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Newcastle vs. Southampton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Southampton Premier League game on February 6, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Southampton
2
3
Feb 6, 3PM St James' Park
Newcastle
Feb 6, 3PM St James' Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
SouthamptonSOT
Willock (16')
Bednarek (26') (OG)
Almiron (45')
Hendrick (50')
Minamino (30')
Ward-Prowse (48')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SOT
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Can Newcastle United FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Southampton FC's half?
90'
Yellow Card
Newcastle United FC's Karl Darlow has been booked in Newcastle upon Tyne.
90'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
90'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Newcastle upon Tyne.
90'
Craig Pawson awards Southampton FC a goal kick.
90'
Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
90'
Newcastle United FC have a dangerous throw-in.
90'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
90'
Craig Pawson signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
90'
Southampton FC's Jannik Vestergaard gets his shot away but it misses the target.
90'
Ball goes out of play for a Newcastle United FC goal kick.
90'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
90'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
89'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
87'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Craig Pawson.
86'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
85'
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.
85'
In Newcastle upon Tyne Southampton FC attack through Che Adams. The finish is off target, however.
84'
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.
83'
Ball safe as Southampton FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
81'
Substitution
Southampton FC make their first substitution with Daniel N`Lundulu replacing Jack Stephens.
81'
Nathan Redmond (Southampton FC) gets up for a header but cannot keep the ball on target.
81'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Newcastle upon Tyne.
81'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Craig Pawson.
79'
Takumi Minamino of Southampton FC is pulled up for offside.
79'
Throw-in high up the field for Southampton FC in Newcastle upon Tyne.
75'
The match at St James' Park has been interrupted briefly for a check on Fabian Schar, who is down injured.
75'
Craig Pawson awards the away team a throw-in.
73'
Yellow Card
Jan Bednarek (Southampton FC) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
73'
Free kick in a good position for Newcastle United FC!
73'
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
72'
Southampton FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
70'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Newcastle United FC territory.
69'
Newcastle United FC needs to be cautious. Southampton FC have an attacking throw-in.
66'
Substitution
The home team have replaced Allan Saint-Maximin with Paul Dummett. This is the third substitution made today by Steve Bruce.
66'
Southampton FC drive forward but Che Adams is judged offside.
66'
Danny Ings gets his shot on target but fails to score for Southampton FC.
64'
Craig Pawson signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
63'
So close for Southampton FC as Jannik Vestergaard's shot comes back off the post.
60'
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
58'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
58'
Southampton FC are pushing forward but Danny Ings's finish is wide of the goal.
58'
Throw-in Southampton FC.
56'
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
55'
Throw-in for Southampton FC close to the penalty box.
54'
Craig Pawson signals a free kick to Southampton FC.
54'
Jannik Vestergaard (Southampton FC) gets in a powerful header but the ball is cleared away.
54'
Southampton FC have been awarded a corner by Craig Pawson.
53'
Can Southampton FC capitalize from this dangerous free kick?
52'
Ball goes out of play for a Newcastle United FC goal kick.
50'
Craig Pawson awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
50'
Red Card
Newcastle United FC's Jeff Hendrick has been shown a second yellow card and sent off.
49'
Yellow Card
Emil Krafth (Newcastle United FC) has received a yellow card from Craig Pawson.
49'
In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the away team.
48'
Goal! Southampton FC reduce the deficit to 3-2 through James Ward-Prowse.
2-3
47'
Free kick for Southampton FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
46'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Newcastle upon Tyne.
46'
Newcastle United FC's Jonjo Shelvey breaks free at St James' Park. But the strike goes wide of the post.
46'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at St James' Park.
45'
The first-half has come to a close in Newcastle upon Tyne.
45'
Great finish from Miguel Almiron to give Newcastle United FC a 3-1 lead.
1-3
45'
Yellow Card
At St James' Park, Emil Krafth has been yellow-carded for the home team.
45'
Newcastle United FC will need to be alert as they defend a dangerous free kick from Southampton FC.
45'
Ball goes out of play for a Southampton FC goal kick.
45'
Corner awarded to Southampton FC.
45'
Craig Pawson signals a Southampton FC throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half.
45'
