Panthers vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Panthers vs. Penguins in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Panthers
vs.
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Panthers
    48.2%
    NovigNovig
  • Penguins
    51.8%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Panthers
Probability
  • Sam Reinhart
    38.6%
  • Brady Tkachuk
    36.2%
  • Carter Verhaeghe
    33.4%
  • Matthew Tkachuk
  • Sam Bennett
Penguins
Probability
  • Sidney Crosby
    35.4%
  • Bryan Rust
    34.8%
  • Rickard Rakell
    31.1%
  • Evgeni Malkin
  • Egor Chinakhov

Panthers vs. Penguins prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Florida Panthers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Panthers (+1.5, -228), Penguins (-1.5, +217)
  • Moneyline: Panthers +106, Penguins -111
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-127/+122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Panthers: 48.3%
  • Penguins: 51.7%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Panthers vs. Penguins player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Sam Reinhart, Panthers: 39.1%
  • Brady Tkachuk, Panthers: 35.6%
  • Sidney Crosby, Penguins: 35.4%
  • Bryan Rust, Penguins: 33.3%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 48.3%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 51.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Panthers vs. Penguins, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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