Islanders vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Canadiens NHL game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Islanders
4
3
Bell Centre
Canadiens
Bell Centre
TEAM123OTT
Islanders
0 2 1 1 4
Canadiens
1 1 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    100%
  • Canadiens
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Islanders
0 2 1 1 4
Canadiens
1 1 1 0 3
OT1 01:35 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 19:18 Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P3 19:17 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 18:18 Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Bo Horvat and Simon Holmstrom
P3 17:58 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 17:29 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
P3 15:35 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:31 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 12:47 Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:33 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 11:28 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 08:53 Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:30 Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 04:05 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Cole Caufield
P3 04:05 Shot missed by Canadiens
P3 02:57 Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 02:31 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 02:21 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P3 02:03 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 01:56 Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Adam Pelech
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 01:46
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  3. OT1 01:35
    SHOT
    Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  4. OT1 00:25
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  5. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  6. P3 19:36
    Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  7. P3 19:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  8. P3 19:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
  9. P3 18:59
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  10. P3 18:19
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
  11. P3 18:18
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Bo Horvat and Simon Holmstrom
    3-3
  12. P3 17:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Samuel Montembeault
  13. P3 17:29
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
  14. P3 16:02
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  15. P3 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  16. P3 15:33
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
  17. P3 15:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
  18. P3 14:57
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  19. P3 14:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  20. P3 14:10
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  21. P3 12:56
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  22. P3 12:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  23. P3 12:23
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  24. P3 12:23
    Stoppage - Icing
  25. P3 11:45
    Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  26. P3 11:33
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  27. P3 11:30
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
  28. P3 11:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Samuel Montembeault
  29. P3 10:40
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  30. P3 09:40
    Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  31. P3 09:38
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  32. P3 09:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  33. P3 09:11
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  34. P3 08:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  35. P3 08:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  36. P3 08:19
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  37. P3 08:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  38. P3 07:44
    Penalty to Kyle MacLean 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Kaiden Guhle)
  39. P3 07:44
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  40. P3 06:02
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  41. P3 06:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  42. P3 04:38
    Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
  43. P3 04:05
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Cole Caufield
  44. P3 04:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Canadiens
  45. P3 02:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
  46. P3 02:40
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  47. P3 02:40
    Stoppage - Offside
  48. P3 02:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  49. P3 02:21
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Bo Horvat
  50. P3 02:03
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
  51. P3 01:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  52. P3 00:20
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  53. P3 00:18
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  54. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  55. P2 19:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
  56. P2 18:51
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  57. P2 17:56
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
  58. P2 17:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
  59. P2 17:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
  60. P2 16:38
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  61. P2 16:38
    Penalty to Mike Matheson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  62. P2 16:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  63. P2 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  64. P2 14:39
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  65. P2 14:21
    Islanders won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  66. P2 14:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ilya Sorokin
  67. P2 13:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ilya Sorokin
  68. P2 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  69. P2 13:07
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  70. P2 12:32
    SHOT
    Islanders shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  71. P2 11:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
  72. P2 10:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
  73. P2 10:46
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  74. P2 10:37
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
  75. P2 10:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 10:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Samuel Montembeault
  77. P2 10:05
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Noah Dobson
    0-2
  78. P2 09:28
    Power play - Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  79. P2 08:45
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  80. P2 08:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  81. P2 08:19
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  82. P2 08:15
    SHOT
    Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
  83. P2 07:27
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  84. P2 07:27
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  85. P2 07:17
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  86. P2 06:54
    SHOT
    Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Alex Newhook
  87. P2 06:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  88. P2 05:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Samuel Montembeault
  89. P2 05:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Samuel Montembeault
  90. P2 04:25
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  91. P2 03:56
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  92. P2 03:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  93. P2 02:57
    Giveaway by Josh Anderson in defensive zone
  94. P2 02:53
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
  95. P2 02:36
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
  96. P2 01:42
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  97. P2 01:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  98. P2 01:36
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  99. P2 00:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
  100. P2 00:54
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  101. P2 00:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  102. P2 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  103. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  104. P1 19:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Ilya Sorokin
  105. P1 18:46
    SHOT
    Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
  106. P1 18:11
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
  107. P1 17:55
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Josh Anderson
  108. P1 17:51
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  109. P1 16:58
    Adam Pelech credited with hit on Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  110. P1 16:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  111. P1 16:12
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Bo Horvat
  112. P1 15:31
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  113. P1 15:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  114. P1 15:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marc Gatcomb
  115. P1 14:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  116. P1 14:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  117. P1 14:23
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  118. P1 14:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  119. P1 14:03
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  120. P1 14:01
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  121. P1 13:53
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  122. P1 13:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  123. P1 13:14
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  124. P1 13:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  125. P1 13:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Evans
  126. P1 12:32
    Stoppage - Offside
  127. P1 12:11
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  128. P1 11:50
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
  129. P1 11:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
  130. P1 11:14
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  131. P1 10:52
    Giveaway by Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
  132. P1 10:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
  133. P1 09:35
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
  134. P1 09:21
    SHOT
    Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  135. P1 08:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ilya Sorokin
  136. P1 08:00
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
  137. P1 07:56
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  138. P1 07:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  139. P1 07:49
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  140. P1 07:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  141. P1 06:47
    Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  142. P1 05:38
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
  143. P1 05:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  144. P1 05:18
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  145. P1 05:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  146. P1 05:09
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  147. P1 05:01
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  148. P1 05:01
    Stoppage - Offside
  149. P1 04:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Samuel Montembeault
  150. P1 03:58
    SHOT
    Kirby Dach shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  151. P1 03:22
    Stoppage - Chlg Hm - off-side
  152. P1 03:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Samuel Montembeault
  153. P1 03:13
    SHOT
    Marc Gatcomb shot blocked by teammate
  154. P1 03:12
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  155. P1 02:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Ilya Sorokin
  156. P1 02:24
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
  157. P1 01:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  158. P1 01:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  159. P1 00:47
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  160. P1 00:18
    Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
  161. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Canadiens
26Shots on Goal24
49% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits22
20 Shots Blocked 20
15Giveaways11
IslandersNYI
CanadiensMTL
26Shots on Goal24
49% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits22
20 Shots Blocked 20
15Giveaways11

Islanders vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +130, Canadiens -145

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 43%
  • Canadiens: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 43%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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