Polymarket just relaunched in the US, and their sports prediction market has grown fast, with contracts covering everything from NFL games to esports matches and even smaller niche events. Read our review of their sports section below to learn more about how these contracts work, what types of contracts are available, and more.
There are many pros to these prediction markets, but so are there cons.
Here are some of the major facts about Polymarket sports prediction trading before we go into more details.
| Fact | Details |
|---|---|
| Are Polymarket sports predictions allowed? | Polymarket sports trading is approved by the CFTC and legally available in most US states. |
| How sports markets work | You buy Yes/No event contracts priced between $0.01 and $0.99. |
| Profit structure | Correct outcome rewards $1 per Yes contract. Incorrect outcome pays $0. |
| Number of sports listed | Currently 13+ sports categories, including major leagues like the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and MMA. |
| Funding | pUSD (backed 1:1 by USDC) only, through Polymarket's approved on-ramp options |
If you've ever heard of prediction markets, chances are you may have also heard about Polymarket. This is one of the top global prediction markets. It recently relaunched in the US after some time off and has now been licensed to operate by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
However, this isn't a sportsbook. Here, you’re not going against a house and Polymarket doesn't set the price for each contract itself. Everything is built on Yes/No contracts, and the price you see is just what people in the market (other traders) are willing to pay at that moment to back their predictions.
So if an NBA game shows a “Yes” contract at 42¢ for one team to win, that means other traders on the Polymarket app think there’s roughly a 42 percent chance that it happens (that is, the team will win). If you buy it and the team actually wins, the contract settles at $1. And you get an extra $0.58 as a profit. But if they go on to lose, it settles at $0, and you get nothing. So your initial $0.42 is lost.
Take a look at some of the key features that Polymarket offers to those who enjoy trading contracts on sports.
Contract prices constantly change every few seconds as people buy and sell Yes or No positions. When you see a Yes trading at $0.64, that reflects what the market currently believes about the outcome happening. The price adjusts naturally as new information comes in, so you’re watching the expectations of other traders adjust live.
Polymarket has reward systems that apply to selected markets. And if you hold contracts in one of those eligible event contracts, you may receive a small passive return over time. Some markets also offer rewards for helping make the market easier to trade, either by adding more buy or sell offers. These rewards are added automatically without any additional effort from you, and the list of qualifying markets is updated regularly. Thankfully, no additional Polymarket fees are usually attached to these rewards, so what you get is yours to keep (that’s aside the usual trading fees).
Polymarket lists sports alongside politics, entertainment, finance, weather, and a few other topics. In the sports section alone, you’ll find NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, soccer, Formula 1, UFC, tennis, golf, esports, and dozens more. Each sport has several contract questions, so you’re not limited to one choice and can choose between several national or international sports teams. This makes it easy to go for events you understand better or teams you’re more familiar with.
Polymarket uses on-chain tech, so every trade, price change, and contract is recorded transparently. You can rest easy knowing that the site is open about its procedures. It uses pUSD, a token backed 1:1 by USDC, as its settlement currency, which means transaction speeds are very fast. When you correctly predict an outcome, you know you're getting your profits in time.
It’s always better to use prediction markets that are operating legally in the US because they’re held to higher standards and must follow strict rules regarding transparency, user protection, and how the markets are run. Polymarket left the US in 2022 after regulatory issues but secured approval to re-enter in late 2025, opening fully to the public earlier this year.
It’s legal and being monitored under the watchful eyes of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). So you can trade on sports event contracts, political, and other real-world events as long as you’ve completed your KYC verification, live in an eligible state, and you’re at least 18 years of age or the age of majority in your state.
Polymarket covers far more sports than you’d expect from a prediction exchange. It’s one of the largest sports prediction apps globally, and the distinct categories you’ll find are proof of this. Each category has event questions you can trade on, like whether a team will win or what the results of a match will be. It goes beyond these kinds of questions, though, and you can trade on events around all the major leagues, including the NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB. Here are the sports categories we found during our Polymarket review.
No, you can't bet on sports on Polymarket because it is not a sportsbook. Instead, you’re trading Yes or No contracts on what you think will happen in a sports event that is yet to be held.
So if a market asks whether a team will win on Sunday, you aren’t placing a wager. You’re instead buying an event contract that could be a Yes or No. But remember that the prices in these markets change fast, especially with news of injury, weather reports, or even changes to the roster.
Polymarket’s sports section is one of the most extensive ones we've come across. You can trade on events covering local teams or go with sports contracts covering international teams. The number of sports you can trade on is also impressive. They've got football, esports, basketball, hockey, tennis, and even event contracts on chess.
So there's a lot of flexibility to try other markets. It's quite simple too, just trade Yes or No contracts. And because prices change as other users trade, you get a full-on live picture of what the market thinks will happen next. If you want to trade on sports, now's a good time to try out Polymarket. Just use the banners on this page to visit the site to try it out yourself.
Yes. Polymarket now operates under the regulation of the CFTC, and it’s approved to provide event prediction markets to US users.
No. Polymarket doesn’t post or use odds. Each price you see on the site simply shows what traders think the outcome will be, so a $0.41 Yes price just means other traders think the event has roughly a 41 percent chance of occurrence.
You can trade on major sports like football, motorsports, golf, boxing, cricket, rugby, and esports. There’s a huge variety to suit different preferences.
Absolutely. The prices change quickly as traders buy or sell their positions based on how the game unfolds, if there are injuries, or any other major updates.
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