Ryan Bertrand for Southampton FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
45'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
44'
Craig Pawson signals a free kick to Southampton FC just outside Newcastle United FC's area.
43'
Newcastle United FC needs to be cautious. Southampton FC have an attacking throw-in.
42'
Free kick Newcastle United FC.
41'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
41'
Throw-in high up the field for Southampton FC in Newcastle upon Tyne.
41'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
40'
Throw-in for Southampton FC in their own half.
40'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
40'
Craig Pawson signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
39'
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
37'
Goal kick for Southampton FC at St James' Park.
37'
Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Southampton FC territory.
37'
Newcastle United FC pushes forward through Joseph Willock, whose finish on goal is saved.
36'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Southampton FC.
36'
Substitution
Joelinton (Newcastle United FC) has replaced the possibly injured Callum Wilson.
36'
Craig Pawson signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
34'
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
33'
Callum Wilson is down and play has been interrupted for a few moments.
32'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
32'
Callum Wilson of Newcastle United FC is pulled up for offside.
31'
Craig Pawson signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
30'
Takumi Minamino strikes to reduce the deficit to 2-1 at St James' Park.
1-2
29'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in the half of Southampton FC.
28'
Throw-in Newcastle United FC.
27'
Southampton FC to take a throw-in in Newcastle United FC territory.
26'
Jan Bednarek blunders with an own goal. This makes it 2-0.
0-2
25'
Southampton FC's Danny Ings goes close with his head but his effort is blocked.
25'
Substitution
Emil Krafth is replacing Javi Manquillo for the home team.
24'
Craig Pawson signals a throw-in for Southampton FC, close to Newcastle United FC's area.
24'
Southampton FC's Danny Ings gets in a shot on goal at St James' Park. But the effort is unsuccessful.
23'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
23'
Play has been temporarily suspended for attention to Javi Manquillo for Newcastle United FC who is writhing in pain on the pitch.
21'
Craig Pawson awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
20'
Danny Ings for the away team is judged to be offside.
18'
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Southampton FC's half?
17'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
16'
Joseph Willock is on target to give Newcastle United FC a 1-0 advantage.
0-1
15'
Throw-in for Southampton FC at St James' Park.
14'
In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the home team.
13'
Southampton FC's Danny Ings has run offside.
12'
Southampton FC have a dangerous throw-in.
11'
Yellow Card
Jeff Hendrick (Newcastle United FC) has received a first yellow card.
11'
Free kick for Southampton FC in their own half.
10'
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
10'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Southampton FC.
10'
Allan Saint-Maximin for Newcastle United FC is whistled offside.
10'
Southampton FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
8'
Newcastle United FC's Callum Wilson is whistled for offside at St James' Park.
7'
Can Southampton FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Newcastle United FC's half?
7'
Newcastle United FC drives forward and Callum Wilson gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
6'
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
4'
Craig Pawson signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Southampton FC's half.
4'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
3'
Craig Pawson awards the home team a throw-in.
2'
Craig Pawson signals a free kick to Southampton FC in their own half.
2'
Craig Pawson blows against Southampton FC's Danny Ings for offside.
2'
Craig Pawson signals a free kick to Southampton FC.
1'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
1'
The match is underway at St James' Park.
Match Stats
Southampton
MATCH STATS
Newcastle
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
75% Possession % 25%
12 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
7 Corners 0
Southampton[object Object]
Newcastle[object Object]
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
75% Possession % 25%
12 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
7 Corners 0

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Newcastle vs. Southampton: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Southampton
  • Date: Saturday, February 6, 2021
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St James' Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Newcastle +235, Southampton +120, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Newcastle: 35.0%
  • Southampton: 36.9%
  • Draw: 28.1%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Newcastle 1-1 Southampton, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Newcastle a win probability of 35.0%, while Southampton has a win probability of 36.9%. The chance of a draw is 28.1%.

Summary

Our Newcastle vs. Southampton predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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