Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Panthers NHL game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Maple Leafs
1
5
Amerant Bank Arena
Panthers
Amerant Bank Arena
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Panthers
3 0 2 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
  • Panthers
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Panthers
3 0 2 5
P3 18:34 Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:20 Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
P3 16:49 Goal scored by Brad Marchand (Empty Net)
P3 16:30 Shot missed by Brad Marchand
P3 15:45 Shot missed by Anton Lundell
P3 14:53 Troy Stecher shot blocked by Jeff Petry
P3 13:06 Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 13:05 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sandis Vilmanis
P3 12:13 Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 11:28 Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
P3 09:44 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 09:20 Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
P3 07:25 Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
P3 07:09 Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
P3 06:07 Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 05:52 John Tavares shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P3 05:44 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 04:31 Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 03:56 Shot missed by Jeff Petry
P3 03:55 Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
  3. P3 18:08
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
  4. P3 17:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
  5. P3 16:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brad Marchand (Empty Net)
    1-4
  6. P3 16:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brad Marchand
  7. P3 16:05
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  8. P3 15:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  9. P3 15:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anton Lundell
  10. P3 14:53
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by Jeff Petry
  11. P3 13:36
    John Tavares won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
  12. P3 13:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  13. P3 13:05
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sandis Vilmanis
  14. P3 12:39
    John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
  15. P3 12:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  16. P3 12:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  17. P3 11:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
  18. P3 10:01
    Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  19. P3 10:01
    Penalty to Matias Maccelli 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Aaron Ekblad)
  20. P3 09:56
    Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
  21. P3 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  22. P3 09:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  23. P3 09:02
    Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  24. P3 07:28
    Sam Reinhart credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
  25. P3 07:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
  26. P3 07:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
  27. P3 07:02
    Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  28. P3 06:40
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
  29. P3 06:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  30. P3 06:21
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
  31. P3 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  32. P3 05:52
    SHOT
    John Tavares shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
  33. P3 05:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  34. P3 05:20
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
  35. P3 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  36. P3 03:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jeff Petry
  37. P3 03:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Joseph Woll
  38. P3 03:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  39. P3 02:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
  40. P3 01:18
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
  41. P3 00:47
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Panthers in neutral zone
  42. P3 00:46
    SHOT
    Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
  43. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  44. P2 18:49
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
  45. P2 18:49
    Penalty to Aaron Ekblad 2 minutes for Misconduct
  46. P2 18:26
    Sam Reinhart won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  47. P2 18:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  48. P2 18:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  49. P2 16:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
  50. P2 16:36
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  51. P2 16:36
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  52. P2 16:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  53. P2 16:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Joseph Woll
  54. P2 15:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Joseph Woll
  55. P2 13:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
  56. P2 13:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
  57. P2 12:08
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Joseph Woll
  58. P2 11:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Anton Lundell
  59. P2 11:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  60. P2 11:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
  61. P2 11:09
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
  62. P2 11:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  63. P2 10:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Joseph Woll
  64. P2 09:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  65. P2 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
  66. P2 09:13
    SHOT
    Niko Mikkola shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  67. P2 09:06
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  68. P2 09:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  69. P2 09:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Joseph Woll
  70. P2 07:29
    Power play - Cole Schwindt won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  71. P2 06:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Sam Bennett
  72. P2 05:54
    Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  73. P2 05:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  74. P2 05:30
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  75. P2 04:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brad Marchand
  76. P2 04:19
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
  77. P2 04:15
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
  78. P2 04:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P2 03:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carter Verhaeghe
  80. P2 02:41
    John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
  81. P2 01:32
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  82. P2 01:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  83. P2 01:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  84. P2 00:00
    Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  85. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  86. P1 19:17
    SHOT
    Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  87. P1 19:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
  88. P1 18:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  89. P1 18:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  90. P1 17:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  91. P1 17:25
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
  92. P1 17:25
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  93. P1 16:40
    Shorthanded - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  94. P1 15:43
    Shorthanded - Anton Lundell won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  95. P1 15:43
    Penalty to Aaron Ekblad 2 minutes for Misconduct
  96. P1 15:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  97. P1 14:31
    SHOT
    Sam Bennett shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  98. P1 14:29
    SHOT
    Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  99. P1 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Joseph Woll
  100. P1 12:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
  101. P1 11:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
  102. P1 11:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  103. P1 11:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Rodrigues
  104. P1 10:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  105. P1 10:51
    SHOT
    A.J. Greer shot blocked by William Nylander
  106. P1 10:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brad Marchand saved by Joseph Woll
  107. P1 09:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Donovan Sebrango
  108. P1 08:48
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  109. P1 08:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Joseph Woll
  110. P1 08:14
    John Tavares won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
  111. P1 08:14
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  112. P1 05:48
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  113. P1 05:13
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Carter Verhaeghe assisted by Evan Rodrigues and Anton Lundell
    0-2
  114. P1 04:44
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
  115. P1 03:27
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  116. P1 03:27
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  117. P1 03:15
    SHOT
    Anton Lundell shot blocked by teammate
  118. P1 03:15
    Giveaway by Matthew Knies in defensive zone
  119. P1 03:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  120. P1 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Joseph Woll
  121. P1 02:41
    Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  122. P1 02:41
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  123. P1 01:57
    Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Donovan Sebrango in defensive zone
  124. P1 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jeff Petry
  125. P1 01:35
    Matthew Tkachuk credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
  126. P1 01:25
    Mackie Samoskevich credited with hit on Troy Stecher in defensive zone
  127. P1 00:59
    Matthew Knies credited with hit on Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
  128. P1 00:55
    Giveaway by Matthew Knies in defensive zone
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Panthers
29Shots on Goal37
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins8
21Hits19
12 Shots Blocked 10
15Giveaways14
Maple LeafsTOR
PanthersFLA
29Shots on Goal37
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins8
21Hits19
12 Shots Blocked 10
15Giveaways14

Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
  • Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Amerant Bank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Panthers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +136, Panthers -155

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 43%
  • Panthers: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 43%, while the Panthers have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Panthers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Amerant Bank Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Panthers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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