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Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on January 1, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
2
Jan 1, 8PM Old Trafford
Manchester United
Jan 1, 8PM Old Trafford
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Manchester UnitedMNU
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Martial (40')
Fernandes (61') (P)
Traore (58')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MNU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC close to the penalty box.
90'
Michael Oliver blows against Manchester United FC's Marcus Rashford for offside.
90'
Substitution
Axel Tuanzebe is replacing Fred for Manchester United FC at Old Trafford.
90'
Aston Villa FC attack but Matty Cash's header doesn't find the target.
90'
Manchester United FC have a goal kick.
90'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
90'
Aston Villa FC's Matty Cash gets in a shot on goal at Old Trafford. But the effort is unsuccessful.
90'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
90'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Michael Oliver.
90'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
90'
Yellow Card
Nemanja Matic (Manchester United FC) has received a first yellow card.
90'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester United FC.
90'
Throw-in for Manchester United FC at Old Trafford.
89'
Yellow Card
Luke Shaw (Manchester United FC) has received a yellow card from Michael Oliver.
88'
In Manchester a free kick has been awarded the home team.
88'
Manchester United FC's Daniel James is on target but unsuccessful.
87'
Throw-in for Manchester United FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
87'
Substitution
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer (Manchester United FC) is making a second substitution, with Daniel James replacing Bruno Fernandes.
86'
Can Manchester United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?
86'
Michael Oliver signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.
85'
Aston Villa FC surge into the attack at Old Trafford but Keinan Davis’s header is off-target.
85'
Michael Oliver awards Manchester United FC a goal kick.
84'
Substitution
Aston Villa FC make their second substitution with Keinan Davis replacing Anwar El Ghazi.
83'
Aston Villa FC's Tyrone Mings attacks the ball with his head but his effort fails to hit the target.
83'
It's a goal kick for the home team in Manchester.
83'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester United FC.
82'
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
81'
Free kick for Manchester United FC in their own half.
80'
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
80'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester United FC.
80'
Throw-in Manchester United FC.
79'
Throw-in for Manchester United FC in their own half.
79'
Substitution
The away team have replaced Bertrand Traore with Jacob Ramsey. This is the first substitution made today by Dean Smith.
78'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Old Trafford.
77'
In Manchester Manchester United FC attack through Marcus Rashford. The finish is off target, however.
77'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
77'
Manchester United FC have been awarded a corner by Michael Oliver.
77'
In Manchester Manchester United FC drive forward through Bruno Fernandes. His shot is on target but it's saved.
76'
Corner awarded to Manchester United FC.
75'
Ball goes out of play for a Manchester United FC goal kick.
75'
Anwar El Ghazi's header is off-target for Aston Villa FC.
75'
Michael Oliver signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.
74'
Manchester United FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.
73'
Paul Pogba for Manchester United FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
73'
Michael Oliver awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
73'
Michael Oliver signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Manchester United FC's half.
73'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester United FC.
72'
Aston Villa FC drives forward and Anwar El Ghazi gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
71'
Manchester United FC pushes forward through Anthony Martial, whose finish on goal is saved.
70'
Throw-in Manchester United FC.
69'
Michael Oliver signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
68'
Manchester United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
67'
In Manchester, Manchester United FC push forward quickly but are pulled up for offside.
67'
In Manchester a free kick has been awarded the away team.
66'
Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Manchester United FC's half?
66'
Aston Villa FC have a dangerous throw-in.
65'
Michael Oliver awards the away team a throw-in.
65'
Marcus Rashford for Manchester United FC drives towards goal at Old Trafford. But the finish is unsuccessful.
65'
Substitution
The home team replace Scott McTominay with Nemanja Matic.
64'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
63'
Eric Bailly for Manchester United FC is back on the field again.
63'
Michael Oliver waits before resuming play because Eric Bailly for Manchester United FC is still down.
61'
Bruno Fernandes nets and Manchester United FC now lead 2-1. The goal came from the penalty spot.
1-2
60'
Michael Oliver signals a throw-in for Manchester United FC, close to Aston Villa FC's area.
58'
Bertrand Traore gets an equalizer for Aston Villa FC. The score is now 1-1.
1-1
57'
Michael Oliver signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.
56'
Manchester United FC's Marcus Rashford gets in a shot on goal at Old Trafford. But the effort is unsuccessful.
55'
Michael Oliver signals a free kick to Manchester United FC in their own half.
55'
Aston Villa FC drive forward but Anwar El Ghazi is judged offside.
54'
Yellow Card
At Old Trafford, Eric Bailly has been yellow-carded for the home team.
54'
Aston Villa FC's Anwar El Ghazi misses with an attempt on goal.
