article

...

Read Article

...

Read Article

Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Aston Villa vs. Chelsea: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Projected Final Score

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

Summary

Related Articles