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Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao at the La Liga on August 24, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
1
2
Aug 24, 5PM Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona)
Barcelona
Aug 24, 5PM Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BarcelonaFCB
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
L. Yamal (24')
Soccer ball icon
R. Lewandowski (75')
Soccer ball icon
O. Sancet (pen.) (42')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCB
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: P. Victor replaces L. Yamal
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: G. Martin replaces A. Balde
90'
Yellow Card
A. Herrera (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
F. Lopez (Barcelona) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. Jauregizar (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
I. Lekue (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
R. Lewandowski (Barcelona) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: E. Garcia replaces M. Bernal
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces I. Williams
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Herrera replaces B. Prados Diaz
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by R. Lewandowski
1-2
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Ares replaces A. Berenguer
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Jauregizar replaces M. Vesga
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: F. Lopez replaces F. Torres
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces O. Sancet
56'
Yellow Card
A. Berenguer (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
M. Bernal (Barcelona) cautioned
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by O. Sancet (pen.)
1-1
41'
Yellow Card
P. Cubarsi (Barcelona) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
Y. Alvarez (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by L. Yamal
0-1

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Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, August 24, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona -165, Athletic Bilbao +450, draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Barcelona: 55.1%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 21.5%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Barcelona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 55.1% probability, while Athletic Bilbao sits at 21.5%, with the draw at 23.4%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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