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Southampton vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Southampton vs. Burnley Premier League game on April 4, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
2
3
Apr 4, 11AM St. Mary's Stadium
Apr 4, 11AM St. Mary's Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Armstrong (31')
Ings (42')
Redmond (66')
Wood (12') (P)
Vydra (28')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal kick for Burnley FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
Southampton FC's Che Adams breaks free at St. Mary's Stadium. But the strike goes wide of the post.
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
Ball goes out of play for a Burnley FC goal kick.
The away team have replaced Johann Gudmundsson with Lewis Richardson. This is the third substitution made today by Sean Dyche.
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
Can Burnley FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
Moussa Djenepo is replacing Theo Walcott for the home team.
Andre Marriner awards the home team a throw-in.
It seems as if Danny Ings is unable to continue. Che Adams replaces him for the home team.
Play has been temporarily suspended for attention to Danny Ings for Southampton FC who is writhing in pain on the pitch.
Can Burnley FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Southampton FC's half?
Andre Marriner signals a Burnley FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
In Southampton a free kick has been awarded the away team.
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Burnley FC have a goal kick.
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
Chris Wood (Burnley FC) gets in a header on goal but the attempt is cleared.
Throw-in for Burnley FC close to the penalty box.
Throw-in for Burnley FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
Ralph Hasenhuttl is making the team's first substitution at St. Mary's Stadium with Mohammed Salisu replacing Stuart Armstrong.
Southampton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Sean Dyche (Burnley FC) is making a second substitution, with Jay Rodriguez replacing Matej Vydra.
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
Burnley FC drives forward and Chris Wood gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
It's a goal kick for the home team in Southampton.
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
Burnley FC to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Burnley FC.
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
Andre Marriner signals a Burnley FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
Kyle Walker-Peters for Southampton FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
Goal kick for Burnley FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Burnley FC's half?
Andre Marriner signals a throw-in for Southampton FC, close to Burnley FC's area.
Southampton FC have a dangerous throw-in.
Nathan Redmond puts the ball in the net and the home team now lead 3-2.
2-3
Southampton FC pushes forward through Theo Walcott, whose finish on goal is saved.
Southampton FC's Theo Walcott is on target but unsuccessful.
Stuart Armstrong for Southampton FC drives towards goal at St. Mary's Stadium. But the finish is unsuccessful.
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
Stuart Armstrong of Southampton FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
Southampton FC's James Ward-Prowse gets his shot away but it misses the target.
Throw-in Southampton FC.
Burnley FC drive forward but James Tarkowski is judged offside.
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Southampton FC's Jan Bednarek looks ok and returns to the pitch.
The match has been stopped briefly for attention to the injured James Ward-Prowse.
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
Free kick for Burnley FC in their own half.
Andre Marriner awards the away team a throw-in.
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Burnley FC.
Ball safe as Southampton FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
Burnley FC to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
Throw-in for Southampton FC in their own half.
Southampton FC needs to be cautious. Burnley FC have an attacking throw-in.
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Throw-in high up the field for Southampton FC in Southampton.
The first-half has come to a close in Southampton.
It's a goal kick for the away team in Southampton.
Ball goes out of play for a Southampton FC goal kick.
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
Throw-in for Burnley FC in their own half.
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Burnley FC's half?
Danny Ings levels the score at 2-2.
2-2
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
Southampton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
Ball safe as Burnley FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
Andre Marriner awards Southampton FC a goal kick.
Erik Pieters, who was grimacing earlier, has been substituted. Charlie Taylor is the substitute for Burnley FC.
Goal! The home team reduce the deficit to 1-2 through a strike by Stuart Armstrong. .
2-1
Great finish from Matej Vydra to give Burnley FC a 0-2 lead.
2-0
Throw-in for Burnley FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
Andre Marriner signals a Southampton FC throw-in in Burnley FC's half.
Erik Pieters returns to the field for Burnley FC after picking up a slight injury.
Erik Pieters is down and play has been interrupted for a few moments.
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Burnley FC's half?
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
In Southampton Southampton FC drive forward through Nathan Redmond. His shot is on target but it's saved.
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Burnley FC territory.
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Andre Marriner signals a Burnley FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
Andre Marriner awards the away team a throw-in.
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Southampton FC.
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Burnley FC.
Goal! The away team take a 0-1 lead thanks to a penalty from Chris Wood.
1-0
Burnley FC’s Erik Pieters is on his feet again at St. Mary's Stadium.
Erik Pieters is writhing in pain and play has been suspended for a few moments.
Southampton FC have a goal kick.
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
Free kick for Burnley FC in the half of Southampton FC.
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
Throw-in Southampton FC.
Free kick Burnley FC.
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
Chris Wood gets his shot on target but fails to score for Burnley FC.
Today's referee, Andre Marriner, has blown to start the match.
Match Stats
| MATCH STATS | |
|---|
| 5 | Shots | 22 | |||
| 5 | Shots on target | 8 | |||
| 38% | Possession % | 62% | |||
| 10 | Fouls | 10 | |||
| 0 | Yellow Cards | 0 | |||
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 | |||
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| |
|---|
| 5 | Shots | 22 | |||
| 5 | Shots on target | 8 | |||
| 38% | Possession % | 62% | |||
| 10 | Fouls | 10 | |||
| 0 | Yellow Cards | 0 | |||
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 | |||
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
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Southampton vs. Burnley: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Southampton vs. Burnley
- Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021
- Time: 7:00 AM ET
- Venue: St. Mary's Stadium
Current Betting Odds
- Moneyline Odds: Southampton +105, Burnley +310, Draw +240
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+115/-149)
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Southampton: 47.3%
- Burnley: 24.3%
- Draw: 28.4%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Southampton 1-1 Burnley, which has a correct score probability of 12%.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Southampton a win probability of 47.3%, while Burnley has a win probability of 24.3%. The chance of a draw is 28.4%.
Summary
Our Southampton vs. Burnley predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.
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