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Chelsea vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Newcastle Premier League game on February 15, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
0
2
Feb 15, 8PM Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Feb 15, 8PM Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
Giroud (31')
Werner (39')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEW
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
It's a goal kick for the away team in London.
90'
Newcastle United FC's Miguel Almiron is whistled for offside at Stamford Bridge.
90'
Can Chelsea FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?
90'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
89'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC.
88'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
88'
Newcastle United FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
87'
Throw-in high up the field for Newcastle United FC in London.
87'
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
86'
In London a free kick has been awarded the away team.
85'
Peter Bankes signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Chelsea FC's half.
84'
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
84'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
83'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
83'
Chelsea FC have a goal kick.
83'
In London Newcastle United FC attack through Miguel Almiron. The finish is off target, however.
82'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
81'
Chelsea FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
79'
Substitution
The away team replace Joseph Willock with Andy Carroll.
79'
Peter Bankes signals a throw-in for Chelsea FC, close to Newcastle United FC's area.
79'
Reece James for Chelsea FC drives towards goal at Stamford Bridge. But the finish is unsuccessful.
78'
Jamaal Lascelles returns to the field for Newcastle United FC after picking up a slight injury.
78'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
77'
Substitution
The home team have replaced Callum Hudson-Odoi with Reece James. This is the third substitution made today by Thomas Tuchel.
77'
Jamaal Lascelles is down and play has been interrupted for a few moments.
77'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
75'
Peter Bankes awards Chelsea FC a goal kick.
75'
Newcastle United FC attack but Joseph Willock's header doesn't find the target.
75'
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
74'
Joseph Willock (Newcastle United FC) goes close with a header but the ball is scrambled away by Chelsea FC defenders.
74'
Peter Bankes awards the away team a throw-in.
73'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
72'
Substitution
Ryan Fraser is on a sub for Allan Saint-Maximin for Newcastle United FC.
72'
Throw-in Chelsea FC.
72'
Peter Bankes signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Chelsea FC's half.
70'
Miguel Almiron for the away team is judged to be offside.
70'
Substitution
Chelsea FC make their second substitution with N`Golo Kante replacing Mason Mount.
70'
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
69'
In London, Marcos Alonso (Chelsea FC) gets his head to the ball but the strike is cleared by an untiring defence.
69'
Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
68'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
66'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC at Stamford Bridge.
66'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
64'
Substitution
Joelinton is replacing Dwight Gayle for the away team.
64'
Ball goes out of play for a Newcastle United FC goal kick.
62'
Newcastle United FC's Jonjo Shelvey is on target but unsuccessful.
60'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
60'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
58'
Mateo Kovacic of Chelsea FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
58'
Ball goes out of play for a Newcastle United FC goal kick.
58'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
57'
It's a goal kick for the home team in London.
57'
Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Chelsea FC territory.
56'
Free kick Newcastle United FC.
55'
Chelsea FC drives forward and Mason Mount gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
55'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
53'
Goal kick for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
53'
Newcastle United FC's Joseph Willock gets his shot away but it misses the target.
52'
Can Newcastle United FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Chelsea FC's half?
52'
Can Chelsea FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?
51'
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
51'
Peter Bankes awards the away team a throw-in.
50'
Peter Bankes awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
49'
It's a goal kick for the away team in London.
48'
Chelsea FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
48'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
48'
Newcastle United FC's Jonjo Shelvey gets in a shot on goal at Stamford Bridge. But the effort is unsuccessful.
47'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
46'
Newcastle United FC pushes forward through Dwight Gayle, whose finish on goal is saved.
45'
Peter Bankes blows to end the first-half.
45'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC close to the penalty box.
45'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC.
45'
Chelsea FC are coming forward and Mason Mount gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
45'
Ball goes out of play for a Newcastle United FC goal kick.
45'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
45'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
44'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
43'
Goal kick for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
43'
Free kick Newcastle United FC.
42'
Mason Mount for Chelsea FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
42'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
39'
Goal! Timo Werner extends Chelsea FC's lead to 2-0.
0-2
39'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
37'
Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
36'
Throw-in Newcastle United FC.
36'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in their own half.
35'
Peter Bankes awards Chelsea FC a goal kick.
34'
In London Chelsea FC attack through Timo Werner. The finish is off target, however.
34'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
32'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
31'
Chelsea FC take a 1-0 lead thanks to Olivier Giroud.
0-1
31'
Mason Mount of Chelsea FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
30'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
30'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
29'
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
29'
Newcastle United FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
28'
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
27'
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Chelsea FC's half?
26'
Chelsea FC's Timo Werner breaks free at Stamford Bridge. But the strike goes wide of the post.
26'
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at Stamford Bridge.
25'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
23'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
23'
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
22'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
20'
Peter Bankes awards the home team a throw-in.
20'
Substitution
Thomas Tuchel (Chelsea FC) is making a first change, with Olivier Giroud replacing the possibly injured Tammy Abraham.
19'
Attention is being given to Chelsea FC’s Tammy Abraham and play has been suspended briefly.
18'
Chelsea FC needs to be cautious. Newcastle United FC have an attacking throw-in.
18'
Chelsea FC's Tammy Abraham looks ok and returns to the pitch.
17'
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
15'
The match has been stopped briefly for attention to the injured Tammy Abraham.
14'
Peter Bankes signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
13'
Marcos Alonso's header is off-target for Chelsea FC.
13'
It's a goal kick for the away team in London.
13'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
8'
Chelsea FC to take a throw-in in Newcastle United FC territory.
7'
In London, Tammy Abraham (Chelsea FC) misses the target with a header.
7'
Peter Bankes awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
7'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
7'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
6'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Peter Bankes.
4'
Ball goes out of play for a Chelsea FC goal kick.
4'
Newcastle United FC have a dangerous throw-in.
4'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
3'
Peter Bankes signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Chelsea FC's half.
3'
In London Chelsea FC drive forward through Marcos Alonso. His shot is on target but it's saved.
2'
Chelsea FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
2'
Throw-in Chelsea FC.
1'
In London a free kick has been awarded the away team.
1'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
1'
Today's referee, Peter Bankes, has blown to start the match.
Match Stats
Newcastle
MATCH STATS
Chelsea
8 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 7
34% Possession % 66%
13 Fouls 9
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
5 Corners 10
Newcastle[object Object]
Chelsea[object Object]
8 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 7
34% Possession % 66%
13 Fouls 9
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
5 Corners 10

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Chelsea vs. Newcastle: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Monday, February 15, 2021
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea -350, Newcastle +1050, Draw +480
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-149/+116)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 70.5%
  • Newcastle: 11.3%
  • Draw: 18.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 2-0 Newcastle, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 70.5%, while Newcastle has a win probability of 11.3%. The chance of a draw is 18.2%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Newcastle predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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