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Southampton vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Southampton vs. Crystal Palace Premier League game on May 11, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Crystal Palace
1
3
May 11, 7:15PM St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
May 11, 7:15PM St. Mary's Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SouthamptonSOT
Score Summary
Crystal PalacePAL
Ings (19')
Adams (48')
Ings (75')
Benteke (2')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SOT
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PAL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Southampton.
90'
In Southampton a free kick has been awarded the away team.
90'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
90'
Yellow Card
Wilfried Zaha is booked for the away team.
90'
Free kick for Crystal Palace FC in their own half.
90'
Southampton FC's Nathan Redmond gets his shot away but it misses the target.
90'
Crystal Palace FC have a goal kick.
88'
Throw-in for Crystal Palace FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
86'
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
86'
Crystal Palace FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
85'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
85'
Andy Madley awards the away team a throw-in.
85'
Can Crystal Palace FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Southampton FC's half?
84'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Crystal Palace FC in their own half.
84'
Ball goes out of play for a Crystal Palace FC goal kick.
82'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
80'
Southampton FC drives forward and James Ward-Prowse gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
80'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
79'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
78'
Substitution
Jean-Philippe Mateta is replacing Christian Benteke for the away team.
78'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
77'
Yellow Card
Cheikhou Kouyate (Crystal Palace FC) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
76'
Free kick for Crystal Palace FC in their own half.
76'
Substitution
Michael Obafemi is on a sub for Danny Ings for Southampton FC.
75'
Goal! Southampton FC extend their lead to 3-1 through Danny Ings.
1-3
73'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
72'
Substitution
Roy Hodgson (Crystal Palace FC) is making a second substitution, with Michy Batshuayi replacing Jordan Ayew.
70'
Corner awarded to Crystal Palace FC.
70'
Throw-in for Crystal Palace FC in their own half.
70'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Crystal Palace FC in their own half.
68'
In Southampton a free kick has been awarded the away team.
68'
Andy Madley signals a throw-in for Crystal Palace FC, close to Southampton FC's area.
67'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Southampton.
66'
In Southampton Crystal Palace FC's Tyrick Mitchell is caught offside.
65'
Crystal Palace FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
65'
Substitution
Crystal Palace FC make their first substitution with Jeffrey Schlupp replacing Luka Milivojevic.
64'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Crystal Palace FC.
64'
Ball safe as Crystal Palace FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
63'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
62'
Crystal Palace FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
61'
Crystal Palace FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
61'
Christian Benteke for Crystal Palace FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
61'
Goal kick for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
60'
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
60'
Andy Madley awards Crystal Palace FC a goal kick.
59'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
58'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Crystal Palace FC in their own half.
58'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
57'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
56'
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
56'
Andy Madley signals a Crystal Palace FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
55'
Can Crystal Palace FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
54'
Yellow Card
At St. Mary's Stadium, Jannik Vestergaard has been yellow-carded for the home team.
54'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Crystal Palace FC.
53'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Crystal Palace FC territory.
52'
Crystal Palace FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
52'
Throw-in Crystal Palace FC.
51'
Christian Benteke (Crystal Palace FC) gets in a header on goal but the attempt is cleared.
51'
Corner awarded to Crystal Palace FC.
50'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
48'
Goal! The home team take a 2-1 lead through Che Adams.
1-2
48'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
46'
Free kick for Southampton FC in the half of Crystal Palace FC.
46'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Crystal Palace FC.
45'
Substitution
Ralph Hasenhuttl is making the team's first substitution at St. Mary's Stadium with Mohammed Salisu replacing Jan Bednarek.
45'
The first-half is over.
45'
James Ward-Prowse of Southampton FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
45'
Goal kick for Crystal Palace FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
45'
Yellow Card
Jordan Ayew for Crystal Palace FC has been booked by Andy Madley and receives a first yellow card.
45'
Free kick Southampton FC.
45'
Andy Madley signals a Southampton FC throw-in in Crystal Palace FC's half.
44'
Joel Ward for the away team is judged to be offside.
44'
Yellow Card
Southampton FC's Jan Bednarek has been booked in Southampton.
43'
Free kick Crystal Palace FC.
43'
Crystal Palace FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
41'
Southampton FC needs to be cautious. Crystal Palace FC have an attacking throw-in.
41'
Crystal Palace FC are awarded a penalty ... Luka Milivojevic botches the spot kick!
39'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Crystal Palace FC.
39'
Corner awarded to Crystal Palace FC.
38'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in their own half.
37'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
36'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
36'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Crystal Palace FC.
34'
Crystal Palace FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
34'
Free kick for Southampton FC in the half of Crystal Palace FC.
33'
Southampton FC have a dangerous throw-in.
32'
Throw-in Crystal Palace FC.
32'
Corner awarded to Crystal Palace FC.
31'
In Southampton Crystal Palace FC drive forward through Eberechi Eze. His shot is on target but it's saved.
30'
It's getting dangerous! Free kick for Crystal Palace FC close to the penalty box.
30'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
29'
Crystal Palace FC to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
28'
Andy Madley awards the home team a throw-in.
27'
Free kick for Crystal Palace FC in their own half.
27'
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Crystal Palace FC's half?
27'
Che Adams gets his shot on target but fails to score for Southampton FC.
27'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
26'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
26'
Southampton FC's Nathan Redmond is on target but unsuccessful.
24'
Ball safe as Crystal Palace FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
24'
In Southampton a free kick has been awarded the home team.
22'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Crystal Palace FC in their own half.
21'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Crystal Palace FC.
19'
Goal! Danny Ings equalizes to bring the score to 1-1.
1-1
19'
Free kick Southampton FC.
19'
Joel Ward for Crystal Palace FC drives towards goal at St. Mary's Stadium. But the finish is unsuccessful.
18'
In Southampton a free kick has been awarded the away team.
17'
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Crystal Palace FC's half?
17'
Ball goes out of play for a Southampton FC goal kick.
16'
Crystal Palace FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
14'
Andy Madley awards Crystal Palace FC a goal kick.
14'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
14'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
12'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
12'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andy Madley.
10'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Crystal Palace FC territory.
9'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
9'
Southampton FC's Kyle Walker-Peters is whistled for offside at St. Mary's Stadium.
7'
Crystal Palace FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
6'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Southampton.
5'
Free kick for Southampton FC in the half of Crystal Palace FC.
4'
Free kick for Crystal Palace FC in their own half.
2'
Christian Benteke is on target to give Crystal Palace FC a 0-1 advantage.
1-0
2'
Andy Madley signals a free kick to Crystal Palace FC.
2'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
1'
Crystal Palace FC's Christian Benteke breaks free at St. Mary's Stadium. But the strike goes wide of the post.
1'
Southampton FC have a goal kick.
1'
Andy Madley signals a Crystal Palace FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
1'
The match has started at St. Mary's Stadium.
Match Stats
Crystal Palace
MATCH STATS
Southampton
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
31% Possession % 69%
13 Fouls 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
8 Corners 12
Crystal Palace[object Object]
Southampton[object Object]
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
31% Possession % 69%
13 Fouls 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
8 Corners 12

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Southampton vs. Crystal Palace: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Southampton vs. Crystal Palace
  • Date: Tuesday, May 11, 2021
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Southampton -115, Crystal Palace +320, Draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-118/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Southampton: 46.7%
  • Crystal Palace: 26.5%
  • Draw: 26.8%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Southampton 1-1 Crystal Palace, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Southampton a win probability of 46.7%, while Crystal Palace has a win probability of 26.5%. The chance of a draw is 26.8%.

Summary

Our Southampton vs. Crystal Palace predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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