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Southampton vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Southampton vs. Chelsea Premier League game on February 20, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
1
:
1
Feb 20, 12:30PM St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
Feb 20, 12:30PM St. Mary's Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SouthamptonSOT
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
Minamino (33')
Mount (54') (P)
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SOT
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
90'
Chelsea FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
90'
Substitution
Daniel N`Lundulu is replacing Nathan Redmond for the home team.
90'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
90'
Nathan Tella for Southampton FC is back on the field again.
90'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
90'
Yellow Card
Southampton FC's Alex McCarthy has been booked in Southampton.
90'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Southampton.
90'
Anthony Taylor waits before resuming play because Nathan Tella for Southampton FC is still down.
90'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
89'
Anthony Taylor signals a throw-in for Chelsea FC, close to Southampton FC's area.
89'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
88'
Southampton FC have a goal kick.
88'
Mason Mount of Chelsea FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
88'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
87'
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
87'
Can Chelsea FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Southampton FC's half?
85'
Southampton FC's Moussa Djenepo looks ok and returns to the pitch.
85'
Substitution
Ralph Hasenhuttl is making the team's second substitution at St. Mary's Stadium with Che Adams replacing Danny Ings.
84'
Reece James for Chelsea FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
84'
Goal kick for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
84'
Chelsea FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
83'
The match at St. Mary's Stadium has been interrupted briefly for a check on Moussa Djenepo, who is down injured.
81'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
80'
Yellow Card
At St. Mary's Stadium, Marcos Alonso has been yellow-carded for the away team.
80'
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
79'
Anthony Taylor awards the away team a throw-in.
78'
Chelsea FC's Cesar Azpilicueta is whistled for offside at St. Mary's Stadium.
78'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
76'
Substitution
The away team replace Mateo Kovacic with Jorginho.
76'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Callum Hudson-Odoi with Hakim Ziyech. This is the second substitution made today by Thomas Tuchel.
76'
Throw-in Chelsea FC.
75'
Substitution
Ralph Hasenhuttl (Southampton FC) is making a first substitution, with Nathan Tella replacing Takumi Minamino.
75'
Chelsea FC to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
75'
Southampton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
75'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
73'
In Southampton Chelsea FC's Callum Hudson-Odoi is caught offside.
73'
Chelsea FC's Mason Mount is on target but unsuccessful.
72'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Southampton.
72'
Southampton FC are pushing forward but Danny Ings's finish is wide of the goal.
71'
Chelsea FC's Kurt Zouma goes close with a header against the bar.
71'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
70'
Can Southampton FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Chelsea FC's half?
70'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
68'
Throw-in high up the field for Southampton FC in Southampton.
67'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in the half of Southampton FC.
66'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
65'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in their own half.
64'
Anthony Taylor signals a Chelsea FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
62'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
62'
Throw-in Chelsea FC.
61'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
60'
Ball goes out of play for a Chelsea FC goal kick.
60'
Chelsea FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
59'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
57'
In Southampton a free kick has been awarded the away team.
56'
Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
55'
Southampton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
54'
The match is now all square at 1-1 thanks to a penalty from Mason Mount.
1-1
53'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
51'
Chelsea FC's Timo Werner breaks free at St. Mary's Stadium. But the strike goes wide of the post.
51'
Anthony Taylor awards Southampton FC a goal kick.
51'
Ball goes out of play for a Chelsea FC goal kick.
50'
Anthony Taylor signals a Southampton FC throw-in in Chelsea FC's half.
50'
Anthony Taylor awards the home team a throw-in.
49'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in their own half.
48'
In Southampton, Chelsea FC push forward quickly but are pulled up for offside.
47'
Chelsea FC have a goal kick.
46'
Southampton FC have a dangerous throw-in.
45'
Substitution
Callum Hudson-Odoi is replacing Tammy Abraham for Chelsea FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
45'
Anthony Taylor blows to end the first-half.
45'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
45'
Anthony Taylor awards the away team a throw-in.
45'
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
45'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Chelsea FC.
45'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
45'
Throw-in for Southampton FC close to the penalty box.
45'
Southampton FC’s Moussa Djenepo is on his feet again at St. Mary's Stadium.
45'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Chelsea FC territory.
43'
Attention is being given to Southampton FC’s Moussa Djenepo and play has been suspended briefly.
43'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
42'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
41'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in their own half.
40'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
39'
Chelsea FC push upfield and Kurt Zouma gets his head to the ball. The attempt is cleared by an alert Southampton FC defence.
38'
Free kick Chelsea FC.
37'
Goal kick for Chelsea FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
36'
Anthony Taylor signals a throw-in for Chelsea FC, close to Southampton FC's area.
35'
Throw-in Southampton FC.
33'
Goal! Takumi Minamino gives Southampton FC a 1-0 lead in Southampton.
0-1
30'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in the half of Southampton FC.
30'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
29'
In Southampton Chelsea FC drive forward through Antonio Rudiger. His shot is on target but it's saved.
29'
Can Chelsea FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
28'
Chelsea FC to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
26'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
24'
Ball safe as Southampton FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
23'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Anthony Taylor.
21'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in the half of Southampton FC.
19'
Southampton FC needs to be cautious. Chelsea FC have an attacking throw-in.
17'
Anthony Taylor awards Southampton FC a goal kick.
15'
Anthony Taylor signals a Southampton FC throw-in in Chelsea FC's half.
14'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
12'
Southampton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
11'
Can Chelsea FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
9'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at St. Mary's Stadium.
9'
Anthony Taylor signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
8'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in their own half.
8'
Tammy Abraham for the away team is judged to be offside.
6'
In Southampton Chelsea FC attack through Marcos Alonso. The finish is off target, however.
6'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Southampton.
5'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
4'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in the half of Southampton FC.
4'
Ball safe as Southampton FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
2'
Chelsea FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
1'
Throw-in Chelsea FC.
1'
Anthony Taylor awards the away team a throw-in.
1'
The match has started at St. Mary's Stadium.
Match Stats
Chelsea
MATCH STATS
Southampton
11 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 1
71% Possession % 29%
10 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
6 Corners 3
Chelsea[object Object]
Southampton[object Object]
11 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 1
71% Possession % 29%
10 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
6 Corners 3

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Southampton vs. Chelsea: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Southampton vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Saturday, February 20, 2021
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: St. Mary's Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Southampton +390, Chelsea -133, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/+100)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Southampton: 21.6%
  • Chelsea: 54.0%
  • Draw: 24.4%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Southampton 0-1 Chelsea, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Southampton a win probability of 21.6%, while Chelsea has a win probability of 54.0%. The chance of a draw is 24.4%.

Summary

Our Southampton vs. Chelsea predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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