Who Will Be TIME's Person of the Decade?

Global cultural events are always interesting to predict, and TIME’s Person of the Decade seems to be a really exciting market, especially on a platform like Kalshi.

A popular prediction market with numerous outcomes, Kalshi, features a market that we’ll have to wait a couple of years to resolve: TIME’s Person of the Decade.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Elon Musk, and Taylor Swift have the current lead, followed by Sam Altman, Xi Jinping, and Jensen Huang.

More than half of this decade has passed, and many names have appeared as influential on the global scene. If you want to know who they are and why they are important, read on.

Who Are the Favorites and Why?

The first favorite, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, is a former entertainer and the sixth president of Ukraine since 2019. He assumed office in 2019 and was in power in 2022, when the war between Ukraine and Russia began. He has been in office to this day, and his work primarily focuses on Ukraine’s resistance and peacemaking.

Second is Elon Musk, an American multibillionaire best known as the CEO of Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter). He was a Senior Advisor to the President of the United States and an influential figure across multiple industries (e.g., politics, the economy, and culture).

Taylor Swift holds third place, an American musician and one of the most popular and influential celebrities in the world. She is famous for her artistic reinventions and for her impact on young people as a role model and source of inspiration in music and fashion.

Sam Altman, the fourth-best candidate, is the CEO of OpenAI, the company that developed ChatGPT, a revolutionary multipurpose AI system. It changed the internet and the global economy and kick-started the AI revolution.

Xi Jinping is next, the Chinese President who assumed office in 2012. He is the most credited person for recovering China’s economy, battling poverty, restructuring the army, implementing the zero-COVID policy, and much more.

The last contender is Jensen Huang, the CEO of NVIDIA, the world's most valuable company. He’s been included in the Forbes 400 as many as 25 times, as a very prominent person in the IT industry.

Kalshi’s Percentages and Prices

And now, here are the top 5 candidates on one of the best culture prediction markets, Kalshi, to win TIME’s Person of the Decade award, with their chances of winning and contract prices:

The competition is heavy, but we still think that Zelenskyy’s standing by his nation, political skills, persistence, and willingness for peacekeeping will make him the most memorable, and therefore, the winner of this race.

Despite knowing the latest chances and prices, we strongly recommend double-checking all parameters and even comparing trading conditions across multiple prediction market sites before trading.