NFL player props today: Week 5 best props include Bhayshul Tuten [10/11/2026]

Bhayshul Tuten over 19.5 rushing yards (-1150)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 96.5%
• Projection: 68.4
• Game: Eagles vs. Jaguars (9:30AM ET)

Our model has found value on Jaguars' Bhayshul Tuten over 19.5 rushing yards. A probability of 96.5% gives this play an edge of 4.5% at -1150 odds.

Will Shipley over 9.5 rushing yards (-733)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 92.7%
• Projection: 37.8
• Game: Eagles vs. Jaguars (9:30AM ET)

Will Shipley’s rushing yards prop shows a 4.7% edge at -733 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 37.8 rushing yards on the over 9.5 line.

Brenton Strange over 9.5 receiving yards (-567)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 87.9%
• Projection: 37.3
• Game: Eagles vs. Jaguars (9:30AM ET)

The data highlights value on Brenton Strange over 9.5 receiving yards, with simulations showing an 87.9% probability and a 2.9% edge at -567.

Derrick Henry over 49.5 rushing yards (-400)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 83.6%
• Projection: 85.0
• Game: Ravens vs. Falcons (8:20PM ET)

Our model projects Derrick Henry to record 85.0 rushing yards today, creating an edge of 3.6% on the over 49.5 line at -400 odds.

Olamide Zaccheaus over 0.5 receptions (-218)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 75.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Ravens vs. Falcons (8:20PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Olamide Zaccheaus over 0.5 receptions for Falcons, showing an edge of 7.3% at -218 odds.

Ashton Jeanty under 59.5 rushing yards (-108)

• Edge: 23.4%
• Probability: 75.3%
• Projection: 44.7
• Game: Raiders vs. Patriots (1:00PM ET)

Ashton Jeanty’s rushing yards prop shows an edge of 23.4% at -108 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 44.7 today.

Austin Hooper over 0.5 receptions (-228)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 73.1%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Ravens vs. Falcons (8:20PM ET)

Our model projects Austin Hooper for 1.3 receptions for Falcons, creating an edge of 3.5% on over 0.5 at -228 odds.

Aaron Jones Sr. under 3.5 receptions (-175)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 69.7%
• Projection: 2.8
• Game: Vikings vs. Saints (1:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Aaron Jones Sr. for 2.8 receptions, creating value on the under 3.5 line at -175 odds and a 6.0% edge.

Mark Andrews under 4.5 receptions (-185)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 69.3%
• Projection: 3.7
• Game: Ravens vs. Falcons (8:20PM ET)

A 4.4% edge on the under 3.5 receptions line makes Mark Andrews a value play in Ravens vs. Falcons, with our model projecting him for 3.7 receptions at -185 odds.

Trey McBride over 8.5 receptions (-139)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 69.0%
• Projection: 7.3
• Game: Lions vs. Cardinals (4:25PM ET)

Simulations project Trey McBride for 7.3 receptions here, creating a 10.9% edge on the over 8.5 line at -139 odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:36AM ET:

NFL promo for Week 5

Today's player props include Bhayshul Tuten over 19.5 rushing yards. Make the most of them with this DraftKings Predicts offer:

Conclusion

For October 11, 2026, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Bhayshul Tuten, Will Shipley and Brenton Strange. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.