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Read Article Wings vs. Tempo prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 22 points in Friday's WNBA matchup [7/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Dallas Wings vs Toronto Tempo predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Toronto Tempo and Dallas Wings will meet in the WNBA at Bell Centre on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Wings as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Tempo game.
The Tempo, with stars like Marina Mabrey, Isabelle Harrison and Maria Conde, are set to take on the Wings, whose lineup includes Paige Bueckers, Jessica Shepard and Azzi Fudd.
Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 22 points and 1 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Tempo prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Tempo, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Wings a 78.0% chance of defeating the Tempo.
According to our model, the Wings (-7.5) have a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 179.5 points has a 71.0% chance of staying under,.
Wings vs. Tempo odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Tempo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-115) | +7.5 (+113) |
| Moneyline | -317 | +285 |
| Total | o179.5 (-102) | u179.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Tempo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo +7.5 | novig+113 |
| Moneyline | Wings | novig-317 |
| Total | Under 179.5 | novig-106 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 179.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Tempo player props
Looking for Dallas vs. Toronto WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Bell Centre.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 22 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Marina Mabrey is projected to have 18 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Tempo.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Marina Mabrey striking first with a 16% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 22 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 41 |
| Jessica Shepard | 17 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 43 |
| Azzi Fudd | 17 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Awak Kuier | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
Tempo prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 18 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 36 |
| I. Harrison | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| Maria Conde | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Laura Juskaite | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Julie Allemand | 7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 28 |
Wings vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Tempo and Wings at Bell Centre is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Bell Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Wings, with a 78.0% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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