Capitals vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Penguins NHL game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $119.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
6
3
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Capitals
0 4 2 6
Penguins
0 3 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    100%
  • Penguins
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
0 4 2 6
Penguins
0 3 0 3
P3 19:03 Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 16:00 Egor Chinakhov shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 15:35 Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:43 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 12:52 Shot missed by Capitals
P3 12:07 Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 10:55 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 10:13 Shot missed by Cole Hutson
P3 09:42 Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:40 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:31 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 05:56 Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 05:54 Power play - Shot missed by Cole Hutson
P3 04:50 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:23 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 03:44 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Elmer Soderblom
P3 00:54 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 00:51 Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 19:48 Shot on goal by Ivan Miroshnichenko saved by Arturs Silovs
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:03
    SHOT
    Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  3. P3 16:22
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
  4. P3 16:00
    SHOT
    Egor Chinakhov shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  5. P3 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  6. P3 15:28
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  7. P3 15:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  8. P3 14:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
  9. P3 13:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  10. P3 12:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Capitals
  11. P3 12:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Arturs Silovs
  12. P3 10:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Arturs Silovs
  13. P3 10:52
    Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
  14. P3 10:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  15. P3 10:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Hutson
  16. P3 09:55
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  17. P3 09:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
  18. P3 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
  19. P3 08:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  20. P3 08:17
    Rutger McGroarty won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
  21. P3 08:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  22. P3 08:10
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
  23. P3 06:16
    Giveaway by Matt Roy in neutral zone
  24. P3 05:56
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  25. P3 05:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Arturs Silovs
  26. P3 05:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Hutson
  27. P3 05:16
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  28. P3 05:02
    Capitals won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  29. P3 04:52
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  30. P3 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Logan Thompson
  31. P3 04:33
    Cole Hutson credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  32. P3 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Arturs Silovs
  33. P3 04:09
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  34. P3 04:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  35. P3 03:46
    Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
  36. P3 03:44
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Elmer Soderblom
  37. P3 02:29
    Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
  38. P3 00:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  39. P3 00:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Arturs Silovs
  40. P3 00:00
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  41. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  42. P2 19:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Miroshnichenko saved by Arturs Silovs
  43. P2 19:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  44. P2 19:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Logan Thompson
  45. P2 17:51
    Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
  46. P2 17:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  47. P2 17:07
    Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
  48. P2 16:50
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Kevin Hayes
    4-3
  49. P2 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Logan Thompson
  50. P2 16:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Cole Hutson shot blocked by teammate
  51. P2 16:00
    Power play - Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
  52. P2 14:43
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  53. P2 14:17
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  54. P2 14:15
    SHOT
    Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Ryan Graves
  55. P2 12:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Arturs Silovs
  56. P2 11:58
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  57. P2 11:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Leonard assisted by Cole Hutson and Justin Sourdif
    4-2
  58. P2 11:47
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  59. P2 11:47
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Noel Acciari assisted by Elmer Soderblom and Samuel Girard
    3-2
  60. P2 11:39
    Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  61. P2 11:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  62. P2 10:58
    Trevor van Riemsdyk credited with hit on Avery Hayes in defensive zone
  63. P2 10:34
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
  64. P2 10:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  65. P2 10:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Arturs Silovs
  66. P2 09:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Miroshnichenko
  67. P2 08:48
    Takeaway by Cole Hutson in defensive zone
  68. P2 08:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Graves
  69. P2 08:15
    Joona Koppanen won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  70. P2 08:08
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  71. P2 08:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Protas saved by Arturs Silovs
  72. P2 07:24
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
  73. P2 07:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
  74. P2 07:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  75. P2 06:57
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  76. P2 06:02
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  77. P2 06:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Arturs Silovs
  78. P2 04:34
    Giveaway by Egor Chinakhov in offensive zone
  79. P2 04:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Arturs Silovs
  80. P2 02:52
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
  81. P2 02:05
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  82. P2 01:55
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  83. P2 01:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  84. P2 01:39
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in offensive zone
  85. P2 01:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
  86. P2 01:03
    SHOT
    Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  87. P2 00:45
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  88. P2 00:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  89. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  90. P1 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
  91. P1 19:45
    SHOT
    Cole Hutson shot blocked by Ryan Graves
  92. P1 19:11
    Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
  93. P1 18:18
    Giveaway by Ville Koivunen in offensive zone
  94. P1 17:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
  95. P1 17:11
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  96. P1 16:59
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Joona Koppanen in offensive zone
  97. P1 16:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
  98. P1 16:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  99. P1 16:53
    SHOT
    Ivan Miroshnichenko shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
  100. P1 15:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  101. P1 15:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Arturs Silovs
  102. P1 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  103. P1 15:27
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  104. P1 15:15
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Matt Roy
  105. P1 15:04
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  106. P1 14:41
    SHOT
    Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  107. P1 14:39
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  108. P1 14:38
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  109. P1 14:04
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  110. P1 14:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  111. P1 14:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  112. P1 12:43
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  113. P1 12:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  114. P1 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Arturs Silovs
  115. P1 11:43
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  116. P1 11:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Arturs Silovs
  117. P1 10:59
    Giveaway by Anthony Beauvillier in neutral zone
  118. P1 10:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Arturs Silovs
  119. P1 09:42
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  120. P1 07:42
    Ilya Solovyov credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
  121. P1 07:35
    Giveaway by Elmer Soderblom in offensive zone
  122. P1 06:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  123. P1 06:46
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Matt Roy
  124. P1 05:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Miroshnichenko saved by Arturs Silovs
  125. P1 05:47
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  126. P1 05:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  127. P1 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Egor Chinakhov saved by Logan Thompson
  128. P1 04:39
    SHOT
    Tom Wilson shot blocked by Samuel Girard
  129. P1 04:02
    Giveaway by Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  130. P1 03:36
    Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
  131. P1 02:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
  132. P1 01:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  133. P1 00:51
    Capitals won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  134. P1 00:14
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  135. P1 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Arturs Silovs
  136. P1 00:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Penguins
31Shots on Goal12
57% Faceoff Win % 43%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins4
17Hits21
15 Shots Blocked 16
17Giveaways18
CapitalsWSH
PenguinsPIT
31Shots on Goal12
57% Faceoff Win % 43%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins4
17Hits21
15 Shots Blocked 16
17Giveaways18

Capitals vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Penguins
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals 59¢, Penguins 41¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 53%
  • Penguins: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 53%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.