Sharks vs. Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Sharks vs. Senators in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Sharks
vs.
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Sharks
    41.2%
    NovigNovig
  • Senators
    58.7%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Sharks
Probability
  • Macklin Celebrini
    39.8%
  • Will Smith
    28.7%
  • Igor Chernyshov
    22.4%
  • Mason Marchment
  • Kiefer Sherwood
Senators
Probability
  • Tim Stutzle
    40.6%
  • Drake Batherson
    37.9%
  • Shane Pinto
    29.6%
  • Dylan Cozens
  • Claude Giroux

Sharks vs. Senators prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: San Jose Sharks vs. Ottawa Senators
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Sharks (+1.5, -208), Senators (-1.5, +199)
  • Moneyline: Sharks +122, Senators -125
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+104/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Sharks: 42.1%
  • Senators: 57.9%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Sharks vs. Senators player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Macklin Celebrini, Sharks: 39.2%
  • Will Smith, Sharks: 28.3%
  • Tim Stutzle, Senators: 41.9%
  • Drake Batherson, Senators: 39.3%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sharks a win probability of 42.1%, while the Senators have a win probability of 57.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

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