Titans vs. Giants prediction favors Giants to win in NFL Week 3 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 62.1% win probability for the Giants at MetLife Stadium.

The Tennessee Titans take on the New York Giants in NFL action.
Tennessee Titans vs. New York Giants NFL prediction for Sunday, September 27, 2026.

NFL Week 3 action continues on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET as the Tennessee Titans take on the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium.

Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Giants as the most likely winner in this Titans vs. Giants prediction.

This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Titans vs. Giants prediction and odds

Since our Titans-Giants predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Titans and Giants, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Giants a 62.1% chance of defeating the Titans in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Giants winning 20-17.

Key factors favoring the Giants:

  • Tennessee Titans Offensive Efficiency
  • New York Giants Power Rankings
  • Tennessee Titans Defensive Efficiency

According to our model, the Giants (-2.5) have a 59.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 37.5 points has a 51.1% chance of going over.

The main contributing factors to the over being more likely are:

  • Weather / Conditions
 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 3 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Titans +2.5 (-104) / Giants -2.5 (+100)
  • Moneyline: Titans +122, Giants -122
  • Total: Over/Under 37.5 (+102/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Giants -2.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Giants @ 55¢ via Novig
  • Total: Over 37.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Giants -2.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Titans vs. Giants TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Titans vs. Giants?

According to our model, Cam Skattebo is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Titans vs. Giants.

Our projections give Skattebo a 45.3% chance of getting in for six at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is a 13.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Tennessee Titans

  • Tony Pollard (RB): 38.2% probability
  • Tyjae Spears (RB): 22.1%
  • Carnell Tate (WR): 18.1%
  • Cam Ward (QB): 16.8%
  • Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 15.1%

New York Giants

  • Cam Skattebo (RB): 45.3% prob.
  • Malik Nabers (WR): 25.8%
  • Isaiah Likely (TE): 20.4%
  • Devin Singletary (RB): 17.1%
  • Najee Harris (RB): 15.4%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Tennessee Titans

  • Tony Pollard (RB): 10.7% prob.
  • Tyjae Spears (RB): 5.5%
  • Carnell Tate (WR): 4.4%
  • Cam Ward (QB): 4.1%
  • Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 3.6%

New York Giants

  • Cam Skattebo (RB): 13.6% prob.
  • Malik Nabers (WR): 6.7%
  • Isaiah Likely (TE): 5.2%
  • Devin Singletary (RB): 4.2%
  • Najee Harris (RB): 3.8%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Titans and Giants. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 3 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Titans' Cam Ward is projected to have a quiet game with 182 passing yards. The Giants' Jameis Winston is expected to throw for 203 yards.

Titans rushing

  • Tony Pollard: 65 yds
  • Tyjae Spears: 22 yds
  • Cam Ward: 15 yds

Giants rushing

  • Cam Skattebo: 63 yds
  • Najee Harris: 22 yds
  • Devin Singletary: 21 yds

Titans receiving

  • Carnell Tate: 43 yds
  • Wan'Dale Robinson: 37 yds
  • Gunnar Helm: 25 yds
  • Calvin Ridley: 21 yds
  • Elic Ayomanor: 20 yds

Giants receiving

  • Malik Nabers: 58 yds
  • Isaiah Likely: 41 yds
  • Malachi Fields: 28 yds
  • Darnell Mooney: 22 yds
  • Cam Skattebo: 15 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 3 action between the Giants and Titans at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

NFL Week 3 promo

Using our full NFL Week 3 promo code guide, you can make the most of Dimers' Titans vs. Giants predictions with the offer below — Polymarket code "DIMERS" securing a $50 bonus on a $10 first deposit:


Conclusion

We predict the Giants, with a 62.1% win probability, will likely beat the Titans in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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