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Southampton vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Southampton vs. Leeds Premier League game on May 18, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
2
0
May 18, 5PM St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
May 18, 5PM St. Mary's Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SouthamptonSOT
Score Summary
LeedsLU
Bamford (73')
Roberts (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SOT
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
LU
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Leeds United's Raphinha gets in a shot on goal at St. Mary's Stadium. But the effort is unsuccessful.
90'
The match at St. Mary's Stadium has been interrupted briefly for a check on Pascal Struijk, who is down injured.
90'
Goal! Tyler Roberts extends Leeds United's lead to 0-2.
2-0
90'
Patrick Bamford for Leeds United drives towards goal at St. Mary's Stadium. But the finish is unsuccessful.
90'
Jack Stephens (Southampton FC) goes close with a header but the ball is scrambled away by Leeds United defenders.
90'
Free kick for Southampton FC in the half of Leeds United.
90'
Peter Bankes signals a Leeds United throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
90'
Throw-in Southampton FC.
90'
Danny Ings for Southampton FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
90'
Peter Bankes awards Leeds United a goal kick.
90'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Leeds United territory.
90'
Can Leeds United get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
89'
Southampton FC's Nathan Redmond gets his shot away but it misses the target.
89'
Goal kick for Leeds United at St. Mary's Stadium.
89'
In Southampton Southampton FC attack through Nathan Redmond. The finish is off target, however.
89'
Leeds United have a goal kick.
88'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
88'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Leeds United.
87'
Peter Bankes blows against Southampton FC's Kyle Walker-Peters for offside.
86'
Free kick for Leeds United in the half of Southampton FC.
85'
Leeds United's Patrick Bamford has run offside.
84'
Peter Bankes signals a Leeds United throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
83'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
82'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Southampton.
81'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Leeds United territory.
81'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
80'
Free kick Southampton FC.
79'
Ball safe as Southampton FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
79'
Throw-in Southampton FC.
78'
Substitution
Tyler Roberts is replacing Rodrigo Moreno for the away team.
78'
Substitution
Ibrahima Diallo is on a sub for Theo Walcott for Southampton FC.
77'
In Southampton a free kick has been awarded the away team.
76'
Free kick Leeds United.
76'
Leeds United's Raphinha breaks free at St. Mary's Stadium. But the strike goes wide of the post.
76'
Ball goes out of play for a Southampton FC goal kick.
75'
Danny Ings (Southampton FC) gets up for a header but cannot keep the ball on target.
75'
Leeds United have a goal kick.
74'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
73'
Leeds United take a 0-1 lead thanks to Patrick Bamford.
1-0
72'
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
71'
Leeds United awarded a throw-in in their own half.
70'
Substitution
Nathan Redmond is replacing Nathan Tella for the home team.
70'
Throw-in for Leeds United in the half of Southampton FC.
69'
Stuart Dallas for Leeds United gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
69'
Ball goes out of play for a Southampton FC goal kick.
68'
Ezgjan Alioski gets his shot on target but fails to score for Leeds United.
67'
Southampton FC's Danny Ings gets his shot away but it misses the target.
67'
Peter Bankes awards Leeds United a goal kick.
65'
Yellow Card
At St. Mary's Stadium, Pascal Struijk has been yellow-carded for the away team.
65'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
64'
Peter Bankes awards the away team a throw-in.
64'
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Leeds United's half?
63'
Leeds United's Patrick Bamford is back in action after a slight knock.
59'
Patrick Bamford is down and play has been interrupted for a few moments.
59'
Throw-in for Leeds United close to the penalty box.
59'
Corner awarded to Leeds United.
56'
Yellow Card
Stuart Dallas (Leeds United) has received a yellow card from Peter Bankes.
56'
Southampton FC are in shooting range from this free kick.
55'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in their own half.
55'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
54'
Peter Bankes awards the away team a throw-in.
54'
Southampton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
53'
Throw-in Southampton FC.
53'
Leeds United awarded a free kick in their own half.
51'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in their own half.
50'
Leeds United drives forward and Patrick Bamford gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
50'
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
50'
Leeds United's Stuart Dallas is on target but unsuccessful.
48'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
48'
Throw-in for Leeds United at St. Mary's Stadium.
47'
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
47'
Great shot from Southampton FC's Che Adams but he is denied by the crossbar.
47'
Goal kick for Leeds United at St. Mary's Stadium.
46'
Substitution
Leeds United make their second substitution with Gaetano Berardi replacing Diego Llorente.
46'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Southampton FC.
46'
Ball safe as Leeds United is awarded a throw-in in their half.
45'
Substitution
The away team replace Diego Llorente with Gaetano Berardi.
45'
Substitution
The home team have replaced Che Adams with Danny Ings. This is the first substitution made today by Ralph Hasenhuttl.
45'
The first-half has ended.
