Eagles vs. Jaguars prediction favors Jacksonville to win NFL Week 5 [2026]

Since our Eagles-Jaguars predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Eagles and Jaguars, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Jaguars a 75.3% chance of beating the Eagles in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jaguars winning 25-17.

Key factors favoring the Jaguars:

• Jaguars team rating
• Eagles QB situation
• Jaguars QB situation

According to our model, the Jaguars (-7.5) have a 51.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 52.0% chance of going over.

The main contributing factors to the over being more likely are:

• Jaguars recent performance
• Playing conditions

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 5 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Eagles +7.5 (+104) / Jaguars -7.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Eagles +335, Jaguars -335
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (+117/-122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Jaguars -7.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Eagles @ 23¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Over 42.5 @ 46¢ via Polymarket

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 42.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Eagles vs. Jaguars TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Eagles vs. Jaguars?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 5, Bhayshul Tuten is most likely to score an anytime TD in Eagles vs. Jaguars.

Our projections give Tuten a 46.4% chance of scoring a TD at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, while the running back is a 12.3% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Philadelphia Eagles

• Jalen Hurts (QB): 27.4% probability
• Dallas Goedert (TE): 26.6%
• Will Shipley (RB): 23.9%
• Dontayvion Wicks (WR): 18.9%
• Darius Cooper (WR): 14.8%

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Bhayshul Tuten (RB): 46.4% prob.
• Parker Washington (WR): 35.0%
• Chris Rodriguez (RB): 24.4%
• Trevor Lawrence (QB): 23.5%
• Brenton Strange (TE): 23.5%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Philadelphia Eagles

• Jalen Hurts (QB): 6.3% prob.
• Dallas Goedert (TE): 6.1%
• Will Shipley (RB): 5.4%
• Dontayvion Wicks (WR): 4.1%
• Darius Cooper (WR): 3.2%

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Bhayshul Tuten (RB): 12.3% prob.
• Parker Washington (WR): 8.5%
• Chris Rodriguez (RB): 5.5%
• Trevor Lawrence (QB): 5.3%
• Brenton Strange (TE): 5.3%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Eagles and Jaguars. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 5 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Eagles' Jalen Hurts is projected for 196 passing yards. The Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 230 yards.

Eagles rushing

• Will Shipley: 38 yds
• Jalen Hurts: 31 yds
• Dameon Pierce: 22 yds

Jaguars rushing

• Bhayshul Tuten: 68 yds
• Chris Rodriguez: 29 yds
• Trevor Lawrence: 17 yds

Eagles receiving

• Dontayvion Wicks: 47 yds
• Dallas Goedert: 42 yds
• Makai Lemon: 39 yds
• Darius Cooper: 28 yds
• Will Shipley: 18 yds

Jaguars receiving

• Parker Washington: 66 yds
• Jakobi Meyers: 46 yds
• Brenton Strange: 37 yds
• Brian Thomas: 31 yds
• Josh Cameron: 18 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 5 matchup between the Jaguars and Eagles at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is scheduled to start at 9:30 AM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
• Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
• Time: 9:30 AM ET/6:30AM PT
• Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

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Conclusion

We predict the Jaguars, with a 75.3% win probability, will likely beat the Eagles in Week 5 of the NFL season.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.