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Burnley vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Newcastle Premier League game on April 11, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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FINAL
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
2
1
Apr 11, 11AM Turf Moor
Burnley
Apr 11, 11AM Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
Vydra (18')
Murphy (59')
Saint-Maximin (64')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEW
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Burnley FC are coming forward and Ashley Westwood gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
90'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
90'
Throw-in Burnley FC.
90'
Substitution
Jeff Hendrick is replacing Miguel Almiron for Newcastle United FC at Turf Moor.
90'
Burnley FC are pushing forward but Matej Vydra's finish is wide of the goal.
90'
Anthony Taylor awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
90'
Can Burnley FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?
90'
Substitution
The home team have replaced Johann Gudmundsson with Joel Mumbongo. This is the first substitution made today by Sean Dyche.
90'
Throw-in for Burnley FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
90'
Newcastle United FC drives forward and Miguel Almiron gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
89'
Anthony Taylor signals a Burnley FC throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half.
88'
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
85'
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
85'
Paul Dummett for Newcastle United FC is back on the field again.
85'
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
84'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
83'
Paul Dummett is down and play has been interrupted for a few moments.
82'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
81'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
79'
Anthony Taylor awards the home team a throw-in.
78'
Ball safe as Burnley FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
77'
Anthony Taylor signals a Burnley FC throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half.
77'
Matej Vydra for Burnley FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
77'
Anthony Taylor awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
76'
Can Burnley FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?
75'
Burnley FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
75'
Free kick for Burnley FC in their own half.
74'
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
73'
Burnley FC's Matej Vydra breaks free at Turf Moor. But the strike goes wide of the post.
73'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Burnley.
73'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC at Turf Moor.
71'
Goal kick for Burnley FC at Turf Moor.
70'
Yellow Card
Josh Brownhill (Burnley FC) has received a first yellow card.
70'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
68'
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
67'
Anthony Taylor blows against Newcastle United FC's Callum Wilson for offside.
66'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC.
64'
Allan Saint-Maximin puts the ball in the net and the away team now lead 1-2.
2-1
61'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
61'
Ball safe as Burnley FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
61'
Newcastle United FC needs to be cautious. Burnley FC have an attacking throw-in.
59'
Goal! Jacob Murphy equalizes to bring the score to 1-1.
1-1
57'
Substitution
Steve Bruce (Newcastle United FC) is making a second substitution, with Callum Wilson replacing Dwight Gayle.
57'
Substitution
Allan Saint-Maximin is on a sub for Joelinton for Newcastle United FC.
57'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
56'
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
56'
Burnley FC's Dwight McNeil gets in a shot on goal at Turf Moor. But the effort is unsuccessful.
55'
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
55'
Free kick Burnley FC.
54'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
54'
Joelinton (Newcastle United FC) gets in a header on goal but the attempt is cleared.
53'
In Burnley a free kick has been awarded the away team.
52'
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
52'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
51'
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
50'
Throw-in for Burnley FC at Turf Moor.
48'
Free kick for Burnley FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
47'
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
47'
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
46'
In Burnley Burnley FC drive forward through Josh Brownhill. His shot is on target but it's saved.
46'
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
45'
The first half has been concluded at Turf Moor.
45'
Newcastle United FC pushes forward through Federico Fernandez, whose finish on goal is saved.
45'
Newcastle United FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
45'
Ben Mee (Burnley FC) wins the ball in the air but heads wide.
45'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
45'
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
45'
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
45'
Ben Mee gets his shot on target but fails to score for Burnley FC.
45'
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
45'
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
44'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Burnley FC.
44'
Ball goes out of play for a Burnley FC goal kick.
42'
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
40'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
39'
Dwight Gayle of Newcastle United FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
39'
Burnley FC have a goal kick.
39'
Newcastle United FC have a dangerous throw-in.
38'
Newcastle United FC's Dwight Gayle is on target but unsuccessful.
38'
Throw-in high up the field for Newcastle United FC in Burnley.
37'
In Burnley a free kick has been awarded the away team.
36'
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at Turf Moor.
36'
Burnley FC's Dwight McNeil gets his shot away but it misses the target.
35'
Joelinton for the away team is judged to be offside.
33'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC close to the penalty box.
32'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Burnley FC.
32'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC.
31'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
30'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
30'
Burnley FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
29'
Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Burnley FC territory.
29'
Burnley FC's Josh Brownhill misses with an attempt on goal.
29'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Burnley.
28'
Can Burnley FC capitalize from this dangerous free kick?
27'
Anthony Taylor awards the home team a throw-in.
25'
Burnley FC push upfield and Ben Mee gets his head to the ball. The attempt is cleared by an alert Newcastle United FC defence.
25'
Free kick for Burnley FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
24'
Throw-in Newcastle United FC.
24'
Can Newcastle United FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Burnley FC's half?
24'
Newcastle United FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
22'
Ball goes out of play for a Burnley FC goal kick.
20'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
20'
Throw-in Newcastle United FC.
20'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
18'
Matej Vydra is on target to give Burnley FC a 1-0 advantage.
0-1
17'
Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Burnley FC territory.
17'
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Burnley FC's half?
17'
Anthony Taylor awards the home team a throw-in.
16'
Anthony Taylor signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Burnley FC's half.
15'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Burnley FC.
15'
Josh Brownhill (Burnley FC) goes close with a header but the ball is scrambled away by Newcastle United FC defenders.
14'
Burnley FC are coming forward and Matthew Lowton gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
14'
Anthony Taylor awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
14'
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
13'
Throw-in for Burnley FC at Turf Moor.
13'
Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Burnley FC territory.
13'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Burnley FC.
12'
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
12'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Burnley.
11'
Anthony Taylor awards Burnley FC a goal kick.
9'
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
9'
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Burnley FC's half?
8'
James Tarkowski (Burnley FC) gets up for a header but cannot keep the ball on target.
8'
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at Turf Moor.
7'
Free kick Burnley FC.
5'
Anthony Taylor signals a throw-in for Newcastle United FC, close to Burnley FC's area.
4'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
3'
Anthony Taylor signals a Burnley FC throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half.
2'
Ball goes out of play for a Burnley FC goal kick.
2'
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
1'
Throw-in for Burnley FC in their own half.
1'
Burnley FC have a goal kick.
1'
The match has started at Turf Moor.
Match Stats
Newcastle
 MATCH STATS
Burnley
10 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 6
48% Possession % 52%
12 Fouls 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Corners 13
Newcastle[object Object]
Burnley[object Object]
10 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 6
48% Possession % 52%
12 Fouls 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Corners 13

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Burnley vs. Newcastle: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021
  • Time: 7:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +130, Newcastle +230, Draw +225
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+100/-120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 45.0%
  • Newcastle: 26.0%
  • Draw: 29.1%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 1-1 Newcastle, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 45.0%, while Newcastle has a win probability of 26.0%. The chance of a draw is 29.1%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Newcastle predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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