54'
Goal kick for Manchester United FC at Old Trafford.
52'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
52'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Michael Oliver.
52'
Aston Villa FC push upfield and Ollie Watkins gets his head to the ball. The attempt is cleared by an alert Manchester United FC defence.
51'
Aston Villa FC are pushing forward but Matty Cash's finish is wide of the goal.
51'
Manchester United FC have a goal kick.
51'
Michael Oliver signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Manchester United FC's half.
50'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Manchester.
49'
Yellow Card
Manchester United FC's Harry Maguire has been booked in Manchester.
49'
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
48'
Throw-in for Manchester United FC at Old Trafford.
47'
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
46'
Free kick for Manchester United FC in their own half.
46'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
45'
The first-half has come to a close in Manchester.
45'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
45'
Aston Villa FC needs to be cautious. Manchester United FC have an attacking throw-in.
45'
In Manchester a free kick has been awarded the home team.
45'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
44'
Manchester United FC have a goal kick.
43'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
42'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester United FC.
41'
Free kick for Manchester United FC in their own half.
41'
Ball safe as Manchester United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
40'
Anthony Martial heads in to make it 1-0 at Old Trafford.
0-1
39'
Aston Villa FC's Bertrand Traore misses with an attempt on goal.
39'
Michael Oliver awards Manchester United FC a goal kick.
39'
Can Aston Villa FC capitalize from this dangerous free kick?
38'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester United FC.
37'
Bruno Fernandes of Manchester United FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
37'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Old Trafford.
36'
Michael Oliver signals a free kick to Manchester United FC in their own half.
35'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Manchester United FC.
34'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
32'
Michael Oliver signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
32'
Paul Pogba is back on the pitch.
30'
Attention is being given to Manchester United FC’s Paul Pogba and play has been suspended briefly.
30'
Manchester United FC have been awarded a corner by Michael Oliver.
27'
Ball safe as Manchester United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
26'
Manchester United FC are coming forward and Paul Pogba gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
26'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
23'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
22'
Throw-in for Manchester United FC in their own half.
21'
Aston Villa FC to take a throw-in in Manchester United FC territory.
20'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Michael Oliver.
19'
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
18'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
18'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Manchester.
17'
In Manchester a free kick has been awarded the away team.
16'
Manchester United FC's Fred breaks free at Old Trafford. But the strike goes wide of the post.
16'
Aston Villa FC have a goal kick.
15'
Throw-in Aston Villa FC.
15'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Michael Oliver.
14'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
13'
John McGinn gets his shot on target but fails to score for Aston Villa FC.
12'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Manchester.
12'
Manchester United FC's Harry Maguire goes close with his head but his effort is blocked.
12'
Corner awarded to Manchester United FC.
11'
Manchester United FC have been awarded a corner by Michael Oliver.
11'
Anthony Martial of Manchester United FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
9'
Michael Oliver awards the away team a throw-in.
5'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
4'
Michael Oliver signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.
4'
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
3'
Manchester United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
2'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Old Trafford.
2'
Michael Oliver awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
1'
Can Manchester United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?
1'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at Old Trafford.
1'
The match has started at Old Trafford.
Match Stats
Aston Villa
MATCH STATS
Manchester United
15 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 9
49% Possession % 51%
10 Fouls 22
0 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
10 Corners 5
Aston Villa[object Object]
Manchester United[object Object]
15 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 9
49% Possession % 51%
10 Fouls 22
0 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
10 Corners 5

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Manchester United vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Manchester United vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Friday, January 1, 2021
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Old Trafford

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Manchester United: 55.4%
  • Aston Villa: 21.0%
  • Draw: 23.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Manchester United 2-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Manchester United a win probability of 55.4%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 21.0%. The chance of a draw is 23.5%.

Summary

Our Manchester United vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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