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Burnley vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Arsenal Premier League game on March 6, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
1
:
1
Mar 6, 12:30PM Turf Moor
Burnley
Mar 6, 12:30PM Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
Wood (39')
Pieters (84')
Aubameyang (6')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ARS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
90'
Can Arsenal FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Burnley FC's half?
90'
Chris Wood hits the post! Very nearly a goal there for Burnley FC!
90'
Throw-in high up the field for Arsenal FC in Burnley.
90'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
90'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
90'
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
89'
Free kick for Burnley FC in their own half.
88'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in the half of Burnley FC.
88'
Andre Marriner awards the away team a throw-in.
87'
Burnley FC are coming forward and Jay Rodriguez gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
87'
Arsenal FC have a goal kick.
87'
Andre Marriner blows against Arsenal FC's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang for offside.
86'
Substitution
Jay Rodriguez is replacing Matej Vydra for the home team.
86'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
84'
Red Card
He's off! Erik Pieters is shown a red card.
82'
Throw-in for Burnley FC at Turf Moor.
82'
Nicolas Pepe of Arsenal FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
81'
Burnley FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
81'
Substitution
Dani Ceballos is replacing Thomas Partey for Arsenal FC at Turf Moor.
80'
Arsenal FC to take a throw-in in Burnley FC territory.
80'
Burnley FC pushes forward through Chris Wood, whose finish on goal is saved.
79'
Matej Vydra (Burnley FC) is first to the ball but his header is off-target.
79'
Goal kick for Arsenal FC at Turf Moor.
79'
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
78'
Erik Pieters of Burnley FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
78'
Throw-in Arsenal FC.
77'
Ball safe as Burnley FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
76'
In Burnley a free kick has been awarded the away team.
73'
Burnley FC's Chris Wood has run offside.
72'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
71'
Yellow Card
Erik Pieters (Burnley FC) gets a yellow card.
71'
Free kick Arsenal FC.
70'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Willian with Nicolas Pepe. This is the second substitution made today by Mikel Arteta.
69'
Ball goes out of play for a Arsenal FC goal kick.
67'
Substitution
The home team replace Johann Gudmundsson with Robbie Brady.
67'
Andre Marriner signals a Burnley FC throw-in in Arsenal FC's half.
66'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Burnley FC.
66'
Andre Marriner awards the home team a throw-in.
65'
Throw-in for Burnley FC in their own half.
64'
In Burnley Arsenal FC's Willian is caught offside.
64'
Substitution
Burnley FC make their first substitution with Erik Pieters replacing Charlie Taylor.
63'
Substitution
Mikel Arteta (Arsenal FC) is making a first substitution, with Alexandre Lacazette replacing Martin Odegaard.
63'
Burnley FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
61'
In Burnley a free kick has been awarded the home team.
61'
Can Burnley FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Arsenal FC's half?
60'
Ball safe as Arsenal FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
55'
Yellow Card
Bukayo Saka for Arsenal FC has been booked by Andre Marriner and receives a first yellow card.
55'
Free kick for Burnley FC in their own half.
53'
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
52'
Chris Wood for Burnley FC is whistled offside.
51'
Arsenal FC drives forward and Martin Odegaard gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
48'
Throw-in Arsenal FC.
47'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
46'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in their own half.
45'
The first-half is over.
45'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
45'
Arsenal FC have a dangerous throw-in.
45'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
42'
In Burnley Burnley FC drive forward through Dwight McNeil. His shot is on target but it's saved.
41'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Burnley.
39'
Chris Wood is on target to level the scores at 1-1.
1-1
38'
Andre Marriner awards the away team a throw-in.
36'
Andre Marriner signals a Arsenal FC throw-in in Burnley FC's half.
36'
Throw-in for Burnley FC close to the penalty box.
35'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC at Turf Moor.
35'
Arsenal FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
33'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
32'
Throw-in for Burnley FC in their own half.
31'
Can Arsenal FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Burnley FC's half?
30'
Throw-in Burnley FC.
29'
In Burnley Arsenal FC attack through Thomas Partey. The finish is off target, however.
29'
Andre Marriner awards Burnley FC a goal kick.
28'
Burnley FC's Matej Vydra is on target but unsuccessful.
28'
Throw-in for Burnley FC in the half of Arsenal FC.
28'
Andre Marriner awards the away team a throw-in.
27'
Burnley FC are pushing forward but Ashley Westwood's finish is wide of the goal.
27'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Burnley.
26'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC at Turf Moor.
26'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in the half of Burnley FC.
24'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
24'
Goal kick for Arsenal FC at Turf Moor.
23'
Burnley FC to take a throw-in in Arsenal FC territory.
22'
Arsenal FC's Bukayo Saka breaks free at Turf Moor. But the strike goes wide of the post.
22'
Ball goes out of play for a Burnley FC goal kick.
21'
Arsenal FC needs to be cautious. Burnley FC have an attacking throw-in.
20'
Ball safe as Arsenal FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
19'
Arsenal FC's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang gets his shot away but it misses the target.
19'
Burnley FC have a goal kick.
17'
Throw-in Arsenal FC.
16'
Can Arsenal FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Burnley FC's half?
14'
Corner awarded to Arsenal FC.
13'
Andre Marriner awards Arsenal FC a goal kick.
13'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
12'
Andre Marriner awards the home team a throw-in.
10'
Andre Marriner signals a Burnley FC throw-in in Arsenal FC's half.
9'
Arsenal FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
8'
Throw-in for Burnley FC in the half of Arsenal FC.
7'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC at Turf Moor.
7'
Burnley FC to take a throw-in in Arsenal FC territory.
6'
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scores to make it 0-1 at Turf Moor.
1-0
4'
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
4'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
3'
Free kick for Burnley FC in their own half.
2'
Andre Marriner signals a throw-in for Burnley FC, close to Arsenal FC's area.
1'
Ball safe as Arsenal FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
1'
Throw-in for Burnley FC in their own half.
1'
The match has started at Turf Moor.
Match Stats
Arsenal
MATCH STATS
Burnley
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
56% Possession % 44%
12 Fouls 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Corners 2
Arsenal[object Object]
Burnley[object Object]
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
56% Possession % 44%
12 Fouls 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Corners 2

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Burnley vs. Arsenal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, March 6, 2021
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 26.1%
  • Arsenal: 48.0%
  • Draw: 25.9%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 1-1 Arsenal, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 26.1%, while Arsenal has a win probability of 48.0%. The chance of a draw is 25.9%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Arsenal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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