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Brighton vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Manchester City Premier League game on May 18, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
2
3
May 18, 6PM American Express Community Stadium
Brighton
May 18, 6PM American Express Community Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
Trossard (50')
Webster (72')
Burn (76')
Gundogan (2')
Cancelo (10')
Foden (48')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MNC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Throw-in Manchester City FC.
90'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
90'
Yellow Card
At American Express Community Stadium, Robert Sanchez has been yellow-carded for the home team.
90'
Goal kick for Brighton & Hove Albion FC at American Express Community Stadium.
90'
Free kick Manchester City FC.
90'
Yellow Card
Adam Webster for Brighton & Hove Albion FC has been booked by Stuart Attwell and receives a first yellow card.
90'
Manchester City FC to take a throw-in in Brighton & Hove Albion FC territory.
90'
Eric Garcia of Manchester City FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
90'
Ball goes out of play for a Brighton & Hove Albion FC goal kick.
90'
Manchester City FC pushes forward through Gabriel Jesus, whose finish on goal is saved.
90'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC at American Express Community Stadium.
89'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
89'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC's Andi Zeqiri is on target but unsuccessful.
88'
Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Manchester City FC.
87'
Free kick for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in their own half.
86'
Can Brighton & Hove Albion FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Manchester City FC's half?
85'
Can Brighton & Hove Albion FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Manchester City FC's half?
85'
Ball goes out of play for a Manchester City FC goal kick.
84'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC in the half of Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
83'
Free kick for Manchester City FC in their own half.
82'
In Falmer a free kick has been awarded the home team.
82'
Yellow Card
Manchester City FC's Fernandinho has been booked in Falmer.
81'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.
79'
Free kick for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in the half of Manchester City FC.
79'
Yellow Card
Ruben Dias (Manchester City FC) has received a first yellow card.
78'
Stuart Attwell signals a throw-in for Manchester City FC, close to Brighton & Hove Albion FC's area.
78'
Substitution
Gabriel Jesus is replacing Bernardo Silva for the away team.
76'
Goal! Brighton & Hove Albion FC have got their heads in front thanks to a Dan Burn strike.
2-3
75'
Riyad Mahrez gets his shot on target but fails to score for Manchester City FC.
74'
Can Manchester City FC capitalize from this dangerous free kick?
72'
Yellow Card
Bernardo Silva (Manchester City FC) has received a yellow card from Stuart Attwell.
72'
Adam Webster equalizes with a header to make it 2-2.
2-2
71'
Free kick Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
71'
Corner awarded to Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
70'
Manchester City FC push upfield but Stuart Attwell quickly pulls them for offside.
68'
Manchester City FC have a goal kick.
68'
Stuart Attwell awards the home team a throw-in.
67'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC are coming forward and Yves Bissouma gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
67'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Falmer.
66'
Stuart Attwell signals a Brighton & Hove Albion FC throw-in in Manchester City FC's half.
65'
Substitution
Andi Zeqiri is on a sub for Steven Alzate for Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
65'
Goal kick for Manchester City FC at American Express Community Stadium.
62'
Manchester City FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
61'
Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Brighton & Hove Albion FC in their own half.
59'
Throw-in high up the field for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in Falmer.
58'
Free kick for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in their own half.
56'
Substitution
Ilkay Gundogan (Manchester City FC) does not seem to be able to continue. He is replaced by Fernandinho.
54'
Play has been temporarily suspended for attention to Ilkay Gundogan for Manchester City FC who is writhing in pain on the pitch.
54'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC in their own half.
54'
Can Brighton & Hove Albion FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Manchester City FC's half?
53'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
52'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
52'
Stuart Attwell awards Manchester City FC a goal kick.
52'
Stuart Attwell awards the away team a throw-in.
50'
Leandro Trossard puts the ball in the net and reduces the deficit to 1-2.
2-1
50'
Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
49'
Substitution
Brighton & Hove Albion FC make their second substitution with Adam Lallana replacing Alireza Jahanbakhsh.
48'
Great finish from Phil Foden to give Manchester City FC a 0-2 lead.
2-0
47'
Free kick for Manchester City FC in their own half.
45'
The first-half is over at American Express Community Stadium.
45'
Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
45'
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
44'
Throw-in Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
44'
At American Express Community Stadium, Brighton & Hove Albion FC are penalized for being offside.
43'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.
39'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have a dangerous throw-in.
38'
Manchester City FC have a goal kick.
38'
Stuart Attwell signals a Brighton & Hove Albion FC throw-in in Manchester City FC's half.
38'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
35'
Manchester City FC to take a throw-in in Brighton & Hove Albion FC territory.
33'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Falmer.
33'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC are whistled for offside.
32'
In Falmer a free kick has been awarded the home team.
31'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC's Pascal Gross misses with an attempt on goal.
30'
Ilkay Gundogan has recovered and rejoins the match in Falmer.
29'
Ball safe as Brighton & Hove Albion FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
29'
Stuart Attwell waits before resuming play because Ilkay Gundogan for Manchester City FC is still down.
29'
Substitution
Graham Potter (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) is making a first change, with Leandro Trossard replacing the possibly injured Danny Welbeck.
27'
Yellow Card
Alireza Jahanbakhsh is booked for the home team.
27'
Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
24'
Danny Welbeck is writhing in pain and play has been suspended for a few moments.
24'
Throw-in for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in the half of Manchester City FC.
24'
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
22'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC at American Express Community Stadium.
21'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
21'
Throw-in for Manchester City FC in their own half.
19'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
19'
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.
17'
Ball goes out of play for a Manchester City FC goal kick.
16'
Manchester City FC needs to be cautious. Brighton & Hove Albion FC have an attacking throw-in.
15'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Ferran Torres with Eric Garcia. This is the first substitution made today by Pep Guardiola.
15'
Free kick for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in their own half.
13'
Goal kick for Manchester City FC at American Express Community Stadium.
13'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have been awarded a corner by Stuart Attwell.
10'
Red Card
Joao Cancelo (Manchester City FC) is red-carded and dismissed.
10'
Free kick for Brighton & Hove Albion FC in the half of Manchester City FC.
8'
Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Manchester City FC.
8'
Stuart Attwell signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
6'
Brighton & Hove Albion FC advance rapidly upfield but Stuart Attwell blows for offside.
5'
Corner awarded to Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
5'
Pascal Gross for Brighton & Hove Albion FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
2'
Goal! Manchester City FC take a 0-1 lead through a well-placed header from Ilkay Gundogan.
1-0
2'
Manchester City FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
1'
Free kick for Manchester City FC in their own half.
Match Stats
Manchester City
MATCH STATS
Brighton
7 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
37% Possession % 63%
12 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
3 Corners 5
Manchester City[object Object]
Brighton[object Object]
7 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
37% Possession % 63%
12 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
3 Corners 5

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Brighton vs. Manchester City: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Tuesday, May 18, 2021
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Express Community Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Brighton +650, Manchester City -222, Draw +390
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-133/+110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Brighton: 20.0%
  • Manchester City: 57.4%
  • Draw: 22.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Brighton 0-2 Manchester City, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Brighton a win probability of 20.0%, while Manchester City has a win probability of 57.4%. The chance of a draw is 22.6%.

Summary

Our Brighton vs. Manchester City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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