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Aston Villa vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Arsenal Premier League game on February 6, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
0
1
Feb 6, 12:30PM Villa Park
Aston Villa
Feb 6, 12:30PM Villa Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
Watkins (2')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ARS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Jack Grealish (Aston Villa FC) has received a yellow card from Chris Kavanagh.
90'
Corner awarded to Arsenal FC.
90'
Chris Kavanagh awards the away team a throw-in.
90'
Yellow Card
Granit Xhaka (Arsenal FC) has received a first yellow card.
90'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
90'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
90'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
90'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
89'
Jacob Ramsey of Aston Villa FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
89'
Throw-in Arsenal FC.
87'
Chris Kavanagh awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
86'
Trezeguet for the home team is judged to be offside.
86'
Aston Villa FC drives forward and Ollie Watkins gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
84'
Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.
84'
Arsenal FC are pushing forward but Martin Odegaard's finish is wide of the goal.
83'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Birmingham.
83'
Aston Villa FC are pushing forward but Ollie Watkins's finish is wide of the goal.
82'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
81'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in their own half.
80'
Arsenal FC pushes forward through Gabriel Magalhaes, whose finish on goal is saved.
80'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
79'
Aston Villa FC's Jack Grealish is on target but unsuccessful.
77'
Substitution
Jacob Ramsey is replacing Ross Barkley for the home team.
77'
In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the home team.
76'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
75'
Chris Kavanagh signals a Arsenal FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.
75'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
74'
Substitution
The away team has substituted Thomas Partey with Willian. Mikel Arteta is thus making his third change.
74'
Thomas Partey is down and play has been interrupted for a few moments.
71'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in their own half.
71'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.
70'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC at Villa Park.
69'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Arsenal FC.
69'
Arsenal FC drives forward and Nicolas Pepe gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
68'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
68'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
67'
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Arsenal FC) wins the ball in the air but heads wide.
67'
Chris Kavanagh awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
67'
Can Arsenal FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?
66'
Aston Villa FC's Emilano Martinez looks ok and returns to the pitch.
66'
Substitution
Aston Villa FC make their first substitution with Trezeguet replacing Bertrand Traore.
65'
Substitution
Mikel Arteta is making the team's second substitution at Villa Park with Martin Odegaard replacing Cedric Soares.
64'
Play has been temporarily suspended for attention to Emilano Martinez for Aston Villa FC who is writhing in pain on the pitch.
61'
Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
60'
Chris Kavanagh awards the home team a throw-in.
59'
Substitution
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is replacing Alexandre Lacazette for Arsenal FC at Villa Park.
58'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
58'
Corner awarded to Arsenal FC.
56'
In Birmingham Arsenal FC drive forward through Hector Bellerin. His shot is on target but it's saved.
54'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in their own half.
54'
John McGinn of Aston Villa FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
54'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
52'
Arsenal FC are coming forward and Nicolas Pepe gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
52'
Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.
52'
Yellow Card
At Villa Park, Thomas Partey has been yellow-carded for the away team.
52'
Aston Villa FC's Ross Barkley misses with an attempt on goal.
52'
Ball goes out of play for a Arsenal FC goal kick.
50'
Aston Villa FC push forward at Villa Park and Ollie Watkins gets in a great header. The attempt is cleared by the Arsenal FC defence.
50'
Aston Villa FC's Ollie Watkins gets in a shot on goal at Villa Park. But the effort is unsuccessful.
49'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.
48'
Ross Barkley for Aston Villa FC drives towards goal at Villa Park. But the finish is unsuccessful.
48'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
47'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.
47'
Throw-in Arsenal FC.
46'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
45'
The first half has been concluded at Villa Park.
45'
Chris Kavanagh awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
45'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Birmingham.
45'
Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Arsenal FC's half?
45'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Arsenal FC.
45'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
45'
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
44'
Nicolas Pepe of Arsenal FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
44'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Birmingham.
42'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
41'
Free kick Arsenal FC.
40'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC at Villa Park.
39'
Chris Kavanagh awards the away team a throw-in.
39'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
37'
Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
36'
Yellow Card
Marvelous Nakamba for Aston Villa FC has been booked by Chris Kavanagh and receives a first yellow card.
35'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
33'
Arsenal FC's Bukayo Saka is back in action after a slight knock.
33'
Rob Holding (Arsenal FC) gets up for a header but cannot keep the ball on target.
33'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.
32'
The match at Villa Park has been interrupted briefly for a check on Bukayo Saka, who is down injured.
31'
Yellow Card
Aston Villa FC's Ezri Konsa has been booked in Birmingham.
31'
In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the away team.
31'
Aston Villa FC have a dangerous throw-in.
31'
Aston Villa FC pushes forward through Bertrand Traore, whose finish on goal is saved.
30'
In Birmingham, Rob Holding (Arsenal FC) misses the target with a header.
30'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
29'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
29'
Granit Xhaka gets his shot on target but fails to score for Arsenal FC.
28'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
27'
Arsenal FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.
26'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in their own half.
25'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
25'
Chris Kavanagh signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Arsenal FC's half.
24'
Chris Kavanagh awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
23'
Corner awarded to Arsenal FC.
22'
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
19'
Throw-in Aston Villa FC.
18'
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
17'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Arsenal FC in their own half.
16'
Chris Kavanagh awards the away team a throw-in.
16'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC at Villa Park.
15'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Arsenal FC.
15'
Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Arsenal FC's half?
14'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Chris Kavanagh.
13'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
12'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
11'
In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the away team.
11'
Throw-in Aston Villa FC.
11'
Ezri Konsa for Aston Villa FC is back on the field again.
10'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
8'
Ezri Konsa is writhing in pain and play has been suspended for a few moments.
7'
Aston Villa FC to take a throw-in in Arsenal FC territory.
7'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
6'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in their own half.
5'
Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.
4'
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
4'
Corner awarded to Arsenal FC.
3'
Chris Kavanagh signals a free kick to Arsenal FC.
2'
Ollie Watkins scores to make it 1-0 at Villa Park.
0-1
1'
Chris Kavanagh signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Arsenal FC's half.
1'
Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
1'
The whistle has gone to start the match.
Match Stats
Arsenal
MATCH STATS
Aston Villa
15 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 9
63% Possession % 37%
11 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
7 Corners 3
Arsenal[object Object]
Aston Villa[object Object]
15 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 9
63% Possession % 37%
11 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
7 Corners 3

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Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, February 6, 2021
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +195, Arsenal +150, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-139/+112)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 33.4%
  • Arsenal: 40.9%
  • Draw: 25.7%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Arsenal, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 33.4%, while Arsenal has a win probability of 40.9%. The chance of a draw is 25.7%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Arsenal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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