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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Premier League game on January 23, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
0
2
Jan 23, 8PM Villa Park
Aston Villa
Jan 23, 8PM Villa Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
Watkins (13')
Traore (42')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEW
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Aston Villa FC's Trezeguet is on target but unsuccessful.
90'
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?
90'
Aston Villa FC have a dangerous throw-in.
90'
Simon Hooper awards Aston Villa FC a goal kick.
90'
Newcastle United FC's Dwight Gayle breaks free at Villa Park. But the strike goes wide of the post.
90'
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
90'
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
90'
Simon Hooper signals a throw-in for Newcastle United FC, close to Aston Villa FC's area.
90'
Simon Hooper signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.
90'
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
89'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
88'
Substitution
The home team replace Jack Grealish with Jacob Ramsey.
87'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
84'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
84'
Substitution
Steve Bruce (Newcastle United FC) is making a third substitution, with Trezeguet replacing Bertrand Traore.
83'
Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa FC) wins the ball in the air but heads wide.
83'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
83'
In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the home team.
81'
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
80'
Substitution
Trezeguet is replacing Bertrand Traore for the home team.
80'
Substitution
The home team have replaced Ross Barkley with Anwar El Ghazi. This is the first substitution made today by Dean Smith.
79'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
77'
Can Newcastle United FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Aston Villa FC's half?
77'
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
76'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
76'
Newcastle United FC have been awarded a corner by Simon Hooper.
74'
Aston Villa FC push forward at Villa Park and Matt Targett gets in a great header. The attempt is cleared by the Newcastle United FC defence.
74'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Simon Hooper.
73'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC.
72'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
71'
Substitution
It seems as if Javi Manquillo is unable to continue. Allan Saint-Maximin replaces him for the away team.
71'
Substitution
Newcastle United FC make their first substitution with Ryan Fraser replacing Andy Carroll.
70'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC close to the penalty box.
69'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
68'
Callum Wilson of Newcastle United FC is pulled up for offside.
68'
Ross Barkley for Aston Villa FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
68'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Birmingham.
67'
Corner awarded to Aston Villa FC.
66'
Newcastle United FC's Javi Manquillo looks ok and returns to the pitch.
65'
Javi Manquillo is down and play has been interrupted for a few moments.
64'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
63'
Simon Hooper signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half.
62'
Free kick Newcastle United FC.
62'
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
58'
Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.
57'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC at Villa Park.
57'
Yellow Card
Jamaal Lascelles (Newcastle United FC) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
56'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.
54'
Yellow Card
Andy Carroll (Newcastle United FC) has received a first yellow card.
54'
In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the home team.
54'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
52'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
52'
Aston Villa FC needs to be cautious. Newcastle United FC have an attacking throw-in.
51'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
50'
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
49'
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at Villa Park.
48'
Simon Hooper awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
48'
In Birmingham Aston Villa FC attack through Douglas Luiz. The finish is off target, however.
48'
Ollie Watkins for Aston Villa FC drives towards goal at Villa Park. But the finish is unsuccessful.
47'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
46'
Ball goes out of play for a Aston Villa FC goal kick.
46'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
45'
The first-half is over at Villa Park.
45'
Aston Villa FC's Marvelous Nakamba misses with an attempt on goal.
45'
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
45'
In Birmingham a free kick has been awarded the home team.
45'
Aston Villa FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
44'
Aston Villa FC's Douglas Luiz gets his shot away but it misses the target.
44'
Simon Hooper awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
42'
Great finish from Bertrand Traore to give Aston Villa FC a 2-0 lead.
0-2
41'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Simon Hooper.
40'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
39'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
36'
Simon Hooper awards the home team a throw-in.
35'
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
35'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
34'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
33'
Aston Villa FC's Ollie Watkins has run offside.
31'
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
30'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in their own half.
28'
Andy Carroll (Newcastle United FC) is first to the ball but his header is off-target.
28'
Goal kick for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.
28'
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?
28'
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half?
26'
Yellow Card
Fabian Schar is booked for the away team.
26'
Free kick Aston Villa FC.
25'
Throw-in Aston Villa FC.
24'
Ball safe as Aston Villa FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
23'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
23'
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
21'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC in their own half.
19'
Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.
18'
Throw-in high up the field for Newcastle United FC in Birmingham.
17'
Aston Villa FC surge into the attack at Villa Park but Ross Barkley’s header is off-target.
17'
Ball goes out of play for a Newcastle United FC goal kick.
17'
Free kick for Aston Villa FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
16'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
16'
Throw-in Aston Villa FC.
15'
Simon Hooper signals a Newcastle United FC throw-in in Aston Villa FC's half.
15'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
14'
Simon Hooper awards the home team a throw-in.
13'
Goal! A Ollie Watkins header gives Aston Villa FC a 1-0 lead in Birmingham.
0-1
12'
Simon Hooper blows against Newcastle United FC's Miguel Almiron for offside.
12'
Can Aston Villa FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half?
11'
Aston Villa FC's Ollie Watkins breaks free at Villa Park. But the strike goes wide of the post.
11'
It's a goal kick for the away team in Birmingham.
9'
Simon Hooper signals a free kick to Aston Villa FC.
8'
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Aston Villa FC.
8'
Newcastle United FC to take a throw-in in Aston Villa FC territory.
6'
Newcastle United FC have a dangerous throw-in.
5'
Matt Targett of Aston Villa FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
5'
Aston Villa FC have been awarded a corner by Simon Hooper.
4'
Newcastle United FC's Miguel Almiron gets in a shot on goal at Villa Park. But the effort is unsuccessful.
4'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
3'
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
2'
Aston Villa FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
1'
Throw-in for Aston Villa FC at Villa Park.
1'
Simon Hooper signals a Aston Villa FC throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half.
1'
The first-half is now underway.
Match Stats
Newcastle
 MATCH STATS
Aston Villa
5 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 6
36% Possession % 64%
18 Fouls 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
4 Corners 4
Newcastle[object Object]
Aston Villa[object Object]
5 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 6
36% Possession % 64%
18 Fouls 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
4 Corners 4

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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Saturday, January 23, 2021
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa -195, Newcastle +540, Draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-175/+140)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 64.2%
  • Newcastle: 15.7%
  • Draw: 20.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 2-1 Newcastle, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 64.2%, while Newcastle has a win probability of 15.7%. The chance of a draw is 20.1%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Newcastle predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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