Bears vs. Packers: NFL Week 5 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Bears vs. Packers prediction for Sunday, October 11, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
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NFL sport icon
NFL
Bears
Predicted score
22
:
26
Lambeau Field
Packers
Lambeau Field
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Packers -3.0
Spread
  • Bears
    45.3%
    DraftKingsDraftKings
  • Packers
    54.7%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

Bears vs. Packers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 5

  • Teams: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
  • Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
  • Time: 4:25PM ET
  • Venue: Lambeau Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Bears (+3, -110), Packers (-3, -110)
  • Moneyline: Bears +150, Packers -166
  • Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points (-110/-110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Bears: 37.7%
  • Packers: 62.3%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Bears 22-25 Packers.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Bears a win probability of 37.7%, while the Packers have a win probability of 62.3%.

Summary

The Bears face off against the Packers in the NFL at Lambeau Field on Sunday, October 11, 2026.

Our Bears vs. Packers predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.