Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on March 12, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

Aston Villa

Mar 12, 8PM St James' Park

Newcastle

Mar 12, 8PM St James' Park

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

NewcastleNEW

Score Summary

Aston VillaVIL

Lascelles (90')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

NEW

0.0%

Draw

100.0%

VIL

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Goal! The home team draw level at 1-1 through Jamaal Lascelles.

1-1

90'

Throw-in for Newcastle United FC close to the penalty box.

90'

Aston Villa FC's Ollie Watkins is whistled for offside at St James' Park.

90'

Newcastle United FC's Andy Carroll is on target but unsuccessful.

90'

Free kick Newcastle United FC.

90'

Aston Villa FC drives forward and John McGinn gets in a shot. Without netting, however.

90'

Anwar El Ghazi for Aston Villa FC drives towards goal at St James' Park. But the finish is unsuccessful.

90'

Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Paul Tierney.

90'

Douglas Luiz gets his shot on target but fails to score for Aston Villa FC.

88'

Newcastle United FC make their third substitution with Andy Carroll replacing Isaac Hayden.

88'

A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.

88'

It's a goal kick for the away team in Newcastle upon Tyne.

85'

Tyrone Mings returns to the field for Aston Villa FC after picking up a slight injury.

85'

Aston Villa FC's Ollie Watkins gets in a shot on goal at St James' Park. But the effort is unsuccessful.

85'

Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.

85'

Paul Tierney awards the away team a throw-in.

84'

Tyrone Mings is writhing in pain and play has been suspended for a few moments.

83'

The home team replace Emil Krafth with Javi Manquillo.

83'

In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the away team.

83'

Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.

82'

Trezeguet (Aston Villa FC) strikes – and hits the bar! Ohhhh so close!

82'

Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.

81'

Anwar El Ghazi for the away team is judged to be offside.

81'

Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.

80'

Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.

79'

Steve Bruce (Newcastle United FC) is making a first substitution, with Jacob Murphy replacing Ryan Fraser.

78'

At St James' Park, Tyrone Mings has been yellow-carded for the away team.

78'

Free kick Newcastle United FC.

77'

Aston Villa FC's Morgan Sanson has been booked in Newcastle upon Tyne.

77'

Paul Tierney signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC.

75'

Paul Tierney blows against Aston Villa FC's Anwar El Ghazi for offside.

75'

Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?

74'

John McGinn (Aston Villa FC) has received a yellow card from Paul Tierney.

74'

In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the home team.

73'

Paul Tierney signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.

72'

Paul Tierney awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.

71'

Trezeguet's header is off-target for Newcastle United FC.

71'

Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.

71'

Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.

70'

Paul Tierney signals a throw-in for Newcastle United FC, close to Aston Villa FC's area.

69'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.

68'

Jamaal Lascelles is booked for the home team.

68'

Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.

68'

Ross Barkley is on a sub for Trezeguet for Aston Villa FC.

67'

Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.

66'

Paul Tierney signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half.

66'

Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.

65'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at St James' Park.

62'

Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.

60'

Paul Tierney signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC.

59'

Can Newcastle United FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Aston Villa FC's half?

59'

Morgan Sanson is replacing Jacob Ramsey for the away team.

58'

Throw-in Newcastle United FC.

57'

Throw-in high up the field for Aston Villa FC in Newcastle upon Tyne.

55'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.

55'

In Newcastle upon Tyne Newcastle United FC attack through Jonjo Shelvey. The finish is off target, however.

55'

Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.

54'

Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.

53'

Free kick for Newcastle United FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.

53'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.

53'

Ezri Konsa (Aston Villa FC) is first to the ball but his header is off-target.

53'

Paul Tierney awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.

52'

Emil Krafth for Newcastle United FC has been booked by Paul Tierney and receives a first yellow card.

51'

Free kick Aston Villa FC.

51'

Paul Tierney awards the away team a throw-in.

49'

Paul Tierney signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.

48'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at St James' Park.

47'

Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.

47'

Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?

46'

Throw-in Newcastle United FC.

45'

The whistle has gone to end the first-half.

45'

Paul Tierney signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.

45'

A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.

44'

Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?

42'

Aston Villa FC to take a throw-in in Newcastle United FC territory.

41'

Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at St James' Park.

41'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.

40'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.

39'

Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.

38'

At St James' Park, Aston Villa FC are penalized for being offside.

38'

Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.

37'

In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the home team.

36'

Paul Tierney awards the home team a throw-in.

35'

Paul Tierney signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.

34'

A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.

34'

A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.

33'

Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.

33'

Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.

32'

Free kick for Newcastle United FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.

30'

Free kick Newcastle United FC.

28'

It's a goal kick for the home team in Newcastle upon Tyne.

28'

In Newcastle upon Tyne Aston Villa FC drive forward through Trezeguet. His shot is on target but it's saved.

26'

Ball goes out of play for a Newcastle United FC goal kick.

25'

In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the away team.

25'

Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.

25'

Newcastle United FC needs to be cautious. Aston Villa FC have an attacking throw-in.

24'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.

23'

Aston Villa FC pushes forward through Anwar El Ghazi, whose finish on goal is saved.

21'

It seems as if Bertrand Traore is unable to continue. Anwar El Ghazi replaces him for the away team.

21'

Throw-in Aston Villa FC.

20'

Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.

19'

Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.

18'

Paul Tierney waits before resuming play because Bertrand Traore for Aston Villa FC is still down.

17'

Paul Tierney awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.

17'

Paul Tierney awards the home team a throw-in.

16'

Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?

16'

Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.

15'

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.

14'

Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.

14'

Newcastle United FC have been awarded a corner by Paul Tierney.

12'

Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.

12'

Paul Tierney signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.

11'

Aston Villa FC are coming forward and John McGinn gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.

11'

Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.

10'

Aston Villa FC have a dangerous throw-in.

A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.

Aston Villa FC to take a throw-in in Newcastle United FC territory.

Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.

Ryan Fraser of Newcastle United FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.

It's a goal kick for the home team in Newcastle upon Tyne.

Paul Tierney signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.

Paul Tierney signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.

Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?

Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at St James' Park.

Paul Tierney signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.

The match is underway at St James' Park.

Match Stats

Aston Villa		MATCH STATS		Newcastle

12	Shots	10
6	Shots on target	3
50%	Possession %	50%
12	Fouls	11
3	Yellow Cards	2
0	Red Cards	0
2	Corners	2

Aston Villa[object Object]			Newcastle[object Object]

12	Shots	10
6	Shots on target	3
50%	Possession %	50%
12	Fouls	11
3	Yellow Cards	2
0	Red Cards	0
2	Corners	2

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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Newcastle vs. Aston Villa
Date: Friday, March 12, 2021
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Venue: St James' Park

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Newcastle +280, Aston Villa +100, Draw +260
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+106/-133)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Newcastle: 30.4%
Aston Villa: 41.4%
Draw: 28.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Newcastle 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Newcastle a win probability of 30.4%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 41.4%. The chance of a draw is 28.2%.

Summary

Our Newcastle vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Newcastle vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Projected Final Score

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

Summary

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