45'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Southampton.
45'
Can Leeds United capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Southampton FC's half?
45'
Peter Bankes signals a throw-in for Leeds United, close to Southampton FC's area.
45'
Can Leeds United get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
45'
Leeds United to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
44'
Southampton FC have a dangerous throw-in.
42'
Peter Bankes awards the away team a throw-in.
41'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
39'
In Southampton Leeds United attack through Rodrigo Moreno. The finish is off target, however.
39'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Southampton.
38'
Southampton FC are pushing forward but Nathan Tella's finish is wide of the goal.
38'
Leeds United have a goal kick.
37'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
37'
In Southampton Southampton FC drive forward through Che Adams. His shot is on target but it's saved.
35'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Leeds United in their own half.
35'
Yellow Card
Kalvin Phillips for Leeds United has been booked by Peter Bankes and receives a first yellow card.
34'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Leeds United.
34'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
33'
Throw-in for Leeds United at St. Mary's Stadium.
32'
Peter Bankes signals a Leeds United throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
31'
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
30'
Leeds United awarded a throw-in in their own half.
30'
Throw-in Leeds United.
29'
Ball goes out of play for a Leeds United goal kick.
28'
Leeds United attack but Che Adams's header doesn't find the target.
28'
Peter Bankes awards Southampton FC a goal kick.
28'
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
28'
Peter Bankes signals a Leeds United throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
27'
Ball safe as Southampton FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
26'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Leeds United territory.
26'
Leeds United awarded a free kick in their own half.
24'
Stuart Dallas for Leeds United gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
24'
Goal kick for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
23'
Throw-in for Leeds United in their own half.
21'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Leeds United in their own half.
20'
In Southampton Southampton FC attack through Stuart Armstrong. The finish is off target, however.
20'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Southampton.
19'
Southampton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
19'
Leeds United are coming forward and Luke Ayling gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
19'
Goal kick for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
18'
Throw-in high up the field for Leeds United in Southampton.
18'
Moussa Djenepo returns to the field for Southampton FC after picking up a slight injury.
18'
Peter Bankes awards the away team a throw-in.
16'
Play has been interrupted briefly in Southampton to check on Moussa Djenepo, who is grimacing with pain.
15'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
15'
Corner awarded to Leeds United.
14'
Southampton FC needs to be cautious. Leeds United have an attacking throw-in.
14'
Peter Bankes signals a throw-in for Leeds United, close to Southampton FC's area.
13'
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
13'
Throw-in for Leeds United in their own half.
13'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
11'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
10'
Southampton FC's Stuart Armstrong gets his shot away but it misses the target.
10'
Ball goes out of play for a Leeds United goal kick.
9'
Free kick for Southampton FC in the half of Leeds United.
9'
Leeds United have a dangerous throw-in.
8'
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Leeds United's half?
7'
Peter Bankes awards Leeds United a goal kick.
7'
Can Southampton FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Leeds United's half?
6'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
6'
Southampton FC's Moussa Djenepo breaks free at St. Mary's Stadium. But the strike goes wide of the post.
6'
Leeds United have a goal kick.
6'
Throw-in for Leeds United in the half of Southampton FC.
5'
In Southampton Southampton FC's Nathan Tella is caught offside.
4'
Ball safe as Southampton FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
4'
Throw-in for Leeds United close to the penalty box.
3'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
2'
Southampton FC push upfield and Che Adams gets his head to the ball. The attempt is cleared by an alert Leeds United defence.
1'
In Southampton a free kick has been awarded the home team.
1'
Throw-in Leeds United.
1'
The match has started at St. Mary's Stadium.
Match Stats
Leeds
 MATCH STATS
Southampton
15 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 3
49% Possession % 51%
12 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
4 Corners 4
Leeds[object Object]
Southampton[object Object]
15 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 3
49% Possession % 51%
12 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
4 Corners 4

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Southampton vs. Leeds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Southampton vs. Leeds
  • Date: Tuesday, May 18, 2021
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Southampton +160, Leeds +155, Draw +290

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Southampton: 36.6%
  • Leeds: 37.0%
  • Draw: 26.4%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Southampton 1-1 Leeds, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Southampton a win probability of 36.6%, while Leeds has a win probability of 37.0%. The chance of a draw is 26.4%.

Summary

Our Southampton vs. Leeds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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