Seahawks vs. Broncos prediction favors Seattle to win TNF Week 6 [2026]

Since our Seahawks-Broncos predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Seahawks and Broncos, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Seahawks a 58.2% chance of beating the Broncos in Week 6 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Seahawks winning 21-19.

Key factors favoring the Seahawks:

• Seahawks defense
• Seahawks team rating
• Broncos QB situation

According to our model, the Broncos (+2.5) have a 51.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 6 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Seahawks -2.5 (+100) / Broncos +2.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Seahawks -130, Broncos +127
• Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-104/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Broncos +2.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Seahawks @ 57¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 40.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Broncos +2.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Seahawks vs. Broncos TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Seahawks vs. Broncos?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for TNF, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is most likely to score an anytime TD in Seahawks vs. Broncos.

Our projections give Smith-Njigba a 49.8% chance of scoring a TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the wide receiver is a 13.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Seattle Seahawks

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR): 49.8% probability
• Emanuel Wilson (RB): 44.3%
• AJ Barner (TE): 19.3%
• George Holani (RB): 17.4%
• Cooper Kupp (WR): 16.4%

Denver Broncos

• J.K. Dobbins (RB): 29.2% prob.
• RJ Harvey (RB): 26.5%
• Courtland Sutton (WR): 23.8%
• Jaylen Waddle (WR): 23.7%
• Bo Nix (QB): 16.5%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Seattle Seahawks

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR): 13.8% prob.
• Emanuel Wilson (RB): 11.7%
• AJ Barner (TE): 4.3%
• George Holani (RB): 3.8%
• Cooper Kupp (WR): 3.6%

Denver Broncos

• J.K. Dobbins (RB): 7.1% prob.
• RJ Harvey (RB): 6.3%
• Courtland Sutton (WR): 5.6%
• Jaylen Waddle (WR): 5.5%
• Bo Nix (QB): 3.7%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Seahawks and Broncos. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 6 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Seahawks' Sam Darnold is projected for 216 passing yards. The Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 209 yards.

Seahawks rushing

• Emanuel Wilson: 69 yds
• George Holani: 19 yds
• Sam Darnold: 8 yds

Broncos rushing

• J.K. Dobbins: 54 yds
• RJ Harvey: 20 yds
• Bo Nix: 18 yds

Seahawks receiving

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 92 yds
• Rashid Shaheed: 29 yds
• Cooper Kupp: 28 yds
• AJ Barner: 27 yds
• George Holani: 13 yds

Broncos receiving

• Jaylen Waddle: 52 yds
• Courtland Sutton: 38 yds
• Evan Engram: 25 yds
• RJ Harvey: 23 yds
• Troy Franklin: 23 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 6 action between the Broncos and Seahawks at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 8:15 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Thursday, October 15, 2026
• Time: 8:15 PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

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Conclusion

We predict the Seahawks, with a 58.2% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Week 6 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.