Red Wings vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Wings vs. Senators NHL game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Red Wings
2
1
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123OTT
Red Wings
0 1 0 1 2
Senators
1 0 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Wings
    100%
  • Senators
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Red Wings
0 1 0 1 2
Senators
1 0 0 0 1
OT1 01:38 Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 19:50 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by John Gibson
P3 19:30 Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 18:41 Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
P3 17:32 Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:21 Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
P3 16:05 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 13:50 Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:39 Shot missed by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 12:19 Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P3 12:13 Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by John Gibson
P3 10:39 Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 08:44 Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 08:28 Shot missed by Marco Kasper
P3 08:28 Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 07:24 Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 05:58 Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 05:42 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by John Gibson
P3 04:57 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by John Gibson
P3 03:43 Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Linus Ullmark
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 01:39
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  3. OT1 01:38
    SHOT
    Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  4. OT1 01:06
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  5. OT1 01:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  6. OT1 00:37
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  7. OT1 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
  8. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  9. P3 19:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by John Gibson
  10. P3 19:30
    SHOT
    Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Artem Zub
  11. P3 18:41
    SHOT
    Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
  12. P3 17:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Linus Ullmark
  13. P3 17:05
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  14. P3 16:21
    SHOT
    Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
  15. P3 16:05
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  16. P3 14:47
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  17. P3 14:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  18. P3 14:15
    Michael Amadio won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
  19. P3 14:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  20. P3 14:09
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  21. P3 13:52
    Patrick Kane won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  22. P3 13:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  23. P3 13:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Linus Ullmark
  24. P3 12:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  25. P3 12:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  26. P3 12:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by John Gibson
  27. P3 11:50
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  28. P3 11:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  29. P3 10:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  30. P3 08:44
    SHOT
    Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  31. P3 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marco Kasper
  32. P3 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Linus Ullmark
  33. P3 07:26
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  34. P3 07:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  35. P3 07:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Linus Ullmark
  36. P3 06:54
    Red Wings won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  37. P3 06:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  38. P3 06:18
    Red Wings won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  39. P3 06:18
    Stoppage - Icing
  40. P3 05:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  41. P3 05:55
    Red Wings won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  42. P3 05:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  43. P3 05:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by John Gibson
  44. P3 04:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by John Gibson
  45. P3 04:11
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
  46. P3 03:46
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
  47. P3 03:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Linus Ullmark
  48. P3 03:04
    Takeaway by Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  49. P3 02:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  50. P3 02:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by John Gibson
  51. P3 01:35
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  52. P3 01:34
    SHOT
    Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  53. P3 00:17
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  54. P3 00:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  55. P3 00:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  56. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  57. P2 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
  58. P2 19:48
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  59. P2 18:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by John Gibson
  60. P2 18:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by John Gibson
  61. P2 17:34
    Takeaway by Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  62. P2 17:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by John Gibson
  63. P2 16:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Moritz Seider
  64. P2 16:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  65. P2 16:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Linus Ullmark
  66. P2 15:23
    Red Wings won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  67. P2 15:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  68. P2 14:21
    Alex DeBrincat won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  69. P2 13:32
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
  70. P2 12:35
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  71. P2 12:35
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  72. P2 12:35
    Penalty to Tyler Kleven 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Alex DeBrincat)
  73. P2 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Linus Ullmark
  74. P2 12:21
    SHOT
    Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  75. P2 11:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Compher
  76. P2 11:35
    SHOT
    J.T. Compher shot blocked by Ridly Greig
  77. P2 10:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Linus Ullmark
  78. P2 10:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by John Gibson
  79. P2 09:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  80. P2 09:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marco Kasper
  81. P2 09:09
    Moritz Seider credited with hit on Lars Eller in offensive zone
  82. P2 09:06
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Elmer Soderblom in defensive zone
  83. P2 08:55
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  84. P2 08:55
    Stoppage - Offside
  85. P2 07:40
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  86. P2 07:40
    Penalty to Dylan Cozens 2 minutes for Misconduct
  87. P2 07:32
    SHOT
    Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Artem Zub
  88. P2 06:08
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  89. P2 06:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  90. P2 05:54
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  91. P2 05:52
    Red Wings won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  92. P2 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  93. P2 05:24
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
  94. P2 05:24
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Larkin
    1-1
  95. P2 05:18
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  96. P2 05:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  97. P2 05:10
    Red Wings won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  98. P2 03:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  99. P2 02:34
    SHOT
    Mason Appleton shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  100. P2 01:56
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
  101. P2 01:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  102. P2 00:46
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  103. P2 00:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  104. P2 00:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by John Gibson
  105. P2 00:30
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  106. P2 00:06
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  107. P2 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  108. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  109. P1 19:18
    Shane Pinto credited with hit on Lucas Raymond in defensive zone
  110. P1 19:10
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  111. P1 18:44
    Red Wings won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  112. P1 18:44
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Jake Sanderson and Tim Stutzle
    0-1
  113. P1 18:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
  114. P1 17:45
    Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  115. P1 17:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by John Gibson
  116. P1 17:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  117. P1 17:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  118. P1 17:03
    SHOT
    Michael Rasmussen shot blocked by Lars Eller
  119. P1 15:30
    SHOT
    Albert Johansson shot blocked by Nick Cousins
  120. P1 15:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
  121. P1 14:58
    Red Wings won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  122. P1 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Linus Ullmark
  123. P1 14:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by John Gibson
  124. P1 14:06
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  125. P1 13:42
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  126. P1 13:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  127. P1 13:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Marco Kasper
  128. P1 11:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by teammate
  129. P1 11:42
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  130. P1 11:42
    Penalty to Patrick Kane 2 minutes for Delay of Game
  131. P1 11:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
  132. P1 10:37
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
  133. P1 09:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by John Gibson
  134. P1 08:29
    SHOT
    Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Artem Zub
  135. P1 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Moritz Seider
  136. P1 08:10
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Michael Rasmussen
    1-0
  137. P1 08:09
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  138. P1 07:55
    Red Wings won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  139. P1 07:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  140. P1 07:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  141. P1 07:28
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  142. P1 06:59
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  143. P1 06:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by John Gibson
  144. P1 06:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  145. P1 06:09
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  146. P1 06:09
    Stoppage - Icing
  147. P1 05:55
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Mason Appleton
  148. P1 05:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Moritz Seider
  149. P1 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by John Gibson
  150. P1 04:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by John Gibson
  151. P1 04:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  152. P1 03:56
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  153. P1 03:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Linus Ullmark
  154. P1 03:03
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by teammate
  155. P1 02:58
    Michael Amadio won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  156. P1 02:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by John Gibson
  157. P1 02:07
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
  158. P1 02:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  159. P1 01:28
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  160. P1 01:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  161. P1 01:21
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  162. P1 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Linus Ullmark
  163. P1 00:09
    SHOT
    Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Shane Pinto
  164. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Red Wings
STATS
Senators
20Shots on Goal27
39% Faceoff Win % 62%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
13Penalty Infraction Mins23
18Hits30
21 Shots Blocked 25
9Giveaways15
Red WingsDET
SenatorsOTT
20Shots on Goal27
39% Faceoff Win % 62%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
13Penalty Infraction Mins23
18Hits30
21 Shots Blocked 25
9Giveaways15

Red Wings vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Wings vs. Senators
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Wings +130, Senators -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Wings: 43%
  • Senators: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 43%, while the Senators have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Wings vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.