Senators vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Islanders NHL game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Senators
3
0
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Senators
1 0 2 3
Islanders
0 0 0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senators
    100%
  • Islanders
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
1 0 2 3
Islanders
0 0 0 0
P3 19:46 Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:02 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:27 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 14:48 Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 14:22 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 12:35 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:01 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:58 Carson Soucy shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 10:36 Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 10:19 Scott Mayfield shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:29 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:58 Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 05:13 Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:53 Power play - Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 01:58 Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:47 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 01:09 Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 19:02 Claude Giroux shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P2 18:33 Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P2 18:19 Shot missed by Nick Cousins
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Linus Ullmark
  3. P3 18:34
    Tony DeAngelo credited with hit on Nick Cousins in offensive zone
  4. P3 17:33
    Giveaway by Carson Soucy in neutral zone
  5. P3 17:29
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:11
    Giveaway by Michael Amadio in offensive zone
  7. P3 16:18
    Takeaway by Drake Batherson in defensive zone
  8. P3 16:02
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
  9. P3 15:56
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  10. P3 15:48
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  11. P3 15:30
    Giveaway by Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  12. P3 15:27
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Artem Zub
  13. P3 14:51
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  14. P3 14:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Linus Ullmark
  15. P3 14:42
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  16. P3 14:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  17. P3 13:23
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  18. P3 12:36
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  19. P3 12:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  20. P3 12:01
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Linus Ullmark
  21. P3 11:38
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  22. P3 11:24
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  23. P3 11:04
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  24. P3 10:58
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by Michael Amadio
  25. P3 10:36
    SHOT
    Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  26. P3 10:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  27. P3 10:19
    SHOT
    Scott Mayfield shot blocked by teammate
  28. P3 10:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  29. P3 09:36
    Warren Foegele credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
  30. P3 09:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Sorokin
  31. P3 07:17
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  32. P3 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  33. P3 06:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  34. P3 06:05
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  35. P3 05:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
  36. P3 04:56
    Power play - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  37. P3 04:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Ilya Sorokin
  38. P3 04:18
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  39. P3 03:16
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  40. P3 02:22
    Takeaway by Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
  41. P3 02:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  42. P3 01:58
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
  43. P3 01:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  44. P3 01:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
  45. P3 01:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  46. P3 01:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  47. P3 00:00
    Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  48. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  49. P2 19:40
    Penalty to Jordan Spence 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brayden Schenn)
  50. P2 19:05
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  51. P2 19:02
    SHOT
    Claude Giroux shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  52. P2 18:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  53. P2 18:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Cousins
  54. P2 17:25
    Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Marc Gatcomb in offensive zone
  55. P2 17:05
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  56. P2 16:27
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  57. P2 15:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Linus Ullmark
  58. P2 14:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  59. P2 14:37
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  60. P2 14:37
    Penalty to Jordan Spence 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Anders Lee)
  61. P2 14:24
    Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
  62. P2 13:57
    SHOT
    Kyle MacLean shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  63. P2 12:33
    Brayden Schenn credited with hit on Jordan Spence in offensive zone
  64. P2 12:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  65. P2 11:35
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  66. P2 11:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  67. P2 11:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  68. P2 10:41
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  69. P2 09:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  70. P2 09:45
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  71. P2 08:47
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  72. P2 08:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
  73. P2 07:57
    Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
  74. P2 07:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  75. P2 07:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 06:55
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  77. P2 06:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  78. P2 05:42
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  79. P2 04:25
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Emil Heineman
  80. P2 04:13
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  81. P2 03:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  82. P2 02:22
    Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
  83. P2 02:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Cousins
  84. P2 01:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Linus Ullmark
  85. P2 00:29
    Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Emil Heineman in defensive zone
  86. P2 00:00
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  87. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  88. P1 19:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Linus Ullmark
  89. P1 17:54
    Stoppage - High Stick
  90. P1 17:02
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  91. P1 16:23
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  92. P1 15:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  93. P1 14:58
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  94. P1 14:01
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  95. P1 14:01
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  96. P1 13:06
    Senators won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  97. P1 12:43
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  98. P1 12:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  99. P1 12:25
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ilya Sorokin
  100. P1 12:05
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  101. P1 12:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  102. P1 11:37
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  103. P1 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
  104. P1 10:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  105. P1 09:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  106. P1 08:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  107. P1 08:39
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  108. P1 08:15
    Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  109. P1 07:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P1 05:40
    Claude Giroux credited with hit on Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  111. P1 04:54
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  112. P1 04:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  113. P1 04:41
    SHOT
    Senators shot blocked by Michael Amadio
  114. P1 03:30
    Stoppage - High Stick
  115. P1 03:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Claude Giroux shot blocked by teammate
  116. P1 02:08
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Linus Ullmark
  117. P1 02:05
    Senators won faceoff against Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  118. P1 01:20
    Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  119. P1 01:03
    SHOT
    Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  120. P1 01:02
    Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
  121. P1 00:46
    Stoppage - Offside
  122. P1 00:33
    Giveaway by Artem Zub in defensive zone
  123. P1 00:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  124. P1 00:08
    Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo in defensive zone
  125. P1 00:01
    Penalty to Anders Lee 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
  126. P1 00:00
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Stats
Senators
STATS
Islanders
16Shots on Goal23
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins15
27Hits26
15 Shots Blocked 12
12Giveaways10
SenatorsOTT
IslandersNYI
16Shots on Goal23
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins15
27Hits26
15 Shots Blocked 12
12Giveaways10

Senators vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Islanders
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators -121, Islanders 45¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 54%
  • Islanders: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 54%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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